NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xad5d31478182833499e4ee995fed86be5ef37cb6faab80b863bbc08dcc7123d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Avalanche, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,399
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $97,548
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,399 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 70 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Canucks | 38c | 80,481$30,583 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49,898.41 | 243 | 49.8%121 W · 122 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Avalanche | 62c | 45,787$28,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,378.6 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +3.4wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Avalanche | 62c | 23,159$14,359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,359.03 | 1,434 | 50.8%728 W · 706 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Avalanche | 62c | 6,381$3,956 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,956.45 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd9…648dbacked Avalanche | 62c | 3,735$2,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,315.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 56cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2140backed Canucks | 37c | 3,037$1,124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.25 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Canucks | 37c | 3,000$1,110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,889.99 | 193 | 53.9%104 W · 89 L | +7.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…fddebacked Canucks | 38c | 2,313$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.66 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…de36backed Avalanche | 63c | 2,275$1,433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,433.45 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Canucks | 38c | 2,015$763 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,252.17 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb19f…dd0ebacked Avalanche | 62c | 1,594$988 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$988.34 | 56 | 60.7%34 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc339…ba5bbacked Avalanche | 63c | 1,552$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$977.8 | 71 | 49.3%35 W · 36 L | -5.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Avalanche | 62c | 1,498$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$928.74 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Canucks | 39c | 1,407$551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$856.8 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5318…1118backed Avalanche | 63c | 776.03$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.9 | 43 | 72.1%31 W · 12 L | +7.7wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Canucks | 37c | 531.75$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3613…79e1backed Avalanche | 56c | 512.31$288 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.49 | 702 | 49%344 W · 358 L | +14.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Canucks | 72c | 482.11$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.39 | 893 | 55.5%496 W · 397 L | +67.6wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d54…a756backed Avalanche | 58c | 473.63$273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.87 | 150 | 54%81 W · 69 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Canucks | 37c | 445$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.35 | 318 | 48.7%155 W · 163 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Canucks | 76c | 411.42$313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.74 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Avalanche | 21c | 397.32$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.97 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Canucks | 38c | 384.02$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.09 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc9…a64cbacked Avalanche | 62c | 329.81$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.48 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Avalanche | 31c | 319.02$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.64 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Avalanche | 59c | 213.99$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.9 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Avalanche | 61c | 200.01$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb337…5589backed Avalanche | 63c | 198.49$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.05 | 486 | 54.1%263 W · 223 L | +15.9wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c7d…d1c9backed Avalanche | 63c | 193.43$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.24 | 30 | 63.3%19 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Canucks | 63c | 185.43$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.99 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Canucks | 67c | 185.1$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.73 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Avalanche | 60c | 181.68$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.01 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x59ce…6f07backed Canucks | 43c | 179.98$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.59 | 153 | 49%75 W · 78 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc44f…8b04backed Avalanche | 62c | 157.61$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.72 | 200 | 46%92 W · 108 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Canucks | 72c | 147.2$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.34 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Canucks | 39c | 140.21$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.53 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Canucks | 69c | 138.88$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.52 | 820 | 43%353 W · 467 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Canucks | 39c | 133.83$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…50c3backed Avalanche | 43c | 112.54$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.29 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.5wins | -0.21per pick | 54cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Canucks | 65c | 106.95$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.64 | 214 | 63.1%135 W · 79 L | +16.9wins | +0.08per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Avalanche | 16c | 95.32$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.29 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x833a…e6d4backed Avalanche | 62c | 94.57$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.63 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Avalanche | 61c | 81.64$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Canucks | 41c | 81.39$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.97 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6a27…8b89backed Avalanche | 38c | 81.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c4…df5fbacked Avalanche | 61c | 80$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.8 | 227 | 50.7%115 W · 112 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…cdd9backed Avalanche | 62c | 78.81$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.86 | 156 | 49.4%77 W · 79 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Canucks | 36c | 75.78$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Canucks | 42c | 71.43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a4…7cbabacked Avalanche | 63c | 65.5$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa877…2e20backed Avalanche | 63c | 63.57$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.05 | 363 | 49%178 W · 185 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2077…8161backed Avalanche | 62c | 58.32$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.16 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Avalanche | 58c | 57.51$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 215 | 49.3%106 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Avalanche | 61c | 52.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.16 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Avalanche | 57c | 50.85$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.98 | 145 | 51%74 W · 71 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed Avalanche | 62c | 50.44$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.27 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Avalanche | 57c | 47.5$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.08 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…a219backed Avalanche | 62c | 47.28$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.32 | 231 | 48.9%113 W · 118 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd22f…d0eebacked Avalanche | 61c | 39.79$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Avalanche | 57c | 38.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -6.9wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Canucks | 38c | 37.87$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x239d…daebbacked Canucks | 39c | 33.09$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.19 | 91 | 56%51 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4803…b382backed Avalanche | 46c | 32.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Canucks | 37c | 29.37$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x853f…d2a8backed Avalanche | 62c | 28.37$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6137…171ebacked Avalanche | 64c | 26.75$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.12 | 61 | 63.9%39 W · 22 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…2d80backed Avalanche | 63c | 21.43$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Avalanche | 57c | 20.46$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.66 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd76…3269backed Canucks | 73c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Canucks | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.54 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)this page
- Canucks vs. AvalancheCanucks won
- Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.