TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

NHL · resolved market

Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$54,536
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$54,744

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $54,536 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 106 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in NHL
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xec7e…5fddbacked Under49c32,917$16,246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16,245.533951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Over51c14,842$7,527 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,315.182,89451.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L+58.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over51c5,682$2,898 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,784.186350.8%32 W · 31 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cdc…b83fbacked Under49c4,286$2,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,1006147.5%29 W · 32 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xefdd…017fbacked Over51c3,890$1,984 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,906.11258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x116c…e162backed Over52c3,251$1,683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,568.0811058.2%64 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over52c3,197$1,650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,546.532,31446.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-5.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Under49c3,000$1,470 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,47027547.6%131 W · 144 L+0.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc463…9a2fbacked Over50c2,000$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,00026750.2%134 W · 133 L-2.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6ce…7ec8backed Over50c1,750$875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87562346.9%292 W · 331 L-3.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Over50c1,578$789 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$789.051,44149.2%709 W · 732 L+6.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa084…bb99backed Under49c1,225$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.252152.4%11 W · 10 L+1.4wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Over52c1,196$622 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$574.061,43450.8%728 W · 706 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Over50c1,085$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$537.361,55551.4%800 W · 755 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over52c637.78$332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.1342948.7%209 W · 220 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed Over51c530.8$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.0733450.9%170 W · 164 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Over51c530.8$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.0718853.2%100 W · 88 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed Over51c530.8$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.0719150.8%97 W · 94 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed Over51c530.8$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.0737754.4%205 W · 172 L+5.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid-1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1e52…91d6backed Over51c423.18$216 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$207.3610438.5%40 W · 64 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-20.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8059…c043backed Under49c408.16$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20036652.7%193 W · 173 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2060…9186backed Over52c403.85$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$193.8530855.5%171 W · 137 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under49c400$194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.2976950.3%387 W · 382 L+1.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under48c327.18$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0591945.6%419 W · 500 L-27.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over50c263.98$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.992,75447.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L+11.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59ce…6f07backed Over50c215$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.8515349%75 W · 78 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under47c200$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9426154%141 W · 120 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x234b…f36dbacked Over51c165.47$84 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.0810346.6%48 W · 55 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick48cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Under49c155.98$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.4331848.7%155 W · 163 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3cc0…1912backed Under49c153.06$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.9wins-0.16per pick52cpaid-34.3%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over53c146.31$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.322,11242.9%907 W · 1,205 L-10.1wins0.00per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed Over51c122.72$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.1314353.1%76 W · 67 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c04…a593backed Under50c109.08$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.543452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.3wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+13%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Under48c107.15$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.433850%19 W · 19 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9696…2bc3backed Over52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4828542.8%122 W · 163 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Over53c98.1$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.1135551%181 W · 174 L+18.9wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over51c92$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.0886049.2%423 W · 437 L+1.9wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Under50c84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4230549.2%150 W · 155 L-14.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-9.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Over53c80$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.682043%353 W · 467 L-1.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x42b5…b5b6backed Under49c74.3$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.411,37749.1%676 W · 701 L+39.2wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3c32…7156backed Over51c71$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.7915248%73 W · 79 L-7.6wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2528…b77dbacked Over52c71$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.4327659.4%164 W · 112 L+12.6wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ae4…fc82backed Under48c62.49$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.9924346.1%112 W · 131 L-12.6wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa877…2e20backed Under50c51$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.536349%178 W · 185 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8f3…8279backed Over50c50$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251650%8 W · 8 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbd4c…394abacked Under50c50$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258146.9%38 W · 43 L-6.0wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-14.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x0c99…0c88backed Over51c38.42$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8382353.1%437 W · 386 L+1.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c9f…3973backed Over51c36.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.93757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+26.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6ff9…a78bbacked Over51c35.65$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.476262.9%39 W · 23 L+5.6wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+12.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed Under50c34.72$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3645651.5%235 W · 221 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x299f…2140backed Under48c32.18$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.4538849.5%192 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick49cpaid-1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc1…7191backed Over51c31.68$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.522100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over52c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.8866552%346 W · 319 L+8.8wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Over51c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.765721.9%144 W · 513 L-105.6wins-0.16per pick38cpaid-54.6%equal weight33-0.15 edge/pick
0xae1c…3678backed Under49c30$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.715651.9%81 W · 75 L+7.1wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc804…d7eabacked Under50c29.99$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.1110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc45d…de2fbacked Over51c29.41$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.4119548.2%94 W · 101 L-9.1wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-9.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x118d…0d42backed Over52c28.7$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.7728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick43cpaid-40.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc32…32f8backed Over51c26.18$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.831163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.0wins+0.09per pick55cpaid+15.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b78…c6b5backed Over51c25.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.621754.8%119 W · 98 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3d4c…704fbacked Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-30.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9bb0…1d3dbacked Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe976…8c6cbacked Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x14ab…5c08backed Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.520%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdfc1…1f4fbacked Under50c25$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a01…c5f6backed Over50c24.97$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.49250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e5…56a9backed Over50c24.76$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x912f…f1eebacked Over50c24.61$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.311100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab7…2293backed Over50c24.36$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.181100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8df…e87ebacked Over50c24.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.18250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.02per pick48cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12a1…87dfbacked Over50c24.13$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.071100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ca8…9c33backed Under50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.16per pick50cpaid-34.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaed6…fbebbacked Under50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1010…e8b1backed Under50c24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64bb…a837backed Over50c23.85$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.931100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ff…6031backed Over50c23.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.681100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x45f4…843ebacked Over50c23.28$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x002b…23b8backed Over50c23.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbfd5…42a9backed Over50c23.17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.591100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaf84…6d46backed Under50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a73…fe42backed Under50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+11.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb6e…3aefbacked Under50c23$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.5475%3 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.24per pick51cpaid+46.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c45…88a9backed Over50c22.83$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.42250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a1c…0e1fbacked Over50c22.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.07366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+30.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7bdb…3014backed Over50c22.1$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.05250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb617…db8abacked Under50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8048…2953backed Under50c22$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1120%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x211a…8d31backed Over50c21.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x826a…3943backed Under50c21.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2e8…4fb2backed Over50c21.99$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6214…6b07backed Over50c21.78$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.89250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x07f9…5910backed Over50c21.24$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.62250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5f39…d603backed Over51c21.14$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3616549.7%82 W · 83 L-6.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0926…144bbacked Under50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1171…5f3bbacked Under50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xff3c…373fbacked Under50c21$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.5250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0bf1…8958backed Over52c21$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.012100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.46per pick54cpaid+85.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4b8e…9753backed Under50c20.99$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ed…13a6backed Over50c20.9$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.45250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7bd6…14d9backed Over50c20.7$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.351100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.