NHL · resolved market
Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc6eba5ea7b6c954e7b2f79a7d0d0fa31c3c0144382de59201e862093997ed70f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,546
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,928
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,546 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Over | 64c | 2,452$1,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$882.72 | 2,314 | 46.5%1,075 W · 1,239 L | -7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e4b…fddebacked Under | 41c | 2,091$856 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$855.78 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6ce…7ec8backed Under | 36c | 1,900$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.99 | 623 | 46.9%292 W · 331 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa084…bb99backed Under | 37c | 1,623$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.58 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Under | 36c | 1,124$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$404.53 | 919 | 45.6%419 W · 500 L | -27.3wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Over | 61c | 861$525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.79 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Over | 64c | 777$497 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.72 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 62c | 713.33$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.7 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd092…342abacked Over | 65c | 618.83$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.83 | 472 | 56.8%268 W · 204 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Under | 37c | 276.43$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.28 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…8f79backed Over | 60c | 250$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 57cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Over | 55c | 232.2$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.49 | 920 | 49.7%457 W · 463 L | +14.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc56…b1b7backed Over | 63c | 216.06$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.94 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 37c | 167.17$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.85 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…8c82backed Over | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff89…9c06backed Over | 65c | 104.62$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.62 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | -4.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x348f…a206backed Over | 64c | 101.56$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.56 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Over | 59c | 94.65$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.01 | 249 | 46.2%115 W · 134 L | +4.0wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -11%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42b5…b5b6backed Under | 36c | 78.13$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 1,377 | 49.1%676 W · 701 L | +39.2wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac2…e183backed Over | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Over | 60c | 75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Under | 37c | 74.45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Over | 63c | 74.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.55 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 36c | 69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.84 | 1,190 | 50.7%603 W · 587 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 64c | 54$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.6 | 860 | 49.2%423 W · 437 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eca…c56abacked Over | 56c | 48$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.88 | 513 | 43.3%222 W · 291 L | -21.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcbef…0c11backed Over | 64c | 31.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.25 | 78 | 61.5%48 W · 30 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5this page
- Canucks vs. AvalancheCanucks won
- Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Canucks won
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.