NHL · resolved market
Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x79b11ffc3a58250e84ba9c5a53b8dde3ef38225eaeef499ee6013e536943f3f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Canucksof Avalanche, Canucks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $128,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $128,111
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $128,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 104 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc257…358ebacked Canucks | 54c | 80,807$43,421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,385.86 | 485 | 45.4%220 W · 265 L | -7.8wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Avalanche | 46c | 33,902$15,595 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,595.15 | 403 | 51.9%209 W · 194 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Canucks | 53c | 29,902$15,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,053.96 | 146 | 50.7%74 W · 72 L | +8.5wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Avalanche | 46c | 20,156$9,274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,273.51 | 268 | 49.6%133 W · 135 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc974…b33bbacked Avalanche | 47c | 13,475$6,333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,333.31 | 101 | 46.5%47 W · 54 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6b1…78fdbacked Avalanche | 47c | 9,856$4,632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,632.45 | 56 | 39.3%22 W · 34 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Avalanche | 47c | 6,747$3,171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,171.28 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Avalanche | 47c | 5,567$2,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,616.58 | 169 | 55.6%94 W · 75 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Canucks | 52c | 3,638$1,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,746.16 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Avalanche | 47c | 3,538$1,663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,662.81 | 188 | 53.2%100 W · 88 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aba…ebd6backed Avalanche | 48c | 2,967$1,424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,424.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f12…3e35backed Avalanche | 47c | 2,905$1,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,365.16 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Canucks | 53c | 1,900$1,007 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$892.99 | 769 | 50.3%387 W · 382 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb4…3839backed Canucks | 54c | 1,632$881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$750.52 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +2.4wins | +0.24per pick | 46cpaid | +50.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Avalanche | 47c | 1,226$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.3 | 334 | 50.9%170 W · 164 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed Avalanche | 47c | 1,030$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.09 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xacbe…85d4backed Avalanche | 46c | 841.81$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$387.23 | 201 | 47.3%95 W · 106 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Avalanche | 47c | 821.11$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$385.92 | 429 | 48.7%209 W · 220 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39d3…9ef0backed Avalanche | 47c | 804.57$378 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.15 | 186 | 41.9%78 W · 108 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Avalanche | 46c | 761$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.06 | 831 | 49.5%411 W · 420 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e52…0ec9backed Avalanche | 47c | 721$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$338.87 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed Canucks | 53c | 699.99$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.99 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce39…04d6backed Avalanche | 47c | 695.32$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.8 | 170 | 42.4%72 W · 98 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Avalanche | 47c | 693.53$325 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.34 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Avalanche | 47c | 617.7$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.36 | 538 | 49.4%266 W · 272 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x714d…6e05backed Avalanche | 47c | 600$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Avalanche | 46c | 560.02$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.61 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Avalanche | 46c | 537.98$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.1 | 2,754 | 47.9%1,318 W · 1,436 L | +11.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Avalanche | 47c | 500$235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235 | 1,555 | 51.4%800 W · 755 L | +12.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd73a…0f4ebacked Avalanche | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf984…5098backed Avalanche | 47c | 412$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.64 | 106 | 47.2%50 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a97…72ebbacked Avalanche | 47c | 397.56$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.85 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -26%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Avalanche | 47c | 397.56$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.85 | 377 | 54.4%205 W · 172 L | +5.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Avalanche | 47c | 397.56$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.85 | 133 | 51.1%68 W · 65 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1030…dd7abacked Avalanche | 47c | 397.56$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.85 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Avalanche | 46c | 245.92$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.12 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04eb…f50dbacked Avalanche | 47c | 238.87$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.43 | 266 | 57.9%154 W · 112 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Avalanche | 47c | 237.68$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.71 | 104 | 38.5%40 W · 64 L | -3.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc53…6bd3backed Avalanche | 25c | 234.3$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.93 | 540 | 49.4%267 W · 273 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab41…c453backed Canucks | 54c | 233.3$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.48 | 1,431 | 58.3%834 W · 597 L | +81.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8cdc…b83fbacked Avalanche | 47c | 230.24$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.21 | 61 | 47.5%29 W · 32 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Avalanche | 48c | 222.02$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.57 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Avalanche | 47c | 206$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.82 | 138 | 56.5%78 W · 60 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Avalanche | 47c | 191.57$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.04 | 823 | 53.1%437 W · 386 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked Avalanche | 47c | 182.02$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.55 | 98 | 49%48 W · 50 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Avalanche | 46c | 161.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.5 | 229 | 46.3%106 W · 123 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Avalanche | 46c | 149.67$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.85 | 267 | 50.2%134 W · 133 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ad9…3cb4backed Avalanche | 47c | 143.38$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.39 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa04e…376abacked Avalanche | 47c | 143.01$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…c077backed Avalanche | 47c | 138$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.86 | 249 | 49.8%124 W · 125 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1d9…5955backed Avalanche | 35c | 136.07$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.06 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7793…33a6backed Avalanche | 47c | 129.94$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.67 | 73 | 52.1%38 W · 35 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6df…588cbacked Avalanche | 47c | 128.77$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.52 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -12%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Avalanche | 47c | 123.6$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.09 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…e7e7backed Avalanche | 47c | 116.18$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.61 | 101 | 24.8%25 W · 76 L | -11.2wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9044…c2f5backed Avalanche | 47c | 103$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd12…9debbacked Avalanche | 47c | 102.63$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.24 | 37 | 56.8%21 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bf…8ec8backed Canucks | 54c | 100.25$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ea…1b1abacked Avalanche | 49c | 98.92$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.47 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c04…a593backed Canucks | 54c | 98.81$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Avalanche | 48c | 97.04$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.58 | 66 | 45.5%30 W · 36 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Avalanche | 47c | 96.3$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 456 | 51.5%235 W · 221 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3901…d0e2backed Avalanche | 47c | 94.88$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.6 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Canucks | 46c | 90.04$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.62 | 1,202 | 60.1%722 W · 480 L | +51.9wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +15%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d8…49b8backed Avalanche | 47c | 89.49$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.06 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…3326backed Avalanche | 47c | 82.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.7 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c1d…1f8fbacked Canucks | 52c | 76.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.95 | 184 | 53.8%99 W · 85 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f39…d603backed Avalanche | 44c | 76.69$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.54 | 165 | 49.7%82 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…a349backed Avalanche | 46c | 75.96$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.94 | 317 | 44.2%140 W · 177 L | +14.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed Avalanche | 47c | 75.52$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.49 | 152 | 48%73 W · 79 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfab0…e0f5backed Avalanche | 47c | 74.3$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.92 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 54cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce10…6f4cbacked Avalanche | 47c | 73.5$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86b0…a9e6backed Avalanche | 47c | 70.04$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.92 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed Avalanche | 46c | 65.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.26 | 127 | 58.3%74 W · 53 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9401…38cbbacked Avalanche | 47c | 64.85$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.48 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Avalanche | 47c | 63.9$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.03 | 103 | 59.2%61 W · 42 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Avalanche | 49c | 63.74$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.23 | 152 | 45.4%69 W · 83 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e4…eabbbacked Avalanche | 47c | 62.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.52 | 565 | 53.6%303 W · 262 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Canucks | 65c | 55.81$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 657 | 21.9%144 W · 513 L | -105.6wins | -0.16per pick | 38cpaid | -54.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x7ae4…fc82backed Canucks | 56c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.76 | 243 | 46.1%112 W · 131 L | -12.6wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadb9…ef55backed Avalanche | 46c | 52.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.19 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Avalanche | 47c | 51.5$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 196 | 51.5%101 W · 95 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcec1…9c0cbacked Avalanche | 46c | 48.78$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.44 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16ea…9400backed Canucks | 53c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 477 | 53.9%257 W · 220 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a04…6cb7backed Avalanche | 47c | 41.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.64 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1a…8f46backed Avalanche | 48c | 41.25$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Avalanche | 47c | 40.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 211 | 55.5%117 W · 94 L | +7.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3d5…7ca1backed Avalanche | 47c | 38.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44e4…f624backed Avalanche | 47c | 38.73$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 279 | 57.7%161 W · 118 L | +11.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f2…a659backed Avalanche | 47c | 37.84$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.79 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x853f…d2a8backed Avalanche | 47c | 37.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -47%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Avalanche | 37c | 31.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 286 | 52.4%150 W · 136 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Avalanche | 47c | 30.01$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 276 | 59.4%164 W · 112 L | +12.6wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc32…32f8backed Canucks | 54c | 29.96$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.78 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ca…e04dbacked Avalanche | 47c | 29.05$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.65 | 56 | 58.9%33 W · 23 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeadd…4da1backed Avalanche | 47c | 27.85$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.09 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.14per pick | 50cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4b49…0397backed Avalanche | 46c | 27.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 204 | 50%102 W · 102 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…cf99backed Avalanche | 46c | 27.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.49 | 167 | 46.1%77 W · 90 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191e…dd9ebacked Avalanche | 47c | 26.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -3.2wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0ebb…1e6bbacked Canucks | 54c | 26.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.08 | 120 | 50.8%61 W · 59 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Avalanche (-2.5)this page
- Canucks vs. AvalancheCanucks won
- Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 4.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 5.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 6.5Over won
- Canucks vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Avalanche (-1.5)Canucks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.