TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$266,822
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$269,439

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,822 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb22…6478backed Under40c191,247$75,586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75,586.2615647.4%74 W · 82 L+1.0wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x036c…178dbacked Over60c171,626$103,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67,850.262871.4%20 W · 8 L+6.0wins+0.21per pick50cpaid+46.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over59c40,616$24,087 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,528.8512451.6%64 W · 60 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-8.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdd92…6b2abacked Under41c29,998$12,299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,299.21633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-25.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under40c13,076$5,222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,221.7825149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xead0…f3babacked Under41c12,500$5,125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,125425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c7,301$4,569 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,732.663,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x656f…76b9backed Over59c6,224$3,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,551.84250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-15.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over59c5,207$3,089 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,118.2997146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x91fd…1cdebacked Under41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,05020%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Under41c5,000$2,050 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,049.94425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked Over61c4,000$2,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5605147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea00…c1f1backed Over59c3,500$2,065 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4355054%27 W · 23 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a40…c93fbacked Over59c2,500$1,475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0255251.9%27 W · 25 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7879…3653backed Over61c1,639$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$639.34955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+5.4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Under41c1,585$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6502751.9%14 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61519657.1%112 W · 84 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a39…a189backed Over59c1,500$885 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6151060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+9.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over60c1,341$803 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$538.0742947.1%202 W · 227 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x40d0…4415backed Over59c1,275$752 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$522.7511055.5%61 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebba…383cbacked Under41c1,220$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-32.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under33c698.99$229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.782250%11 W · 11 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Under38c650$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24710853.7%58 W · 50 L+6.1wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcc39…1564backed Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2054456.8%25 W · 19 L0.0wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over59c500$295 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2053655.6%20 W · 16 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x678e…1f95backed Over61c432.29$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.5988.9%8 W · 1 L+3.1wins+0.34per pick54cpaid+68.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x69a6…4b30backed Over59c418.64$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.641100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x955f…2a6fbacked Over61c377.05$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$147.051100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb580…9b95backed Over61c368$224 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.754438.6%17 W · 27 L-3.1wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3b9…70aebacked Over61c360.75$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.691346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x033d…fd1ebacked Over61c327.87$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.874100%4 W · 0 L+1.9wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+106.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over78c320.19$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.194645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-12.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over60c320$192 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1281435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.5wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-25.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Over61c304.92$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.921747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid-6.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1c86…15c0backed Over61c298.36$182 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$116.36933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.1wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-44.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd35e…a1e8backed Over61c288.69$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.59633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-41.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf469…dcaabacked Over61c287.02$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$111.94771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.3wins+0.19per pick53cpaid+35.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over59c266.58$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.218652.3%45 W · 41 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5179…2b29backed Over59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.58653.5%46 W · 40 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over59c250$148 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.54961.2%30 W · 19 L+2.2wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2986…763bbacked Under41c241.46$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaaad…c739backed Over60c233.33$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.331546.7%7 W · 8 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-9.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over60c216.46$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.037150.7%36 W · 35 L-3.1wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd4a…1104backed Over61c204.92$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79.922100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+65.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over59c200$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823354.5%18 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe08c…e03cbacked Over61c200$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-25.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x622b…5a4abacked Over60c195$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-49.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed Over62c179.98$112 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.3924351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd079…8db3backed Over59c175$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.755257.7%30 W · 22 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4d58…2073backed Over59c175$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.755651.8%29 W · 27 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed Over59c172.28$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.639457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over60c169.32$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.4758043.6%253 W · 327 L-12.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e72…54f0backed Over59c168.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.082458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over59c160$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.65556.4%31 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90df…a209backed Over59c152.54$90 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.543053.3%16 W · 14 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+6.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x41ed…1da9backed Over59c150$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.54459.1%26 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Under11c144.77$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.5492346.6%430 W · 493 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2025…db59backed Over59c140$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.45152.9%27 W · 24 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over59c140$83 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$57.45046%23 W · 27 L-4.5wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-19.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbecc…f560backed Over61c132.89$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.831747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.3wins+0.14per pick33cpaid+96.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8725…d370backed Over60c125.96$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.962147.6%10 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+8.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4109…7e24backed Over59c125$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.253759.5%22 W · 15 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over59c125$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.2513557.8%78 W · 57 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2692…2698backed Over59c125$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.255152.9%27 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over79c124.79$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.164348.8%21 W · 22 L-6.6wins-0.15per pick64cpaid-23.4%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc383…a540backed Over59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.25154.9%28 W · 23 L-0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over59c120$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.220154.2%109 W · 92 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dd4…50bcbacked Over61c117.43$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.2wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+65.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9094…dcabbacked Over61c113.92$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.435100%5 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+92.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8728…0882backed Over60c100$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$404242.9%18 W · 24 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-11.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x84fc…9db4backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415451.9%28 W · 26 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-10.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7398…f4b6backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.0wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa60b…c728backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$416256.5%35 W · 27 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411145.5%5 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick58cpaid-16.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf79e…9a84backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415056%28 W · 22 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x864c…735fbacked Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414854.2%26 W · 22 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415149%25 W · 26 L-2.5wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa48d…b023backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411050%5 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa800…cc71backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$414953.1%26 W · 23 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-10.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa620…ca56backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415352.8%28 W · 25 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-9.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe601…c728backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$415261.5%32 W · 20 L+2.5wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0ee5…96c2backed Over59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$411060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+9.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa0a8…2282backed Over61c82.87$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.32862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick58cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x927f…b921backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.97366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over61c81.97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.9716744.3%74 W · 93 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e18…e68bbacked Over61c77.15$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.093100%3 W · 0 L+1.3wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x133a…f9d1backed Over59c70$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.71861.1%11 W · 7 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over60c68.19$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.291,30151.2%666 W · 635 L-19.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Over62c66.97$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.5913950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under23c63.81$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4182044.5%365 W · 455 L-16.6wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe013…1ddcbacked Over60c62.5$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$252458.3%14 W · 10 L-0.1wins0.00per pick59cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c4c…dc70backed Over59c61$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.011060%6 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6afd…5cb1backed Over59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.64755.3%26 W · 21 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd2a2…004abacked Over59c60$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.64951%25 W · 24 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-9.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e08…19cabacked Over61c60$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.42657.7%15 W · 11 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea2e…d695backed Over59c55$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.555354.7%29 W · 24 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-6.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Over60c54.23$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.696555.4%36 W · 29 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x418b…a741backed Over65c53.85$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.859758.8%57 W · 40 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-4.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Over77c51.23$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.5587154.6%476 W · 395 L+34.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+4.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2bba…6596backed Over59c50.85$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.85955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.