Mls · resolved market
Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4636b7ddd902a303acdc5bfb25955a08c1b7b206044e06840484d6ca0cc3abb7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $266,822
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $269,439
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $266,822 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 134 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdb22…6478backed Under | 40c | 191,247$75,586 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75,586.26 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Over | 60c | 171,626$103,775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67,850.26 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +6.0wins | +0.21per pick | 50cpaid | +46.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 59c | 40,616$24,087 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,528.85 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdd92…6b2abacked Under | 41c | 29,998$12,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,299.21 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 40c | 13,076$5,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,221.78 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Under | 41c | 12,500$5,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,125 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 63c | 7,301$4,569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,732.66 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x656f…76b9backed Over | 59c | 6,224$3,672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,551.84 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 61cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 59c | 5,207$3,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.29 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Under | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,050 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Under | 41c | 5,000$2,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,049.94 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Over | 61c | 4,000$2,440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea00…c1f1backed Over | 59c | 3,500$2,065 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,435 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a40…c93fbacked Over | 59c | 2,500$1,475 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,025 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Over | 61c | 1,639$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$639.34 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefce…4e4abacked Under | 41c | 1,585$650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$650 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9d3…9d4bbacked Over | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 196 | 57.1%112 W · 84 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a39…a189backed Over | 59c | 1,500$885 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Over | 60c | 1,341$803 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$538.07 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40d0…4415backed Over | 59c | 1,275$752 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$522.75 | 110 | 55.5%61 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebba…383cbacked Under | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Under | 33c | 698.99$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.78 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Under | 38c | 650$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 108 | 53.7%58 W · 50 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc39…1564backed Over | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a59…eb2ebacked Over | 59c | 500$295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x678e…1f95backed Over | 61c | 432.29$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.5 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.1wins | +0.34per pick | 54cpaid | +68.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x69a6…4b30backed Over | 59c | 418.64$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Over | 61c | 377.05$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +63.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Over | 61c | 368$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.75 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf3b9…70aebacked Over | 61c | 360.75$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.69 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x033d…fd1ebacked Over | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.87 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.9wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +106.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3880…ab7dbacked Over | 78c | 320.19$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.19 | 46 | 45.7%21 W · 25 L | -3.7wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…c9fdbacked Over | 60c | 320$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Over | 61c | 304.92$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.92 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 55cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Over | 61c | 298.36$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd35e…a1e8backed Over | 61c | 288.69$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.59 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf469…dcaabacked Over | 61c | 287.02$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.94 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Over | 59c | 266.58$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.21 | 86 | 52.3%45 W · 41 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5179…2b29backed Over | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 86 | 53.5%46 W · 40 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c4a…8e5dbacked Over | 59c | 250$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…763bbacked Under | 41c | 241.46$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…c739backed Over | 60c | 233.33$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.33 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 60c | 216.46$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.03 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd4a…1104backed Over | 61c | 204.92$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.92 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +65.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc0e…0fbdbacked Over | 59c | 200$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe08c…e03cbacked Over | 61c | 200$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x622b…5a4abacked Over | 60c | 195$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Over | 62c | 179.98$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.39 | 243 | 51.4%125 W · 118 L | -16.4wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd079…8db3backed Over | 59c | 175$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 52 | 57.7%30 W · 22 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d58…2073backed Over | 59c | 175$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.75 | 56 | 51.8%29 W · 27 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47c7…cac7backed Over | 59c | 172.28$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.63 | 94 | 57.4%54 W · 40 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 60c | 169.32$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.47 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Over | 59c | 168.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.08 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2dc…b3c5backed Over | 59c | 160$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.6 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90df…a209backed Over | 59c | 152.54$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.54 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x41ed…1da9backed Over | 59c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.5 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Under | 11c | 144.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.54 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…db59backed Over | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdcf7…bcbebacked Over | 59c | 140$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.4 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed Over | 61c | 132.89$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.83 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 33cpaid | +96.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…d370backed Over | 60c | 125.96$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4109…7e24backed Over | 59c | 125$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e4…d6b2backed Over | 59c | 125$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 135 | 57.8%78 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2692…2698backed Over | 59c | 125$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.25 | 51 | 52.9%27 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 79c | 124.79$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.16 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -6.6wins | -0.15per pick | 64cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc383…a540backed Over | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 59c | 120$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.2 | 201 | 54.2%109 W · 92 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd4…50bcbacked Over | 61c | 117.43$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9094…dcabbacked Over | 61c | 113.92$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.43 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +92.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Over | 60c | 100$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84fc…9db4backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7398…f4b6backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1f…f56bbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.12per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf79e…9a84backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x864c…735fbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fad…aa0fbacked Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa48d…b023backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…cc71backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa620…ca56backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe601…c728backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 52 | 61.5%32 W · 20 L | +2.5wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…96c2backed Over | 59c | 100$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0a8…2282backed Over | 61c | 82.87$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.32 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x927f…b921backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7113…dba4backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 167 | 44.3%74 W · 93 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e18…e68bbacked Over | 61c | 77.15$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.09 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Over | 59c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.7 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 60c | 68.19$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.29 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Over | 62c | 66.97$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.59 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 23c | 63.81$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.41 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe013…1ddcbacked Over | 60c | 62.5$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c4c…dc70backed Over | 59c | 61$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.01 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6afd…5cb1backed Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2a2…004abacked Over | 59c | 60$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Over | 61c | 60$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.4 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2e…d695backed Over | 59c | 55$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 53 | 54.7%29 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Over | 60c | 54.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 65 | 55.4%36 W · 29 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 53.85$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 97 | 58.8%57 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Over | 77c | 51.23$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.55 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…6596backed Over | 59c | 50.85$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.85 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5this page
- Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-2.5)Nashville SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.