Mls · resolved market
Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x324c4e8b9d7733854f153d3dbebc6e8ee325e00f3433afb91aee4b56dec235b7
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,038
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,038 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 72c | 1,871$1,338 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$532.75 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 34c | 1,500$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -38.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 57c | 997.65$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.66 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 16c | 643.26$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.61 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 54c | 457.24$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.37 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 43c | 453.74$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.66 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 47c | 249.05$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.29 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Yes | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.19 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.08per pick | 70cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 53c | 173.91$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.44 | 820 | 44.5%365 W · 455 L | -16.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed No | 62c | 153.88$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.36 | 273 | 44.3%121 W · 152 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Yes | 38c | 133.33$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.67 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd754…7857backed No | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf36f…e5b8backed Yes | 58c | 95.62$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.46 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 43c | 70$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.9 | 1,301 | 51.2%666 W · 635 L | -19.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 45c | 64.79$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.78 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Yes | 57c | 60$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc5bf…5fcfbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ec3…34a7backed No | 66c | 50.48$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.16 | 99 | 65.7%65 W · 34 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 62cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked Yes | 26c | 39.21$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.04 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed No | 66c | 38$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.97 | 19 | 84.2%16 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +49.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 47c | 37.6$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.77 | 189 | 67.2%127 W · 62 L | +21.1wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Yes | 44c | 35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x550d…f1ffbacked No | 58c | 31.02$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.02 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…36f2backed Yes | 55c | 30.79$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.93 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.0wins | +0.21per pick | 57cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 65c | 30.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.95 | 967 | 56.8%549 W · 418 L | +73.1wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed No | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 40 | 45%18 W · 22 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x308f…3c47backed Yes | 39c | 26.03$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.09 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ec…aeaabacked Yes | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.41per pick | 66cpaid | -60.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x99e9…910bbacked Yes | 56c | 21.43$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a25…bb6bbacked No | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x04b4…8d0bbacked No | 52c | 20.83$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 56c | 19.32$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.74 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Nashville SC vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 4.5Over won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Nashville SC (-2.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-1.5)Nashville SC won
- Spread: Orlando City SC (-2.5)Nashville SC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.