La Liga · resolved market
Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x509bc95338933d52a1aae0975153369b0bfe1281a467b64b7ff7130c461eca5f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,407
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,661
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,407 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 34 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 68c | 2,260$1,542 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.06 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Yes | 23c | 1,498$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.6 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Yes | 38c | 1,356$515 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$515.23 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fb4…90f3backed No | 48c | 791.67$380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.67 | 31 | 61.3%19 W · 12 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 47c | 471$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.63 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 53c | 417.32$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.18 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +10.4wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2e…a948backed Yes | 49c | 404.43$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.17 | 175 | 41.1%72 W · 103 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 52c | 345.4$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.52 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98e0…bf01backed No | 66c | 342.24$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.36 | 73 | 63%46 W · 27 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 52c | 246.36$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.11 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…2101backed Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 52c | 185.49$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.46 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Yes | 53c | 150.35$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Yes | 49c | 149.22$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.12 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19ee…446cbacked Yes | 37c | 80.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.58 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked No | 57c | 73.41$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Yes | 52c | 70.74$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.79 | 118 | 53.4%63 W · 55 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 24c | 56.66$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Yes | 52c | 48.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.1 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 48c | 39.13$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed No | 47c | 38.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.12 | 187 | 47.1%88 W · 99 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 49c | 35.7$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.31 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb2a…4e1fbacked Yes | 49c | 33.53$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 74c | 29.48$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.81 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b8c…31c3backed No | 68c | 29.33$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.45 | 71 | 50.7%36 W · 35 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x858e…a4abbacked Yes | 53c | 28.3$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed No | 48c | 26.04$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.54 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked No | 68c | 24.49$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.73 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed No | 69c | 24.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed No | 69c | 24.41$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.66 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 68c | 23.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.53 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)CD Leganés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.