La Liga · resolved market
Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x26e29768d5ec2f5abe568d390b46069ed08c6299346638fc8d42e196f7a4c5ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $224,820
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $225,280
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $224,820 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a2c…9bc1backed Under | 72c | 216,714$156,034 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60,679.81 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +3.1wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3333…15bdbacked Over | 28c | 216,229$60,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60,537.65 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbedb…3b26backed Under | 74c | 999.86$740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.96 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 28c | 893.57$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe011…31b1backed Under | 74c | 870$644 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$226.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb0…f7edbacked Over | 26c | 870$226 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$226.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2d1…06fbbacked Under | 73c | 749.29$547 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21d5…d147backed Over | 27c | 749.29$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaac8…b6f1backed Under | 74c | 610.03$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.57 | 145 | 49.7%72 W · 73 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d3f…8469backed Over | 26c | 519.15$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5de…d0f4backed Under | 73c | 468$342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.36 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.54per pick | 47cpaid | +218.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Over | 26c | 459$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.34 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc58a…b8f8backed Under | 74c | 418.53$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.16 | 53 | 64.2%34 W · 19 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Under | 73c | 311$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.97 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 26c | 270.05$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.17 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b6f…d151backed Over | 26c | 193.65$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3461…d382backed Under | 74c | 193.65$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Over | 25c | 189.4$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.35 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Over | 26c | 169.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.97 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc418…ec2bbacked Over | 28c | 125$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over | 25c | 111.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.83 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b97…77dabacked Under | 74c | 82.61$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 27c | 72.86$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc366…54cfbacked Over | 28c | 65.2$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 26c | 57.58$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 26c | 57.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.2 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 27c | 55.56$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8588…c3dcbacked Under | 74c | 51.15$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e96…f2debacked Over | 26c | 50.5$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +1.9wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x75d1…0b9cbacked Under | 74c | 40.68$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.68 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Under | 73c | 29.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.87 | 134 | 57.5%77 W · 57 L | +3.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa739…6333backed Under | 74c | 26.31$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 73c | 22.29$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.02 | 118 | 55.9%66 W · 52 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x142d…bf73backed Under | 74c | 20.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.27 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.1wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +93%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd650…8d74backed Under | 75c | 19$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.75 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6855…ba24backed Under | 74c | 14.86$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 67cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5this page
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)CD Leganés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.