La Liga · resolved market
Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc168bd35664752f426ae09dd7d1488658a4cba3eb27926dd002e6d88ff06b06c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,869
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,206
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,869 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 75c | 4,808$3,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,208.51 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 11c | 2,226$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.47 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6394…9749backed Over | 27c | 1,489$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbf4…50bbbacked Over | 50c | 1,066$533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 50c | 913.81$458 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.62 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 36c | 694.44$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 124 | 45.2%56 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 21c | 553.67$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 50c | 518.18$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.22 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd8c…f75abacked Over | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 50c | 400$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b8…632abacked Under | 52c | 219.95$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.78 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +66.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe761…8a64backed Under | 50c | 202$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 202$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.88 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 50c | 201.88$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf4…40fabacked Over | 46c | 174.07$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 68 | 52.9%36 W · 32 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 41c | 170.73$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 52c | 163$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.01 | 1,566 | 51.6%808 W · 758 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 64c | 152.25$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.73 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 11c | 127.27$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 52c | 126.51$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.18 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 53c | 105.71$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.71 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9548…1226backed Under | 62c | 104.21$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 49cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 50c | 103.77$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.88 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 49c | 103.22$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 51c | 100$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff38…1d79backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.2wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Under | 52c | 96.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.15 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +1.5wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 50c | 90$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 62c | 73.55$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.18 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 49c | 65.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Over | 50c | 62.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.13 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc119…7d4dbacked Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 324 | 44.8%145 W · 179 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Over | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 492 | 28.9%142 W · 350 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Over | 51c | 49.02$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Under | 77c | 46.59$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a85…3699backed Over | 49c | 40.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.14 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9bf2…9959backed Over | 50c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Over | 48c | 37.27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed Over | 48c | 34.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.69 | 227 | 58.1%132 W · 95 L | +9.3wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8198…5c57backed Under | 52c | 31.02$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Over | 50c | 29.73$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 55c | 28.1$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 1,508 | 38.7%583 W · 925 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x046c…9f9fbacked Over | 49c | 26.67$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc709…0a40backed Over | 39c | 26.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +4.7wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed Over | 48c | 26.27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 48c | 25.16$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.15 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe363…c894backed Under | 51c | 24.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.1 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 54cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 64c | 20.49$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.36 | 791 | 33%261 W · 530 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5this page
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)CD Leganés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.