La Liga · resolved market
Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x18c670cad63c872a874471786e99478292f897d40bb3201af0f95da7764e132e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $34,904
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,006
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,904 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1cc7…43e5backed Over | 0c | 12,222$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -42.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 62c | 7,541$4,682 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,858.17 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 46c | 4,010$1,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,160.46 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 72c | 3,698$2,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,644.24 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff79…a52abacked Over | 60c | 2,422$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.89 | 161 | 49.7%80 W · 81 L | +6.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7fa…f6dfbacked Over | 31c | 1,498$471 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$471.06 | 38 | 31.6%12 W · 26 L | -2.0wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2206…ae92backed Over | 19c | 1,229$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.53 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 55cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 53c | 1,073$574 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$499.02 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Over | 13c | 1,002$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.85 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2dc…b624backed Over | 32c | 999.99$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.2wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Over | 48c | 645.83$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 378 | 29.4%111 W · 267 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6081…f0f2backed Over | 72c | 499.39$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$359.56 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd06f…0263backed Over | 68c | 375.68$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$255.46 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed Over | 32c | 363.03$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 84 | 39.3%33 W · 51 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 46c | 329.05$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 223 | 57%127 W · 96 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe48c…163abacked Over | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 225 | 53.8%121 W · 104 L | +12.8wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked Over | 74c | 270.32$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d30…077dbacked Over | 30c | 233.33$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 86 | 41.9%36 W · 50 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Under | 43c | 201.25$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.35 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…a81bbacked Under | 45c | 182$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.1 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.18per pick | 36cpaid | +895.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ab8…e32fbacked Over | 55c | 172.41$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.83 | 32 | 59.4%19 W · 13 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 18c | 171.67$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.75 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 70c | 166.06$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.18 | 59 | 67.8%40 W · 19 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe881…db61backed Over | 25c | 111.45$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.46 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 29c | 109.75$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Under | 76c | 100.39$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc2d…6f93backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.33 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d12…cc43backed Over | 17c | 88.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | -5.3wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 60c | 83.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 105 | 54.3%57 W · 48 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa21f…adddbacked Over | 48c | 79.17$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 41c | 73.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 101 | 55.4%56 W · 45 L | +4.9wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x47f9…4731backed Over | 63c | 70$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | +4.0wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Under | 67c | 69.67$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 27c | 62.82$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.82 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd51e…ac0cbacked Under | 61c | 59.93$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 178 | 56.7%101 W · 77 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed Under | 69c | 56.14$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.63 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…572dbacked Over | 56c | 53.57$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -38.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…d64abacked Over | 48c | 50$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 73c | 48.1$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.08 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under | 28c | 44.19$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.82 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 25c | 42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.5 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 75c | 40$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc820…5ab5backed Over | 74c | 38$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.12 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb277…c7eebacked Under | 44c | 37.52$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.06 | 14 | 78.6%11 W · 3 L | +3.7wins | +0.27per pick | 52cpaid | +55%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Under | 50c | 31.57$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 136 | 48.5%66 W · 70 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de7…61c0backed Over | 52c | 30.77$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x810d…6080backed Under | 54c | 27.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.47 | 79 | 55.7%44 W · 35 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3319…ba79backed Under | 65c | 27$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.55 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4148…4397backed Over | 46c | 21.78$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 92 | 46.7%43 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9eae…98a5backed Over | 70c | 18.51$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 117 | 69.2%81 W · 36 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 223 | 66.8%149 W · 74 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5this page
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)CD Leganés won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.