La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xc93dce555a098bc285575343b669581d5970012148f88a73fb2c651d069453aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- CD Leganésof Málaga CF, CD Leganés
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,992
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,084
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,992 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed CD Leganés | 75c | 1,084$813 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270.94 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ba3…329bbacked CD Leganés | 73c | 908.61$663 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$245.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d2…fb74backed Málaga CF | 27c | 908.61$245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Málaga CF | 24c | 831.08$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.68 | 58 | 32.8%19 W · 39 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc16…40a5backed Málaga CF | 23c | 381.9$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89 | 208 | 43.3%90 W · 118 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf09b…2101backed Málaga CF | 27c | 150$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -2.4wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Málaga CF | 28c | 140$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.2 | 134 | 19.4%26 W · 108 L | -6.7wins | -0.05per pick | 24cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed CD Leganés | 75c | 138.12$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.14 | 357 | 59.4%212 W · 145 L | +10.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f37…276ebacked CD Leganés | 74c | 138.05$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f8…f5eebacked Málaga CF | 26c | 138.05$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.89 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Málaga CF | 22c | 125$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Málaga CF | 21c | 124.95$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed CD Leganés | 74c | 122.31$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.09 | 283 | 57.2%162 W · 121 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cff…15d1backed Málaga CF | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 228 | 39.9%91 W · 137 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked CD Leganés | 72c | 92.68$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.83 | 192 | 60.9%117 W · 75 L | +14.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Málaga CF | 24c | 87.31$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.2 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Málaga CF | 14c | 86.92$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.94 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Málaga CF | 22c | 76.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.9 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked CD Leganés | 75c | 76.25$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a81…a86bbacked CD Leganés | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 174 | 66.1%115 W · 59 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Málaga CF | 21c | 64.29$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9c…1700backed CD Leganés | 72c | 60.11$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.83 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce5…af2ebacked Málaga CF | 23c | 56.45$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.98 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Málaga CF | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 110 | 66.4%73 W · 37 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed CD Leganés | 73c | 47.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.79 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked CD Leganés | 71c | 37.58$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed CD Leganés | 79c | 36.01$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.68 | 176 | 59.7%105 W · 71 L | +8.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26dd…0249backed CD Leganés | 79c | 32.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6e1…6579backed CD Leganés | 77c | 29.96$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked CD Leganés | 71c | 28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 1,018 | 53.1%541 W · 477 L | -24.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0922…d953backed CD Leganés | 79c | 26.38$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.54 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ff…4e38backed CD Leganés | 72c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.44 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed CD Leganés | 76c | 16.98$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.09 | 411 | 47.9%197 W · 214 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Málaga CF (-1.5)this page
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 1.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 2.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 3.5Under won
- Málaga CF vs. CD Leganés: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-1.5)Málaga CF won
- Spread: CD Leganés (-2.5)Málaga CF won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.