La Liga · resolved market
FC Barcelona leading at halftime?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9716a45e9f580a85b084036b1fe395bff7e3bcda06a89d18a76e0fdd5971a074
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,565
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,565 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7879…3653backed Yes | 64c | 1,552$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.8 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe0c…04b6backed Yes | 64c | 1,552$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$551.51 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -2.9wins | -0.12per pick | 54cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 38c | 1,272$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.23 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef20…8f64backed No | 37c | 1,046$387 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.66 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +22%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x351e…de8abacked No | 38c | 828.36$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.78 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8929…733ebacked No | 37c | 734.91$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.37 | 55 | 30.9%17 W · 38 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 35c | 727.5$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.62 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdf3d…fd74backed No | 38c | 589.5$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.4 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 36c | 535.8$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.89 | 1,038 | 48.1%499 W · 539 L | +17.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 35c | 503$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.08 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbff4…b609backed Yes | 65c | 409.33$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.85 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x054b…afd5backed Yes | 62c | 358.06$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.06 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed No | 36c | 300$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +26.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe44c…f15cbacked No | 39c | 291.38$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.26 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Yes | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 387 | 48.1%186 W · 201 L | +17.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f84…67efbacked Yes | 59c | 199.99$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82 | 136 | 26.5%36 W · 100 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x333b…c557backed Yes | 62c | 199.9$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.96 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +3.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x20ad…a7c6backed No | 39c | 163.83$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.68 | 170 | 32.9%56 W · 114 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe812…7c12backed Yes | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.25 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 61cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4234…6b87backed Yes | 63c | 149.46$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.04 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 37c | 142.13$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.66 | 351 | 45.6%160 W · 191 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5555…823bbacked Yes | 64c | 120.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.14per pick | 73cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x49e1…52febacked Yes | 63c | 96.45$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Yes | 63c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9e5c…d8e6backed No | 35c | 90$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 295 | 45.4%134 W · 161 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x993f…35cbbacked No | 38c | 88.65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.72 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc00…79f8backed No | 39c | 80$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e08…19cabacked Yes | 63c | 80$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +5.6wins | +0.13per pick | 58cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda35…b894backed Yes | 63c | 78.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 69 | 63.8%44 W · 25 L | +7.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1c83…6f40backed Yes | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.54 | 72 | 41.7%30 W · 42 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 39c | 61.04$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 35c | 59.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.63 | 201 | 59.2%119 W · 82 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc136…39b4backed Yes | 66c | 56.83$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 62c | 56.74$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.37 | 501 | 49.5%248 W · 253 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x170c…7fe3backed Yes | 62c | 50$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 60c | 48.23$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.29 | 839 | 39.8%334 W · 505 L | -21.0wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x700a…58a5backed No | 38c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 44 | 22.7%10 W · 34 L | -3.3wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x554a…077cbacked Yes | 66c | 37.88$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.88 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4af8…a0ebbacked Yes | 66c | 37.77$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.84 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x033a…586dbacked Yes | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 100 | 41%41 W · 59 L | -13.6wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa3…0d9abacked Yes | 64c | 35.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.68 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b1f…4eebbacked Yes | 55c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 53 | 58.5%31 W · 22 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33be…800cbacked Yes | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc952…1d90backed Yes | 50c | 20.18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.09 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 413 | 48.7%201 W · 212 L | -9.4wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Yes | 62c | 19.63$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…b4d5backed Yes | 65c | 16.49$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.77 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Barcelona leading at halftime?this page
- Rayo Vallecano de Madrid leading at halftime?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.