Bundesliga · resolved market
Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-03-06?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x19fa430372d4dc6e57344b958ebfa62d2507767ecf99b324969601ecc1f62e73
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Bundesligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $79,642
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $79,642 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 144 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Bundesliga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked No | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,879.92 | 332 | 44.6%148 W · 184 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 56c | 2,522$1,406 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,405.65 | 3,284 | 42.6%1,399 W · 1,885 L | -74.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 48c | 2,231$1,065 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,065.06 | 1,681 | 45.2%759 W · 922 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 51c | 2,046$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050.22 | 782 | 48.8%382 W · 400 L | -28.1wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe671…a682backed Yes | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940 | 158 | 47.5%75 W · 83 L | +10.5wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4be9…1442backed Yes | 51c | 2,000$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$980 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x955f…2a6fbacked Yes | 42c | 1,909$793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,116.21 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 52c | 1,598$831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$767.08 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9769…7cd7backed Yes | 28c | 1,586$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,141.32 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +47.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc9…18c4backed No | 48c | 1,567$752 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$752.16 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 1,174$837 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$837.36 | 1,355 | 50.9%690 W · 665 L | +12.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34f6…eab4backed Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 51c | 996.84$508 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.45 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4922…34a7backed Yes | 53c | 859.5$456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.96 | 37 | 29.7%11 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfec2…08afbacked Yes | 51c | 856.45$436 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.18 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 53c | 760$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$357.2 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 44c | 750.58$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.58 | 380 | 55.8%212 W · 168 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 49c | 622.97$305 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.26 | 311 | 45%140 W · 171 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x42df…bb2fbacked Yes | 33c | 619.61$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413.61 | 58 | 34.5%20 W · 38 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 26cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0c4f…0f33backed Yes | 53c | 599.79$316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +67.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab8…a331backed Yes | 53c | 569.81$302 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$267.81 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 41c | 563.68$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.91 | 191 | 39.8%76 W · 115 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 51c | 485.77$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.77 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9493…7988backed Yes | 43c | 470$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266.8 | 44 | 43.2%19 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2109…55bfbacked Yes | 46c | 439.99$202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.6 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 54cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9de4…7f2ebacked No | 58c | 400$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 45c | 387.19$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.19 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | +4.9wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1c86…15c0backed Yes | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 176 | 52.3%92 W · 84 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 52c | 350.47$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.61 | 59 | 44.1%26 W · 33 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 46c | 328.53$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.52 | 47 | 72.3%34 W · 13 L | +5.5wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +24.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 49c | 319.41$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 817 | 32.8%268 W · 549 L | -11.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 28c | 300$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.5 | 245 | 41.6%102 W · 143 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 565 | 47.8%270 W · 295 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1871…59e6backed Yes | 51c | 300$153 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x02d4…d26cbacked Yes | 52c | 300$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed No | 43c | 299.17$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.82 | 72 | 51.4%37 W · 35 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc490…6507backed Yes | 37c | 280$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.4 | 31 | 38.7%12 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 48c | 272.1$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.21 | 624 | 52.6%328 W · 296 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64ff…8f70backed Yes | 54c | 231.48$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.48 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 44c | 227.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.27 | 205 | 40%82 W · 123 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 46c | 225$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.43 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Yes | 45c | 221.84$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.01 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca66…2305backed Yes | 24c | 208.33$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.33 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x486b…2eaabacked Yes | 52c | 200.96$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 50cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 50c | 200.75$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 61 | 29.5%18 W · 43 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf800…bdbabacked Yes | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 115 | 43.5%50 W · 65 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782e…b317backed Yes | 49c | 200$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeddf…a953backed No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20dc…f74cbacked Yes | 29c | 200$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a33…237dbacked Yes | 51c | 194.83$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.83 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +2.2wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe704…7558backed Yes | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 178 | 55.6%99 W · 79 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 188 | 40.4%76 W · 112 L | +7.9wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.68 | 61 | 59%36 W · 25 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 54c | 186.37$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.37 | 79 | 58.2%46 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 56c | 179.77$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.57 | 1,013 | 44.5%451 W · 562 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 53c | 169.81$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 190 | 55.3%105 W · 85 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c8…023abacked Yes | 37c | 162.7$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.5 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +3.1wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +43.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f1…3a05backed Yes | 40c | 159$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.39 | 60 | 35%21 W · 39 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x681b…d3aebacked No | 48c | 157$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.25 | 241 | 32%77 W · 164 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5913…3bbebacked Yes | 53c | 150.94$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.94 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e8e…8792backed No | 48c | 138$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +27%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 43c | 137.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.39 | 407 | 44.5%181 W · 226 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked Yes | 52c | 133.15$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.91 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +4.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 53c | 130$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.1 | 43 | 53.5%23 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x388b…25ddbacked Yes | 53c | 128.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.6 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 51c | 127.45$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.45 | 264 | 33.3%88 W · 176 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 47c | 121.37$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.64 | 420 | 46.4%195 W · 225 L | -10.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d11…0c08backed Yes | 44c | 114.77$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.27 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed No | 47c | 113.23$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.22 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Yes | 52c | 109.67$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.94 | 183 | 53%97 W · 86 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 45c | 106.83$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 486 | 58.6%285 W · 201 L | +44.5wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +33%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc367…a0b4backed Yes | 41c | 104.88$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.88 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 41cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x806b…5cd8backed Yes | 52c | 103.37$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.62 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 58 | 36.2%21 W · 37 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | +3.7wins | +0.20per pick | 41cpaid | +48.5%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked No | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 145 | 39.3%57 W · 88 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47 | 138 | 51.4%71 W · 67 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 82 | 51.2%42 W · 40 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x584d…d358backed Yes | 50c | 97.01$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.5 | 13 | 92.3%12 W · 1 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 64cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.34 | 175 | 47.4%83 W · 92 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd20b…8f3bbacked Yes | 30c | 93.33$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.33 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 48c | 92.16$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 386 | 46.9%181 W · 205 L | -7.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked No | 47c | 90$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.3 | 147 | 56.5%83 W · 64 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 49c | 81.71$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 204 | 36.3%74 W · 130 L | -5.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8ac4…140abacked Yes | 52c | 73$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Yes | 51c | 70$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 128 | 43%55 W · 73 L | -9.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7841…7273backed Yes | 44c | 70$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -5.1wins | -0.16per pick | 31cpaid | -43.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 51c | 66.71$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 275 | 54.9%151 W · 124 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 53c | 65.09$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 48c | 62.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 1,083 | 50.8%550 W · 533 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc804…2821backed Yes | 52c | 60$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 51c | 58.79$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 147 | 58.5%86 W · 61 L | +15.9wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +30.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 75c | 58.07$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.54 | 238 | 42.9%102 W · 136 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f60…026abacked No | 47c | 54.14$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.54 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -3.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 46 | 43.5%20 W · 26 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6757…a8bebacked Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.3 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3075…b6a6backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 115 | 39.1%45 W · 70 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3123…b44dbacked Yes | 53c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.5 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.3wins | +0.31per pick | 55cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Bundesliga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SV 07 Elversberg win on 2026-03-06?this page
- Will 1. FC Magdeburg win on 2026-03-06?No won
- Will SV 07 Elversberg vs. 1. FC Magdeburg end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.