TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Atalanta BC vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$161,904

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $161,904 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 120 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x34b9…51f6backed Under49c43,041$21,090 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,950.68333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick50cpaid-32%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under60c10,219$6,104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,114.272,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5b97…0d79backed Over51c7,775$3,965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,965.0110%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x351e…de8abacked Over51c7,089$3,616 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,615.622161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.6wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+23.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x5c74…4ef0backed Over51c5,749$2,932 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,932.132445.8%11 W · 13 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4244…03a6backed Over51c5,673$2,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,893.4720%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.47per pick47cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50020544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Over51c4,689$2,391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,390.889137.4%34 W · 57 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x287a…7976backed Over51c4,322$2,204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,204.19520%1 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.31per pick51cpaid-63.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdbca…b7b7backed Over51c4,188$2,136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,135.91926.3%5 W · 14 L-4.3wins-0.22per pick49cpaid-53.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over45c2,135$960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$959.653158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+26.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under50c1,983$991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$991.25650%3 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x453d…86aabacked Over51c1,944$991 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$991.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under49c1,797$882 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$91598544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under57c1,722$987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$734.611,98139.8%788 W · 1,193 L-7.5wins0.00per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under48c1,557$744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$812.1810650%53 W · 53 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-5.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3b7c…4cbfbacked Over34c1,500$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$510728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.11per pick40cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Over52c1,340$697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$696.7833148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under48c1,281$615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$665.8731051.6%160 W · 150 L+4.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+28.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over30c1,247$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.874721.3%10 W · 37 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick32cpaid-52.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3c80…93b5backed Over49c1,020$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.818033.8%27 W · 53 L-8.5wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-18.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x8e5a…154cbacked Over50c991.25$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.637552%39 W · 36 L+2.3wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Under63c919.56$577 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.3934643.4%150 W · 196 L+0.4wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd871…6bbabacked Over39c763.59$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297.82152.4%11 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under48c699.99$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$362.7240549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Over51c696.88$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.4126040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcc00…79f8backed Over51c644.31$329 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.61656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under62c616.6$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.0593252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over9c603.8$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.229937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over43c576.41$248 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$247.8611348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over18c552.69$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.4813826.1%36 W · 102 L-5.7wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xacb4…7595backed Under58c499.99$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2101070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+17.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xa266…67f7backed Over54c499.32$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.6411429.8%34 W · 80 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over41c484.26$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.3613636.8%50 W · 86 L-8.6wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-19.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9544…790dbacked Over52c431.43$226 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.7111349.6%56 W · 57 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1edf…2392backed Over45c389.05$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.071618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.15per pick33cpaid-35.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xe44c…f15cbacked Under49c386.34$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.741233.3%4 W · 8 L-1.7wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-40.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb47e…c602backed Over54c371.74$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.744242.9%18 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4440…f8fdbacked Over51c289.6$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.71330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.2wins-0.17per pick48cpaid-36.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under56c286.09$159 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.2591043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over45c282$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.96937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under55c270.36$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$121.661656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Over37c268.07$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1817538.9%68 W · 107 L+6.8wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2db1…45e5backed Under48c246.47$119 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$127.522161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.8wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over43c230.56$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.1417058.2%99 W · 71 L+2.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6516…dfdabacked Over53c224.44$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.955253.8%28 W · 24 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…c53abacked Under46c207.41$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1126659.1%39 W · 27 L+5.2wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x3d9f…77aebacked Over48c206.51$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.13728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.6wins-0.23per pick51cpaid-45.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10013142%55 W · 76 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over50c199.9$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9513445.5%61 W · 73 L+4.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over50c198.25$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.134936.7%18 W · 31 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick40cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x699c…b7debacked Over51c194.36$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.13250%1 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc629…5e51backed Over52c190.63$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.137958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+20.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under47c166.78$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.3946047.4%218 W · 242 L+10.6wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over51c155$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.434553.9%186 W · 159 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Over52c150$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$789045.6%41 W · 49 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf3d…fd74backed Under51c142.86$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702065%13 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.16per pick49cpaid+48.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Over49c141.61$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.392347.8%11 W · 12 L-1.4wins-0.06per pick54cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1b42…7cbebacked Over35c137.61$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.1610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.35per pick35cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c136.05$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.3938739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x49ca…5944backed Over46c129.3$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.487657.9%44 W · 32 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick62cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ec3…34a7backed Under49c128.46$63 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.512965.5%19 W · 10 L+3.9wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+28.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x534c…70f1backed Over35c125.46$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.51637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-33.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over52c122$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.0249137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc4c1…185cbacked Over38c104.4$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.672835.7%10 W · 18 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick35cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa965…3565backed Over49c104.33$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.121266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick47cpaid+93.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe36…9413backed Over14c99.16$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.881650%8 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.11per pick61cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked Over41c99.16$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.65757.1%4 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0bf…5d96backed Over53c99.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.54650%3 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-24.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over53c99.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.544740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c13…99b7backed Over53c99.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.545427.8%15 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-13%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc314…3501backed Over50c99.13$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.561526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.11per pick38cpaid-37.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under47c98.82$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.3738547.8%184 W · 201 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x277e…259ebacked Over54c91.91$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.572240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.4wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-18.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4293…792fbacked Over54c91.79$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.571428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.8wins-0.20per pick49cpaid-53.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4929…b9f9backed Over48c82.61$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.651258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+5.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd235…6eebbacked Over49c80.92$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.6515238.8%59 W · 93 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd0c3…dde1backed Over49c74.85$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.68812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-74%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9d30…077dbacked Over41c72.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.752825%7 W · 21 L-5.8wins-0.21per pick46cpaid-44%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x051b…09d4backed Over33c72.16$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.815644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb18c…df51backed Over30c66.18$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.854551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick46cpaid+16%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Over52c65.42$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.021435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-16.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe9e7…0febbacked Under46c65.31$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.131656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.7wins+0.17per pick39cpaid+42.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x16f8…31e9backed Over49c60.69$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.74837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.1wins-0.14per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed Under59c58.53$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0123244%102 W · 130 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9db…dd44backed Over53c56.54$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.933748.6%18 W · 19 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x20ad…a7c6backed Under49c54$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.6211136.9%41 W · 70 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3590…68f1backed Over46c53.88$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.781838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd714…8240backed Over37c53.61$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.84955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x306f…01c7backed Over48c51.63$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.78837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.19per pick57cpaid-21.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1110…f2d7backed Over39c50.86$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.8310%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under48c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2613146.6%61 W · 70 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b3…ad8dbacked Over52c50$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$265552.7%29 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+23.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over54c49.57$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.774660.9%28 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked Under55c45.06$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.284658.7%27 W · 19 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick48cpaid+21.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa0e8…7042backed Over45c44.06$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-47.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed Under47c43.14$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8741854.8%229 W · 189 L+2.9wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8632…4696backed Under46c40.87$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.074548.9%22 W · 23 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x33be…800cbacked Over49c40.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.83742.9%3 W · 4 L0.0wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x16ea…9400backed Under49c39.9$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.3513447.8%64 W · 70 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.