NBA · resolved market
Timberwolves vs. Trail Blazers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x685225d9b9534a9db2f64d38a470d13974eff6ef0ab014fcc10236ad911e8ac8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Trail Blazersof Timberwolves, Trail Blazers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $126,747
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $126,747 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 219 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a8c…fd3dbacked Timberwolves | 8c | 10,133$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 269 | 34.9%94 W · 175 L | -9.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Timberwolves | 3c | 9,338$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.11 | 1,035 | 1.1%11 W · 1,024 L | -24.4wins | -0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -90.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0269…cb2dbacked Timberwolves | 20c | 6,009$1,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,226.52 | 656 | 42.5%279 W · 377 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…e78abacked Timberwolves | 74c | 4,968$3,674 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,674 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc3…7552backed Timberwolves | 45c | 4,891$2,195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,194.66 | 191 | 52.4%100 W · 91 L | +16.5wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +23%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x31cf…8834backed Timberwolves | 77c | 4,669$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,593.51 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x306b…3ec5backed Timberwolves | 15c | 4,605$713 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.95 | 113 | 32.7%37 W · 76 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab15…dd2fbacked Timberwolves | 3c | 3,904$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.91 | 47 | 12.8%6 W · 41 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9fc0…53ddbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 3,691$863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,827.62 | 54 | 57.4%31 W · 23 L | +13.2wins | +0.24per pick | 33cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x89fa…2353backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 3,551$781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,770 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a64…4430backed Timberwolves | 15c | 3,182$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.31 | 615 | 32.2%198 W · 417 L | -21.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fde…ed39backed Trail Blazers | 65c | 3,064$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,063.92 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9602…4d02backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 2,716$597 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,118.14 | 120 | 40.8%49 W · 71 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 2,678$590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,087.96 | 461 | 31%143 W · 318 L | +15.6wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc07c…c4b7backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 2,239$515 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,724.13 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 24cpaid | -56.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 2,000$819 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,180.73 | 1,782 | 28%499 W · 1,283 L | +11.5wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540 | 1,290 | 44%567 W · 723 L | +35.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe69b…bc17backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 1,869$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +177.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x576b…7336backed Timberwolves | 12c | 1,500$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.08 | 183 | 16.9%31 W · 152 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…98f5backed Timberwolves | 77c | 1,350$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,039.48 | 80 | 53.8%43 W · 37 L | -6.4wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1608…a990backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 1,306$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.54 | 259 | 39%101 W · 158 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ab4…bfdbbacked Trail Blazers | 39c | 1,279$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$778.62 | 111 | 35.1%39 W · 72 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2fb4…2794backed Timberwolves | 13c | 1,193$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.08 | 164 | 43.3%71 W · 93 L | +4.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97e1…017bbacked Timberwolves | 59c | 1,188$702 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$702.47 | 245 | 54.7%134 W · 111 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +28.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3168…6734backed Timberwolves | 67c | 1,144$763 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$763.33 | 191 | 37.7%72 W · 119 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b2…ece3backed Trail Blazers | 22c | 1,110$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$866.13 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -10.9wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee00…cea1backed Timberwolves | 31c | 1,073$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.06 | 701 | 47.8%335 W · 366 L | +15.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf93b…bb37backed Trail Blazers | 39c | 1,031$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$629.78 | 276 | 42%116 W · 160 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d07…0b45backed Timberwolves | 78c | 1,019$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fa3…dc66backed Timberwolves | 57c | 1,012$577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576.93 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +4.9wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed Timberwolves | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 1,090 | 35.8%390 W · 700 L | +40.1wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d92…4b39backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 90 | 35.6%32 W · 58 L | -5.8wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b3…5fa4backed Trail Blazers | 60c | 881.66$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.66 | 103 | 61.2%63 W · 40 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf903…685cbacked Timberwolves | 4c | 878.33$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 15cpaid | +23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0113…6f26backed Timberwolves | 78c | 844.49$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$658.7 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x433e…3f60backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 837.97$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$637.97 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd968…bd18backed Timberwolves | 41c | 812.24$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 83 | 34.9%29 W · 54 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf930…e346backed Trail Blazers | 43c | 807.81$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$457.81 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Timberwolves | 77c | 756.54$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$581.7 | 236 | 48.7%115 W · 121 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff0…46e3backed Timberwolves | 63c | 738.99$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.2 | 476 | 56.5%269 W · 207 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58ec…66f9backed Timberwolves | 77c | 738.35$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$568.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c8…e891backed Timberwolves | 77c | 712.66$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.75 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8199…e71abacked Timberwolves | 78c | 710.64$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$554.3 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7742…03e9backed Timberwolves | 60c | 700$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 199 | 39.2%78 W · 121 L | -17.7wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xccfb…376ebacked Timberwolves | 77c | 687.44$529 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$529.33 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31db…8ff3backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 687$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$528.99 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37fe…7924backed Timberwolves | 77c | 680.57$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.04 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x16af…b0c4backed Timberwolves | 77c | 652.64$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.53 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfda0…e18abacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 652.17$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.17 | 52 | 40.4%21 W · 31 L | +3.8wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b73…c1acbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 645.32$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$503.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7a…f6dbbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 641.03$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | -4.8wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8342…13c9backed Timberwolves | 78c | 640.59$503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$502.62 | 235 | 48.1%113 W · 122 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xccf2…41b7backed Timberwolves | 77c | 604.31$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.32 | 114 | 59.6%68 W · 46 L | +8.3wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xad18…0b4fbacked Trail Blazers | 41c | 585.37$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.37 | 531 | 34.7%184 W · 347 L | -11.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5041…32cdbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 555.59$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.36 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.5wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc390…715cbacked Timberwolves | 51c | 525.4$270 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270 | 83 | 47%39 W · 44 L | -3.7wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9eea…281dbacked Timberwolves | 72c | 499.99$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.99 | 265 | 47.9%127 W · 138 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x80fc…c492backed Timberwolves | 78c | 495.28$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdec9…2af9backed Timberwolves | 45c | 487.49$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.37 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Timberwolves | 73c | 468.18$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342 | 1,166 | 54.4%634 W · 532 L | +19.3wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80d5…801cbacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 455.44$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.24 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.69per pick | 31cpaid | +240.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06fe…e0eabacked Timberwolves | 78c | 443.74$346 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…d871backed Trail Blazers | 42c | 419.44$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.44 | 196 | 50%98 W · 98 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa2…4d22backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 400$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308 | 360 | 57.5%207 W · 153 L | -14.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5380…28debacked Timberwolves | 78c | 400$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e0…f2b1backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 391.3$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.3 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 27cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccf3…8f27backed Timberwolves | 25c | 384.99$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.85 | 407 | 26%106 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b87…8aafbacked Trail Blazers | 47c | 371.89$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.18 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +112.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc81…0ababacked Trail Blazers | 68c | 363.76$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.4 | 236 | 46.6%110 W · 126 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7ed…6c8bbacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 341.03$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.62 | 33 | 45.5%15 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.15per pick | 30cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xab6d…b458backed Trail Blazers | 30c | 338.67$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.29 | 119 | 26.1%31 W · 88 L | -4.2wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6708…90a3backed Timberwolves | 19c | 324.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.99 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa0b…5f1fbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 318.88$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0000…41eabacked Timberwolves | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | +23.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2196…3d68backed Timberwolves | 78c | 297.03$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.68 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb287…6765backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 297$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.69 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.25per pick | 61cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee9d…63e1backed Timberwolves | 68c | 296.23$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | -14.2wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 293.3$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.78 | 216 | 49.1%106 W · 110 L | +18.8wins | +0.09per pick | 40cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c03…0cc1backed Trail Blazers | 73c | 289.51$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.92 | 1,602 | 11.8%189 W · 1,413 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 12cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…e0c9backed Trail Blazers | 70c | 285.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.71 | 85 | 37.6%32 W · 53 L | -10.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8cd3…3c5abacked Timberwolves | 78c | 256.85$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.34 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.8wins | -0.23per pick | 48cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7b1e…cee2backed Timberwolves | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Timberwolves | 78c | 250$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195 | 893 | 53%473 W · 420 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89dc…e209backed Timberwolves | 59c | 250$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.25 | 102 | 43.1%44 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…4ae4backed Timberwolves | 11c | 250$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.5 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa282…ef45backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 237.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.5 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x49dd…2a32backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 234.95$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.91 | 25 | 40%10 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | +23%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Trail Blazers | 26c | 226.2$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 1,554 | 37.3%579 W · 975 L | -48.1wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac97…a99ebacked Trail Blazers | 22c | 224.36$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 122 | 47.5%58 W · 64 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa39…b3c5backed Trail Blazers | 41c | 200$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118 | 97 | 24.7%24 W · 73 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0026…cd66backed Trail Blazers | 24c | 200$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 114 | 28.1%32 W · 82 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8163…e061backed Timberwolves | 77c | 200$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8c…726cbacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 200$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154 | 133 | 41.4%55 W · 78 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadd9…6333backed Timberwolves | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2c3…0b5ebacked Timberwolves | 77c | 199.99$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.99 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +27.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ef7…ff8abacked Timberwolves | 78c | 192.31$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ad3…8f5fbacked Trail Blazers | 40c | 187.84$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.84 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd91f…b7fabacked Trail Blazers | 23c | 174.32$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.23 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed Timberwolves | 67c | 155$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.68 | 1,752 | 40.6%712 W · 1,040 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c87…70d5backed Trail Blazers | 23c | 150$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.5 | 346 | 44.2%153 W · 193 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.