TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Qatar Total Open: Varvara Gracheva vs Maria Sakkari

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Sakkariof Gracheva, Sakkari
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$227,524
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$260,742

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $227,524 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x0dcf…c556backed Sakkari35c23,682$8,388 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15,294.119545.3%43 W · 52 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Gracheva48c12,514$6,039 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,038.552,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Gracheva53c12,218$6,503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,503.392,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1a27…6e7abacked Gracheva0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Gracheva58c7,023$4,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,106.8811,66643.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L+22.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-20%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc44…e036backed Sakkari51c7,011$3,584 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,426.8211560%69 W · 46 L+4.9wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+12%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x34ed…cfe3backed Sakkari65c6,800$4,420 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3807357.5%42 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5ba6…0f07backed Sakkari52c6,000$3,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,88067249.6%333 W · 339 L-11.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Gracheva1c5,877$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.211,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Gracheva34c5,812$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,995.121,68350.6%851 W · 832 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Gracheva0c5,296$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.112,3317.9%183 W · 2,148 L-56.9wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-60.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc9aa…67e1backed Gracheva35c5,210$1,829 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,829.029950.5%50 W · 49 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe4d3…c2f0backed Sakkari57c4,695$2,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,023.1633556.7%190 W · 145 L-27.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-15.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb5ed…d25fbacked Sakkari49c4,082$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,081.635853.4%31 W · 27 L+3.3wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+11.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Sakkari54c3,244$1,756 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,488.061,44648.8%706 W · 740 L-1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb31e…c120backed Sakkari36c3,165$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,015.2529854%161 W · 137 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec13…862bbacked Gracheva33c3,000$990 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$989.997736.4%28 W · 49 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Sakkari65c2,971$1,931 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,039.851,09035.9%391 W · 699 L+16.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-6.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Gracheva35c2,857$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00023429.9%70 W · 164 L-1.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Sakkari67c2,689$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.6657649.5%285 W · 291 L-32.9wins-0.06per pick55cpaid-13.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9dea…3792backed Gracheva45c2,232$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00036968%251 W · 118 L-1.1wins0.00per pick68cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Sakkari73c1,947$1,422 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$524.998,24145.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L+166.2wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-16.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb2a4…cf8abacked Gracheva34c1,713$582 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$582.34957.1%28 W · 21 L+6.0wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7ca1…aea0backed Gracheva33c1,590$525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.671,16137.6%437 W · 724 L-27.8wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4173…d3edbacked Gracheva35c1,561$546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$546.2855646.4%258 W · 298 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x45d9…a89abacked Gracheva39c1,545$602 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601.6111123.4%26 W · 85 L-8.2wins-0.07per pick31cpaid-28.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x3cfb…0628backed Sakkari65c1,526$993 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$532.6330241.7%126 W · 176 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x46f1…7295backed Gracheva58c1,500$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87018663.4%118 W · 68 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick61cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6b7c…5f83backed Gracheva38c1,334$508 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$507.812,42647.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L+45.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-13.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x38c7…aa6ebacked Sakkari64c1,300$835 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.371154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6bde…3800backed Sakkari57c1,276$721 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$554.724740.4%19 W · 28 L-8.6wins-0.18per pick59cpaid-37.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x2698…0958backed Gracheva30c1,200$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.99837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Sakkari66c1,144$761 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$383.371,03954.6%567 W · 472 L+37.6wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfd5d…4183backed Sakkari70c1,143$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$342.8614250.7%72 W · 70 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-6.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c54…257dbacked Gracheva3c1,100$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.93616.7%1 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick17cpaid+9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Sakkari60c1,090$650 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$440.051,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd120…19fcbacked Gracheva40c1,011$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40013652.9%72 W · 64 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7d24…9661backed Sakkari50c1,003$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$502.761850%9 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Gracheva36c982.84$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.147,01843.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L+124.9wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8f13…daaebacked Gracheva36c832.37$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.6524634.1%84 W · 162 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cd9…96f0backed Gracheva29c830.68$239 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.267236.1%26 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick36cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed Gracheva51c800$408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4088143.2%35 W · 46 L-3.6wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-12.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaea1…9569backed Sakkari64c783.34$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$283.344647.8%22 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Sakkari65c780$507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27311045.5%50 W · 60 L+5.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+19.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9266…8f3cbacked Sakkari64c742.02$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$267.1325556.1%143 W · 112 L-9.1wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-7.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb820…cbe7backed Sakkari69c687.98$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.278248.8%40 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Sakkari68c677.36$464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.531,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7be1…200ebacked Gracheva47c634.8$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.2125152.6%132 W · 119 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed Sakkari65c615.38$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$215.3878452.9%415 W · 369 L+22.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1197…9829backed Sakkari67c585.96$391 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.18per pick46cpaid-51.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc398…f446backed Gracheva32c544.09$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17496035.4%340 W · 620 L-40.5wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x307d…9163backed Sakkari55c501.84$276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.8315356.2%86 W · 67 L-2.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35b4…0f65backed Sakkari55c500$275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2253625%9 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae81…f04bbacked Sakkari70c488.74$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.6221959.4%130 W · 89 L-10.8wins-0.05per pick64cpaid-9.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Sakkari55c487$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.0497046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Sakkari64c474.85$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.753,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x70a1…978abacked Gracheva14c447.53$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6388446.8%414 W · 470 L+3.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Gracheva43c432.98$184 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$184.291,85244.5%825 W · 1,027 L-20.3wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9773…31dfbacked Gracheva56c419$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.61837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.21per pick58cpaid-29.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9ed9…9949backed Gracheva36c416.67$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15046553.8%250 W · 215 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe129…b549backed Sakkari48c413.68$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$213.681250%6 W · 6 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+25.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Sakkari50c402.44$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.221,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e3e…e3ebbacked Sakkari70c400$280 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1209567.4%64 W · 31 L+0.1wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Sakkari67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1323132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5773…ac11backed Sakkari67c400$268 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1329643.8%42 W · 54 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-11%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x57c3…3201backed Sakkari63c386.81$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.0818957.7%109 W · 80 L-5.3wins-0.03per pick60cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x64e5…292fbacked Gracheva32c369.19$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$118.142564%16 W · 9 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick50cpaid+26.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x050f…0f26backed Gracheva9c361.1$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.4670%0 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9f8…e913backed Sakkari67c346.9$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$114.919653.6%105 W · 91 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf18a…e4e5backed Sakkari42c336.34$141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195.832,34351.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L+95.2wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdcfb…6dc1backed Sakkari69c329.64$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.162356.5%13 W · 10 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Sakkari67c319.54$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.0465949.3%325 W · 334 L+8.1wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb31…7b95backed Gracheva33c306.42$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10068026.2%178 W · 502 L-24.5wins-0.04per pick30cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeed0…dd5ebacked Gracheva33c297.61$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.2110943.1%47 W · 62 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xac98…7281backed Gracheva32c296.75$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.9611428.9%33 W · 81 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-21.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Gracheva52c294.99$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.9949143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6bb3…758ebacked Sakkari67c293.73$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.9348552.8%256 W · 229 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9bc5…908abacked Sakkari60c290$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11658753.7%315 W · 272 L-10.8wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9086…4d46backed Sakkari69c289.86$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.861,85348.4%897 W · 956 L-32.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-3.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9359…6aacbacked Sakkari75c280.98$211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.4415751.6%81 W · 76 L+4.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Gracheva34c276.62$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9426227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3b1f…6500backed Gracheva57c274$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.6169249.6%343 W · 349 L-9.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-14.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cde…6040backed Sakkari68c264.71$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.7116665.7%109 W · 57 L+7.4wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87a4…953ebacked Sakkari71c247.84$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.971,05655.4%585 W · 471 L-22.8wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Sakkari67c245$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.8520043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2b03…2c36backed Sakkari59c238.04$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$98.04540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-19.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb16…96b5backed Gracheva44c227.27$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10044448.9%217 W · 227 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4035…5e54backed Sakkari52c225.38$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.189248.9%45 W · 47 L-2.9wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed Sakkari71c212.04$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62.0417955.9%100 W · 79 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf79d…ec1bbacked Sakkari36c209.94$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.36862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Gracheva17c205.44$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.252,06834.9%721 W · 1,347 L-44.2wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-25.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc274…86debacked Sakkari60c201.67$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.6749342.8%211 W · 282 L+16.1wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Sakkari53c188.68$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.6869350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4411…985ebacked Sakkari54c185.98$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.982,15054.1%1,164 W · 986 L-1.7wins0.00per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa288…adbebacked Sakkari41c185.48$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.063745.9%17 W · 20 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-23.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1867…540bbacked Gracheva31c180$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.87936.7%29 W · 50 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-7.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x751b…878cbacked Gracheva59c169.49$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002958.6%17 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick63cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x903f…de5fbacked Gracheva42c160.4$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.3716830.4%51 W · 117 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe575…8b12backed Sakkari65c153.85$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.857941.8%33 W · 46 L-5.6wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-24.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Gracheva46c152.17$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$701,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.