Other European Leagues · resolved market
FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb022d0e5ec4d0d16d8bb6772fe1d4931c2335487ee559553e39d030f5d91e213
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,377
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $71,723
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,377 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 74 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x33a7…960dbacked Over | 32c | 24,999$8,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,999.63 | 183 | 35%64 W · 119 L | +6.9wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83d2…d196backed Over | 46c | 19,603$9,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,015.82 | 55 | 43.6%24 W · 31 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 64c | 17,244$10,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,244.92 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 70c | 11,370$7,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,411.15 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 54c | 6,431$3,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,966.66 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 58c | 3,571$2,063 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,507.87 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Under | 55c | 2,970$1,622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,347.93 | 670 | 50.6%339 W · 331 L | +11.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 54c | 1,430$775 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.35 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 9c | 676.3$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.61 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d8…8835backed Over | 46c | 559.8$258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.51 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5611…e5f4backed Over | 47c | 531.91$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x705d…3438backed Over | 44c | 399.84$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.93 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc514…e9b4backed Over | 15c | 333.33$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +40.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Over | 8c | 319.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.26 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 9c | 265.24$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.41 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a62…fa34backed Over | 39c | 256.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +59.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0e28…df76backed Over | 47c | 247.94$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.53 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa600…0fc5backed Over | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d83…d986backed Over | 47c | 212.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 104 | 35.6%37 W · 67 L | -8.6wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x03dc…132abacked Over | 39c | 200$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 44 | 52.3%23 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x04a7…164bbacked Under | 54c | 189.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.4 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 54c | 186.17$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.64 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x602d…3534backed Over | 46c | 152.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 86 | 65.1%56 W · 30 L | +11.6wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Over | 15c | 136.63$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd885…c666backed Over | 47c | 127.66$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64e5…292fbacked Over | 47c | 125$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Over | 16c | 125$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x718d…2b46backed Under | 65c | 123.08$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.08 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41e0…00cbbacked Over | 45c | 110.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd252…2fa7backed Over | 46c | 109.47$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8549…41f8backed Over | 43c | 102.33$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | +44.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cd9…51d0backed Over | 46c | 101.1$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 90 | 30%27 W · 63 L | -6.3wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e1c…a9a5backed Over | 18c | 100$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked Under | 55c | 99.97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.99 | 210 | 44.8%94 W · 116 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Under | 59c | 84.75$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | +1.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Under | 54c | 82.37$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.89 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6079…81c6backed Over | 44c | 80$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.2 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 45c | 70.92$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd6…5f03backed Over | 47c | 70.21$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe350…61f0backed Under | 55c | 69$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b2…5f43backed Over | 18c | 60$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.8 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1835…83afbacked Over | 46c | 58.7$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -22%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28ad…0614backed Over | 45c | 58.11$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +2.1wins | +0.11per pick | 36cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…f3c4backed Over | 21c | 57.14$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Over | 45c | 55.56$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 47cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9209…dc9bbacked Over | 31c | 51.61$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x983a…ac6bbacked Under | 56c | 50$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x850a…568abacked Over | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under | 54c | 50$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x964e…bc79backed Under | 54c | 45.8$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321c…18ddbacked Over | 45c | 44.13$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 58 | 63.8%37 W · 21 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ce5…0e2abacked Over | 47c | 43.91$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -2.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6474…7ab8backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 117 | 38.5%45 W · 72 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea2b…1fc6backed Over | 46c | 42.04$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.34 | 58 | 48.3%28 W · 30 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0576…6232backed Under | 55c | 39.82$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.99 | 241 | 46.9%113 W · 128 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5acf…0df2backed Under | 54c | 37.04$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.04 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05f9…f351backed Over | 47c | 37$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.39 | 24 | 41.7%10 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8244…3f2cbacked Under | 55c | 36.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed Under | 55c | 32.22$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.59 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9271…a28abacked Over | 47c | 31$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.57 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -4.4wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 74 | 41.9%31 W · 43 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 56c | 27.75$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 157 | 53.5%84 W · 73 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc92…6564backed Under | 73c | 27.4$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.4 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e89…fb59backed Over | 47c | 26.02$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa403…4fa5backed Under | 56c | 25.8$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5890…2bb8backed Over | 46c | 24$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 54c | 23$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.58 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61ff…a055backed Under | 73c | 15.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 2.5this page
- FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 1.5Over won
- FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 3.5Under won
- FC Porto vs. Sporting CP: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: FC Porto (-1.5)Sporting CP won
- Spread: Sporting CP (-1.5)FC Porto won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.