Other European Leagues · resolved market
AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ef6ebbfef0f501c9429cda550d5447ec3307e946f5701e3bbce27ea1ffd630b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,395
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $35,495
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,395 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 38c | 2,948$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114.47 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 38c | 1,805$678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$678.45 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 19c | 1,680$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$319.58 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 19c | 1,519$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$288.52 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 30c | 1,220$368 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.54 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 68c | 646.42$440 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.42 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 63c | 639$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.33 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Over | 47c | 402.94$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.56 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 53c | 377.36$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.36 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d24…9661backed Over | 70c | 305.71$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.71 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed Under | 6c | 299.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 67c | 298.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.51 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x61ce…21ebbacked Over | 75c | 280$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 67cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 69c | 259.78$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 58c | 201.72$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.72 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.31 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 54c | 154.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.26 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 61c | 131.15$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.15 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 24c | 117.18$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.27 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b5f…b7e9backed Under | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 59c | 89.78$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.81 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 61c | 79.99$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 212 | 54.7%116 W · 96 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 19c | 75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0722…fceebacked Over | 54c | 66.48$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 20c | 60.53$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.11 | 283 | 49.1%139 W · 144 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…0665backed Under | 41c | 53.11$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.73 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Over | 77c | 50.21$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.41 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 50c | 50$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 52c | 49.6$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.81 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 55c | 40$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Over | 52c | 39.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.19 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Over | 51c | 39.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.23 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5c4…252ebacked Under | 30c | 38.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +99.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…72dbbacked Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 56 | 57.1%32 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 75c | 36$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Over | 53c | 34.43$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.18 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc460…0aa4backed Over | 52c | 32.69$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.69 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Over | 50c | 32.23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.12 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 71c | 31.25$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…c1aebacked Under | 37c | 30$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 67c | 29.76$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.82 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 66c | 26.06$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0fa1…bf73backed Over | 59c | 25.42$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.42 | 155 | 52.3%81 W · 74 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa60b…c728backed Over | 76c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 116 | 56%65 W · 51 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x380c…1099backed Over | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 252 | 63.5%160 W · 92 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f8…e913backed Over | 76c | 23.68$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.10per pick | 55cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 57c | 21.05$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.05 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9817…28bcbacked Over | 48c | 20.92$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.88 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ff2…1c10backed Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1e2…66e2backed Over | 68c | 16.18$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.18 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -5.6wins | -0.15per pick | 61cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…390cbacked Over | 76c | 15.38$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.69 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5this page
- AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5Under won
- AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-2.5)AVS Futebol won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-2.5)AVS Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.