Other European Leagues · resolved market
AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x35d4c1708b4d20a27d647a314e60d2864566339c9e93bfdc1fe792d69a0c687f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,752
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,752 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Over | 55c | 10,000$5,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,499.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +83.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 52c | 6,844$3,546 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,546.42 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 45c | 5,600$2,524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,524.29 | 834 | 40.8%340 W · 494 L | -35.3wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 57c | 1,338$758 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$757.81 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under | 12c | 1,000$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.8wins | +0.17per pick | 45cpaid | +134.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 56c | 899.29$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.43 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06a0…5804backed Over | 30c | 823.23$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.23 | 55 | 38.2%21 W · 34 L | -2.9wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed Under | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed Under | 10c | 499.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4c16…a5e3backed Over | 47c | 425.41$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.41 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.16per pick | 48cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Over | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 42c | 275.26$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.65 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed Under | 70c | 257.7$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.61 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed Over | 43c | 250$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.5 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 34cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 41c | 249.05$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.85 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 57c | 245.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.56 | 117 | 46.2%54 W · 63 L | -4.4wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9f…5a30backed Over | 60c | 230.97$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 55c | 229$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.94 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.39 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc13f…ca64backed Under | 63c | 213.64$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Over | 24c | 200$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc7…b90dbacked Over | 30c | 200$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140 | 85 | 40%34 W · 51 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cf7…e5a5backed Over | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 202 | 41.6%84 W · 118 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc2d9…f193backed Over | 50c | 172.06$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.2 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4674backed Under | 8c | 160.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.34 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…402abacked Over | 33c | 147.68$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.1 | 167 | 25.7%43 W · 124 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 28c | 133.12$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.09 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa72e…3db9backed Over | 40c | 129.97$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.98 | 28 | 57.1%16 W · 12 L | +4.3wins | +0.15per pick | 42cpaid | +60.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 54c | 101.26$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.68 | 220 | 54.1%119 W · 101 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed Under | 72c | 101.13$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.81 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -5.2wins | -0.15per pick | 59cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 70c | 94.61$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.54 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.72 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 58c | 86.21$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.21 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe6…49f8backed Over | 58c | 85.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.89 | 266 | 53.4%142 W · 124 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x20a4…f12dbacked Under | 58c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefef…cd06backed Over | 36c | 75$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc16f…0f4fbacked Under | 42c | 74.99$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.5 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over | 30c | 70$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 227 | 27.8%63 W · 164 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97b2…1c44backed Over | 54c | 70$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 92 | 56.5%52 W · 40 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 55c | 65.1$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.23 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa87b…968bbacked Over | 42c | 64.21$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.24 | 146 | 28.1%41 W · 105 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb17…c1aebacked Under | 47c | 60$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -71%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 40c | 60$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5a93…390cbacked Over | 43c | 48.98$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.03 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -39.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Under | 62c | 48.39$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 258 | 59.7%154 W · 104 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 41c | 43.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.03 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2b7…37d5backed Over | 55c | 43.09$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.39 | 58 | 44.8%26 W · 32 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8e6…d96bbacked Over | 26c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.6 | 107 | 34.6%37 W · 70 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 52c | 38.65$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 120 | 47.5%57 W · 63 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 35.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.58 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Under | 46c | 30.92$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.22 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Over | 44c | 30.3$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.97 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9284…1e52backed Under | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 63cpaid | +16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…0665backed Under | 47c | 21.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.24 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +143.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 69c | 20.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4683…683fbacked Over | 59c | 20.34$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.34 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e0a…e4e6backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | +6.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 54c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.2 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcdd7…b713backed Under | 62c | 17.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.73 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 2.5this page
- AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 1.5Over won
- AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 3.5Under won
- AVS Futebol vs. Estoril Praia: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
- Spread: AVS Futebol (-2.5)AVS Futebol won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-1.5)AVS Futebol won
- Spread: Estoril Praia (-2.5)AVS Futebol won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.