South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-02-13?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5b549a6f8ebc5011569a8db8a17b8431c5e42308dee310b15b70f8d8c8776d14
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $22,398
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,605
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $22,398 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 77c | 7,153$5,494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,494.01 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 24c | 3,945$954 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,991.26 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 22c | 2,412$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$523.5 | 212 | 51.9%110 W · 102 L | +14.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 2,164$1,577 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,577.36 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 37c | 2,028$755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.48 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 39c | 1,719$672 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,047.17 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc49b…a5b8backed Yes | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$950 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 15c | 260$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 118 | 19.5%23 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed No | 72c | 187.79$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.21 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 69c | 179.63$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Yes | 25c | 168.89$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.21 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 29c | 133.23$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.17 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 59c | 129.01$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.46 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa144…963bbacked Yes | 9c | 127.33$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.91per pick | 9cpaid | +1,011.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 28c | 120$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.4 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 44c | 114.56$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.12 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed No | 30c | 109.12$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Yes | 16c | 102.56$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.25 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +4.5wins | +0.37per pick | 38cpaid | +113.1%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc4…306fbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…3060backed Yes | 31c | 100$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ca7…ce3bbacked Yes | 24c | 98.04$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.51 | 60 | 38.3%23 W · 37 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…688abacked Yes | 17c | 88.82$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.82 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 69c | 86.12$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 307 | 54.7%168 W · 139 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 25c | 80.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.25 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xaa7f…3223backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +5.1wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +27.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe1c3…a583backed Yes | 71c | 73.53$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.53 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 73c | 61$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.53 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb941…b56bbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.75per pick | 25cpaid | +300%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 26c | 47.66$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x39fb…6d42backed Yes | 28c | 42.86$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.86 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 34cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 35c | 42.79$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.77 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51aa…10dabacked No | 79c | 13.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 77cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-02-13?this page
- Will FC Juárez vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?No won
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.