South American Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Juárez vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2b7d4930730b4b94575dc0768adab615895cd6ab809463a44199df55e2b5f86c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,315
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,391
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,315 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 61c | 4,013$2,453 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,560.14 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb295…e601backed Yes | 47c | 1,337$628 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9752…5b36backed Yes | 35c | 1,272$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.11 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 63cpaid | -54.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 28c | 500$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 70c | 286.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +45.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8479…37f8backed Yes | 39c | 257$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.23 | 86 | 24.4%21 W · 65 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 59c | 221.7$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.91 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd094…271bbacked Yes | 28c | 214.29$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 132 | 28%37 W · 95 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1edf…2392backed Yes | 28c | 200$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 31c | 165.31$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.45 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x905f…ad6bbacked No | 37c | 161.91$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.52 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 66cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe29e…fa35backed Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 130.74$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.3 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 33c | 100.35$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.97 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e45…3060backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.28per pick | 38cpaid | +69.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 74c | 82.98$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.74 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 59c | 69.54$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.79 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc371…1e28backed Yes | 26c | 57.99$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 62 | 35.5%22 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 34c | 54.65$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…688abacked No | 40c | 50.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 29cpaid | +110.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…74c0backed Yes | 37c | 50$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 151 | 58.3%88 W · 63 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 52c | 50$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xafa3…1f19backed Yes | 34c | 50$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +25%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd547…c9bcbacked Yes | 39c | 50$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace6…e599backed Yes | 68c | 38.42$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 66cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 34c | 31.77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.07 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 44c | 30.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Yes | 46c | 28.63$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.29 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -6.8wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x372d…a119backed No | 72c | 27.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 71c | 23.93$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.94 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b96…0b51backed Yes | 64c | 23.44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Juárez vs. Club Necaxa end in a draw?this page
- Will Club Necaxa win on 2026-02-13?Yes won
- Will FC Juárez win on 2026-02-13?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.