Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Solana Sierra vs Kamilla Rakhimova
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8f44b4fc48fd32c2ecec8ad25d0f171f52254f075dde558b02378ddd4a7446f4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Rakhimovaof Sierra, Rakhimova
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $51,388
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,563
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $51,388 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Sierra | 29c | 3,487$1,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.99 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Sierra | 33c | 3,154$1,038 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.28 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Rakhimova | 64c | 2,540$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$924.32 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Sierra | 11c | 2,317$254 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.55 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Sierra | 27c | 2,084$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560.38 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Rakhimova | 59c | 2,071$1,213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$857.94 | 332 | 41.6%138 W · 194 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93c8…adffbacked Sierra | 28c | 1,429$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 268 | 47%126 W · 142 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x033e…1bb9backed Rakhimova | 75c | 1,416$1,062 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.08 | 306 | 45.1%138 W · 168 L | -11.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Sierra | 33c | 1,352$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.8 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7738backed Rakhimova | 62c | 1,322$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.59 | 1,106 | 50.3%556 W · 550 L | -21.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e7…3c1abacked Sierra | 41c | 1,184$485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.44 | 872 | 51.1%446 W · 426 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Sierra | 42c | 1,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 1,161 | 37.6%437 W · 724 L | -27.8wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Sierra | 43c | 751.93$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.83 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc55d…9d2dbacked Rakhimova | 68c | 498.53$340 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$158.64 | 50 | 56%28 W · 22 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7be1…200ebacked Sierra | 33c | 460.32$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 251 | 52.6%132 W · 119 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Rakhimova | 57c | 337.55$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.19 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Rakhimova | 79c | 316.68$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.44 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Sierra | 17c | 294.12$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Sierra | 43c | 253$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.17 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabee…4f3fbacked Sierra | 44c | 244.1$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4411…985ebacked Rakhimova | 70c | 243.71$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.11 | 2,145 | 54.2%1,162 W · 983 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5baf…3e56backed Sierra | 21c | 243.38$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 658 | 40.9%269 W · 389 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Rakhimova | 72c | 222.34$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.13 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Sierra | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Sierra | 22c | 181.82$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed Sierra | 35c | 151.46$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.76 | 262 | 27.9%73 W · 189 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Sierra | 36c | 143$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.05 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc0c8…090cbacked Rakhimova | 74c | 135.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.09 | 133 | 56.4%75 W · 58 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Sierra | 24c | 129$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6aad…20aebacked Rakhimova | 79c | 126.58$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.58 | 524 | 60.9%319 W · 205 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Rakhimova | 74c | 125.5$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.55 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Sierra | 28c | 119.02$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.36 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Sierra | 43c | 111$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.73 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d9…df36backed Rakhimova | 61c | 100$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | +2.9wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Sierra | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Sierra | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Rakhimova | 61c | 93.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.41 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Sierra | 27c | 81.37$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.63 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Sierra | 28c | 76.55$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.12 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Rakhimova | 59c | 68.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.13 | 1,039 | 54.6%567 W · 472 L | +37.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd027…8b66backed Sierra | 41c | 68.61$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.13 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed Rakhimova | 63c | 63.39$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.3 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95fe…3896backed Rakhimova | 66c | 60.61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.61 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Rakhimova | 70c | 57.14$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.14 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9417…28a3backed Sierra | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Rakhimova | 75c | 44.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.98 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d5…dd7bbacked Sierra | 31c | 39.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 54cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Rakhimova | 63c | 38.8$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.49 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf7fe…1e42backed Rakhimova | 70c | 38.08$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Rakhimova | 58c | 36.5$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.33 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd52…df69backed Sierra | 42c | 28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 265 | 45.3%120 W · 145 L | +5.0wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Rakhimova | 65c | 27.03$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.42 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Rakhimova | 79c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.08 | 267 | 46.1%123 W · 144 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Rakhimova | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…2eddbacked Rakhimova | 65c | 19.52$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.23per pick | 57cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb7…d529backed Rakhimova | 66c | 17.06$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.79 | 195 | 50.8%99 W · 96 L | -3.9wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f64…8775backed Rakhimova | 63c | 16.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Rakhimova | 69c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.65 | 470 | 57.2%269 W · 201 L | +16.8wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b69…b127backed Rakhimova | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.