Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4c9ebc53b31998d76105e8a8eecf38a17f866b773e48b33abecc502ab6f5e7ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,142
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,934
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,142 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 16c | 11,195$1,770 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,769.93 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 18c | 1,904$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 12c | 1,069$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.26 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 14c | 861.12$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 6c | 666.67$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.67 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked No | 76c | 451.58$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.2 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked No | 13c | 439$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.93 | 242 | 42.1%102 W · 140 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa0b…9672backed Yes | 23c | 384.27$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$295.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.10per pick | 35cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9030…4a23backed No | 77c | 311.69$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | -3.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 28c | 279$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.98 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 23c | 231.92$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4cc…06e8backed No | 15c | 195.33$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.69 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.2wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 50c | 182.59$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.88 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 77c | 85.93$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.51 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.67 | 357 | 40.6%145 W · 212 L | +10.1wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 31c | 64.15$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.76 | 447 | 68%304 W · 143 L | +52.8wins | +0.12per pick | 56cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Yes | 25c | 39.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa870…2cd1backed No | 78c | 13.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 137 | 70.8%97 W · 40 L | -7.5wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will FC Nordsjælland win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will FC København vs. FC Nordsjælland end in a draw?No won
- Will FC København win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.