Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9470b11037b87a44ba5ef4a8e3b3f67c47f9e279d2f28d4a1826153be780db10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $5,253
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $5,240
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,253 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 30c | 1,581$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.98 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 70c | 1,560$1,089 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.41 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 63c | 828.42$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$309.03 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 28c | 600$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 79c | 357.68$284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.05 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Over | 30c | 249.83$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.95 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e52…00f5backed Over | 39c | 192.31$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -4.5wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 72c | 172.72$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.54 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41cc…f5bdbacked Under | 70c | 128.68$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.68 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Under | 78c | 128.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.43 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 41c | 126.12$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.6 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4035…5e54backed Over | 38c | 105.1$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 62 | 62.9%39 W · 23 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Over | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa990…5f1dbacked Over | 42c | 95.24$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 22.2%10 W · 35 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 79c | 92.65$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.76 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Over | 34c | 88.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc149…bb7abacked Over | 18c | 85.02$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.14 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -68.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 34c | 80$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9796…9032backed Over | 21c | 66.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.9 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +2.8wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Over | 37c | 62.16$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 103 | 45.6%47 W · 56 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 24c | 49.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.02 | 86 | 50%43 W · 43 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Over | 21c | 47.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.08 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Over | 35c | 42.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb089…a271backed Over | 42c | 42.83$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.99 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 31c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +7.5wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Over | 36c | 31.36$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 57c | 23$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.89 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Under | 71c | 19.44$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Under | 79c | 12.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.71 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5this page
- Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)Gil Vicente FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.