Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdf3bb64b22e37d92a21627c8bfb9f6e2358fe7bf28faac2c533599015998b55
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $68,157
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,100
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $68,157 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8566…c626backed Over | 63c | 47,563$29,965 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,598.3 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 37c | 23,877$8,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,719.14 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf6c…7e66backed Under | 37c | 13,842$5,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,121.54 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0121…f82cbacked Under | 37c | 6,216$2,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3060…c709backed Over | 71c | 4,233$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,232.94 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 68cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 36c | 2,731$972 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$972.26 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb0b…3790backed Over | 9c | 2,081$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,894.03 | 77 | 31.2%24 W · 53 L | +10.1wins | +0.13per pick | 18cpaid | +229.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 31c | 2,047$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.77 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86c8…c867backed Under | 37c | 2,000$740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$740 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 31c | 1,648$504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$504.49 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe3c…a835backed Over | 65c | 1,600$1,040 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$560 | 269 | 49.8%134 W · 135 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x832c…c46ebacked Over | 61c | 1,097$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$423.03 | 26 | 30.8%8 W · 18 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 1,096$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.82 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 37c | 986.46$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.99 | 985 | 52.3%515 W · 470 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0d…b612backed Over | 67c | 747.87$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$247.87 | 316 | 61.7%195 W · 121 L | +11.1wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e7…3335backed Over | 68c | 735.29$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 205 | 72.2%148 W · 57 L | +11.3wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf3…f535backed Under | 37c | 270.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 57cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 32c | 256.13$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.52 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 33c | 227.5$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.09 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79b6…612ebacked Over | 63c | 225.36$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.43 | 49 | 61.2%30 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked Under | 8c | 202.17$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.17 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 58c | 155.17$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.17 | 513 | 56.3%289 W · 224 L | +23.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3a…58b0backed Over | 70c | 153.31$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.2 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 73cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked Over | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 66c | 99.2$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24ca…5829backed Under | 37c | 92.74$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.31 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 37c | 87.18$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.13 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.92 | 278 | 64.4%179 W · 99 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 63cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd8d4…3691backed Over | 68c | 73.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.04 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.11per pick | 67cpaid | -21%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x514f…ee49backed Over | 68c | 73.02$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.02 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 62cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x957c…2965backed Over | 66c | 57.62$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf497…5ce0backed Over | 64c | 51.56$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 478 | 42.9%205 W · 273 L | -7.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbec3…760ebacked Over | 60c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2463…f5b5backed Over | 63c | 50$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.5 | 123 | 61%75 W · 48 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x522f…1415backed Over | 70c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 72cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 31c | 47.16$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.78 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 68c | 44.12$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.12 | 140 | 71.4%100 W · 40 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Under | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…07bbbacked Over | 66c | 35$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.05 | 53 | 62.3%33 W · 20 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -3.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x241e…04cbbacked Over | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.77 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72ee…a848backed Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 167 | 50.9%85 W · 82 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2823…eb3dbacked Over | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 70cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Over | 64c | 30$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.8 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked Over | 64c | 29.43$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.6 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5b…e3bdbacked Under | 39c | 25.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.26 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0291…cf1bbacked Over | 68c | 22.06$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 59cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…cbe8backed Over | 69c | 21.74$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.74 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -4.2wins | -0.20per pick | 72cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Over | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3317…166abacked Over | 66c | 19.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.7 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5540…eff4backed Over | 68c | 17.5$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 73cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Over | 73c | 16.11$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.35 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5this page
- Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)Gil Vicente FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.