Other European Leagues · resolved market
Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Score
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4887a3eb948459dd4a5f7da51a190a6789467d2f3c0830062cf403f5ab9242ef
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,332
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,511
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,332 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 50c | 1,411$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.53 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 57c | 1,079$616 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$616.17 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 41c | 1,018$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.18 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500.28 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe306…0380backed No | 10c | 500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…6589backed No | 10c | 459.77$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.98 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 9cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4844…32c9backed Yes | 51c | 395.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$195.21 | 70 | 52.9%37 W · 33 L | +3.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4de1…22a0backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 21 | 0%0 W · 21 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b8…99f3backed No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 18 | 0%0 W · 18 L | -1.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12e8…2cecbacked No | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 22 | 0%0 W · 22 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x012a…c01dbacked Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.1 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 60c | 213.25$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.95 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed Yes | 51c | 197.13$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.13 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked No | 56c | 191.47$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.99 | 2,309 | 42.8%988 W · 1,321 L | -41.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 51c | 144.04$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.3 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d54…81a1backed Yes | 40c | 75.75$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.45 | 114 | 49.1%56 W · 58 L | +5.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked No | 56c | 64.27$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.79 | 501 | 46.1%231 W · 270 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e3…0d1abacked Yes | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…d743backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 101 | 35.6%36 W · 65 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad1…f3a6backed Yes | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 51c | 38.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 49c | 35.95$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.42 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc758…8574backed Yes | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 149 | 50.3%75 W · 74 L | +12.5wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 45c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.65 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 50c | 24$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8589…bd9cbacked Yes | 49c | 22.3$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Yes | 49c | 22.15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.22 | 111 | 45%50 W · 61 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee45…e055backed Yes | 49c | 21$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 109 | 62.4%68 W · 41 L | +6.6wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: Both Teams to Scorethis page
- Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 1.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 2.5Over won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 3.5Under won
- Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Gil Vicente FC (-2.5)SC Braga won
- Spread: SC Braga (-1.5)Gil Vicente FC won
- Spread: SC Braga (-2.5)Gil Vicente FC won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.