South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Talleres win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0aed4b73ebc99bc2bce1909552d7d0798b2972f8676913309dd97bf75979c061
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,202
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,897
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,202 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x92d6…0550backed No | 49c | 4,933$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.24 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…617dbacked Yes | 52c | 3,226$1,678 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,547.69 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 51c | 2,684$1,369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.83 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 50c | 1,926$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.08 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbb15…0f02backed Yes | 52c | 1,920$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$919.9 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c54…7e41backed No | 56c | 1,786$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 60 | 58.3%35 W · 25 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 35c | 1,487$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.25 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 10c | 902.14$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.44 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked Yes | 52c | 867.35$451 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.33 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +3.9wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +12%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 36c | 640.82$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.27 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53ad…5bd4backed Yes | 51c | 602.66$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.28 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 13c | 487$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.31 | 494 | 49%242 W · 252 L | +22.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2e74…93bcbacked Yes | 53c | 471.7$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.7 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +3.4wins | +0.13per pick | 64cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed No | 48c | 424$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.52 | 179 | 46.9%84 W · 95 L | -8.3wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 353.94$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.91 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 70c | 328.84$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.21 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 16c | 309.15$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 38c | 264.55$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.75 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 20c | 234.16$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.94 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc51a…7ad9backed Yes | 34c | 234.09$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.5 | 83 | 39.8%33 W · 50 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 46c | 200$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108 | 130 | 41.5%54 W · 76 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Yes | 51c | 199.99$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb03…5ae4backed No | 49c | 160$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.4 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -7.1wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 122 | 39.3%48 W · 74 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a05…754abacked Yes | 57c | 130$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.9 | 47 | 46.8%22 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 60c | 92.31$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.39 | 104 | 42.3%44 W · 60 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 33c | 84.46$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.85 | 181 | 60.2%109 W · 72 L | +8.9wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Yes | 51c | 82.28$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.27 | 278 | 55.4%154 W · 124 L | +5.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95ad…4eebbacked No | 55c | 79.95$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.36 | 107 | 67.3%72 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 50c | 77.77$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.88 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 45c | 72.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.86 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 48c | 70.34$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.99 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1889…0714backed No | 48c | 70$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.6 | 125 | 62.4%78 W · 47 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed No | 18c | 66.72$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.07 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 50c | 60.41$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 221 | 45.7%101 W · 120 L | +10.2wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 52c | 59.62$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.62 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…1eaebacked Yes | 51c | 50.51$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44b8…a2d7backed Yes | 40c | 50$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 66 | 54.5%36 W · 30 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 41cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed Yes | 35c | 50$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.27 | 495 | 35.4%175 W · 320 L | -11.9wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4512…5d41backed Yes | 41c | 48.78$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.78 | 187 | 33.2%62 W · 125 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes | 43c | 46.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.59 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Yes | 65c | 44.63$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.75 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 52c | 41$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.68 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9ef…20ebbacked No | 68c | 40$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 96 | 57.3%55 W · 41 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70d5…119ebacked Yes | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.74 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 47c | 32.11$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 57c | 28.49$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.25 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked Yes | 51c | 26.53$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 108 | 27.8%30 W · 78 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 48c | 26.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.51 | 218 | 49.5%108 W · 110 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed No | 51c | 24.21$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3567…5e56backed Yes | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3101…e57fbacked No | 47c | 22.55$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 142 | 54.9%78 W · 64 L | +10.1wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbc5…2585backed Yes | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b90…a395backed Yes | 53c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.4 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Talleres win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza win on 2026-02-14?No won
- Will CA Talleres vs. CA Gimnasia y Esgrima de Mendoza end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.