Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x47fcd7404a3f8db86e85b1189d6699ee24f60c4de4a25ce37904f9cbb044e1d5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,885
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,885 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcf24…15ecbacked No | 55c | 5,287$2,882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,404.55 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +7.5wins | +0.23per pick | 44cpaid | +69.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x80cf…427dbacked No | 43c | 5,000$2,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,856.96 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | +3.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 64c | 4,483$2,889 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,594.27 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 55c | 4,190$2,299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,298.76 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 2,330$1,128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.93 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 11c | 1,968$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.47 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x274f…fbf4backed No | 70c | 1,900$1,330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570 | 43 | 79.1%34 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 71cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…aa5abacked Yes | 33c | 1,818$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600.1 | 191 | 65.4%125 W · 66 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 11c | 1,191$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.96 | 94 | 37.2%35 W · 59 L | +2.5wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbffe…e4efbacked No | 39c | 999.9$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.94 | 42 | 40.5%17 W · 25 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 31c | 936.25$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.24 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 10c | 500.88$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.55 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac98…7281backed No | 37c | 433.24$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.24 | 105 | 24.8%26 W · 79 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 36c | 400$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$255 | 102 | 63.7%65 W · 37 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 31c | 354$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.74 | 78 | 41%32 W · 46 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 10c | 350.01$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 15c | 318.08$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.16 | 192 | 65.1%125 W · 67 L | +13.8wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 188 | 48.4%91 W · 97 L | +13.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x79b0…ea3bbacked Yes | 11c | 280$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c11…b0e6backed No | 41c | 273.02$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.02 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.35per pick | 52cpaid | +82.4%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3486…49eebacked No | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.27 | 327 | 39.4%129 W · 198 L | -22.7wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0178…3f7abacked No | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 71 | 73.2%52 W · 19 L | +15.4wins | +0.22per pick | 52cpaid | +53.2%equal weight | 68+0.16 edge/pick |
| 0xb0e6…84a8backed No | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +6.9wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +34%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0abd…7207backed Yes | 13c | 199.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 18 | 16.7%3 W · 15 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 11cpaid | +146.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Yes | 11c | 177.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 101 | 33.7%34 W · 67 L | +5.8wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x939a…2f45backed Yes | 12c | 161.54$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 20cpaid | -27%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5cf…7b4cbacked Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11e1…4cc0backed Yes | 65c | 153.85$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed Yes | 9c | 151.88$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0a7…90f4backed Yes | 11c | 140.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbc67…5286backed No | 45c | 136.36$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 90 | 61.1%55 W · 35 L | +7.6wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 55c | 136.36$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 130 | 56.2%73 W · 57 L | +5.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed No | 37c | 135.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.95 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 10c | 131$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6f7…1f33backed Yes | 13c | 115.38$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa072…9e34backed No | 58c | 80$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.3 | 94 | 38.3%36 W · 58 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 19c | 79$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 583 | 20.1%117 W · 466 L | -37.7wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 37c | 67.83$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Yes | 59c | 63.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.62 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 32c | 55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.81 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | -8.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Yes | 34c | 55$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.75 | 77 | 40.3%31 W · 46 L | -6.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6508…1077backed No | 43c | 54$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.78 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb675…433abacked Yes | 58c | 35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78d2…7a2bbacked Yes | 60c | 33.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.01 | 67 | 43.3%29 W · 38 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf448…64cabacked Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4324…2b83backed Yes | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Kilmarnock FC win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will Celtic FC win on 2026-02-15?Yes won
- Will Kilmarnock FC vs. Celtic FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.