TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Tennis · resolved market

Delray Beach Open, Qualification: Adam Walton vs Sho Shimabukuro

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Shimabukuroof Walton, Shimabukuro
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$71,227
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$73,928

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,227 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Tennis
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x38c2…d3a7backed Walton25c15,795$4,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,00048851.6%252 W · 236 L-5.1wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Shimabukuro68c11,093$7,515 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,5782,74630.8%846 W · 1,900 L-67.1wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-36.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9fa9…c100backed Walton56c10,000$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,599.9743051.2%220 W · 210 L+5.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6f3e…bcf8backed Shimabukuro44c8,894$3,913 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,980.5576146.6%355 W · 406 L-1.0wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Shimabukuro45c4,467$2,011 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,455.5738133.9%129 W · 252 L-3.8wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Shimabukuro71c4,432$3,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.9681349.1%399 W · 414 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x33c9…6f9abacked Walton56c3,000$1,665 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,66593055.8%519 W · 411 L+23.8wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x33dd…ef8abacked Walton57c3,000$1,710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7106350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4699…5051backed Walton7c2,143$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1509737.9%77 W · 896 L-20.2wins-0.02per pick10cpaid-28.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x588b…8593backed Walton39c1,875$738 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$737.991,10743.5%481 W · 626 L-3.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb552…94a8backed Shimabukuro43c1,818$783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,034.5221338.5%82 W · 131 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Shimabukuro74c1,464$1,083 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.686,72036.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L-95.8wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-20.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe2bb…ea55backed Shimabukuro44c1,363$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$763.4412147.1%57 W · 64 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick43cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Shimabukuro77c1,186$918 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$268.062,86544.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L+6.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-20.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x57b9…e9b4backed Walton56c1,005$560 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56011353.1%60 W · 53 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x20ba…6c27backed Shimabukuro76c995.79$755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$240.791,18662.8%745 W · 441 L-16.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5d0…d9e8backed Shimabukuro47c749.95$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$399.5715447.4%73 W · 81 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x145a…132fbacked Shimabukuro49c709.24$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.32540%2 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked Shimabukuro67c656.31$439 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.642,98239.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L-109.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-30.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Shimabukuro43c575.99$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.3131332.3%101 W · 212 L-6.2wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-2.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb275…c76fbacked Walton57c526.32$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3004643.5%20 W · 26 L-2.6wins-0.06per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf3ef…7be6backed Shimabukuro43c500$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2853132.3%10 W · 21 L-2.0wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-30%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcd3d…e7ebbacked Walton21c443.66$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$951,13027.9%315 W · 815 L+1.6wins0.00per pick28cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Walton41c415$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.911,00846%464 W · 544 L-19.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-19.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x49ed…a2fbbacked Shimabukuro43c365$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.0520043.5%87 W · 113 L+6.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0f97…a9b3backed Walton28c357.14$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10026227.9%73 W · 189 L-11.3wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-17.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Shimabukuro45c306.03$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$168.764,07639.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L+93.7wins+0.02per pick37cpaid+7.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xae45…96b9backed Shimabukuro43c288.37$124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.3775262%466 W · 286 L+25.0wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+7.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Shimabukuro60c251.12$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.773,07244.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L-30.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-23%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…e826backed Shimabukuro63c238.09$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.0969350.5%350 W · 343 L-9.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked Walton42c234$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1797046.6%452 W · 518 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-17.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1574…64c9backed Walton56c200$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11247639.1%186 W · 290 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a1a…e7d9backed Shimabukuro43c199.99$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.99425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-41.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x25bf…7a56backed Walton20c195.49$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402,33546.6%1,088 W · 1,247 L+55.3wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Walton37c186.91$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.2549143%211 W · 280 L-15.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb8bd…478fbacked Shimabukuro71c176.06$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0654450.6%275 W · 269 L+3.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3578…f163backed Walton57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10039872.4%288 W · 110 L+9.5wins+0.02per pick70cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe649…4e37backed Shimabukuro45c154.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.241,41441.1%581 W · 833 L-21.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-2.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed Shimabukuro69c136.32$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.76,78648.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L+56.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9cf7…e5a5backed Walton37c135.14$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,26634.2%433 W · 833 L-43.2wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6a72…f81dbacked Walton39c130.01$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.1212952.7%68 W · 61 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-13.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6c10…4e76backed Walton14c125.33$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.633326.4%88 W · 245 L-14.1wins-0.04per pick31cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb224…dfa6backed Shimabukuro44c122.4$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.041250%6 W · 6 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9271…a28abacked Shimabukuro44c120$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.255241.3%228 W · 324 L-2.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5df4…4eacbacked Shimabukuro44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.645354.7%29 W · 24 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+14.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ceb…b516backed Shimabukuro44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6425950.2%130 W · 129 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Shimabukuro73c110.51$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.0361953.3%330 W · 289 L+18.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid-6.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Walton41c110$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.761,10641%454 W · 652 L+2.5wins0.00per pick41cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe75b…b4f5backed Shimabukuro74c101.49$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.496563.1%41 W · 24 L+0.1wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Shimabukuro44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5627344.7%122 W · 151 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Shimabukuro40c100$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$601,21233.1%401 W · 811 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Walton54c100$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5416044.4%71 W · 89 L-5.9wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xf48e…1e01backed Shimabukuro44c100$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$564763.8%30 W · 17 L+5.0wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0694…4a4ebacked Walton57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5726247.7%125 W · 137 L-9.1wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Walton27c93.61$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.057,81650.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L+95.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Walton28c92.72$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.033,27013.8%450 W · 2,820 L-549.1wins-0.17per pick31cpaid-57.4%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Shimabukuro45c87$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.937,13949.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L+109.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa6be…b977backed Shimabukuro44c82.5$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.11,76843.2%764 W · 1,004 L+2.9wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f6d…bfc5backed Walton54c74.07$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4031153.1%165 W · 146 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ba0…ff3abacked Walton28c71.43$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043158.2%251 W · 180 L-5.2wins-0.01per pick59cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb846…b8d0backed Shimabukuro47c67.82$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.946952.2%36 W · 33 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf303…7ee6backed Walton56c67.81$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3813066.9%87 W · 43 L+10.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+12.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4c9e…a8a9backed Walton30c55.6$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.682733.3%9 W · 18 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-38.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf7b4…96a4backed Walton47c50.55$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.761936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.2wins-0.11per pick48cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5562…3b41backed Shimabukuro70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.0514949.7%74 W · 75 L-13.2wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-19.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x4cf4…ed22backed Walton49c48.51$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.7718447.3%87 W · 97 L+16.7wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+26.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4c9d…3e29backed Shimabukuro44c45.45$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.451662.5%10 W · 6 L+2.6wins+0.16per pick46cpaid+83.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe0f6…a5eebacked Walton60c44.84$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.9159954.9%329 W · 270 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+1.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2cd6…6d83backed Walton57c43.86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8ae3…4dd4backed Walton60c40$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244445.5%20 W · 24 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaffe…7140backed Shimabukuro44c39.89$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.3443242.4%183 W · 249 L+7.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Walton56c35.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202,56163%1,613 W · 948 L-10.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x59d0…a871backed Shimabukuro44c34.09$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.0917354.3%94 W · 79 L+12.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Walton49c34$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.771,21841.1%500 W · 718 L-30.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c69…2b8dbacked Shimabukuro43c30.42$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2970148.2%338 W · 363 L+4.2wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-9.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Walton47c30$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.188455%486 W · 398 L+37.4wins+0.04per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3a2a…8fc6backed Shimabukuro45c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd52f…b81ebacked Walton55c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.520%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9fba…160dbacked Walton57c28.39$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.1820%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x641f…049abacked Shimabukuro44c27.27$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.279257.6%53 W · 39 L+7.3wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+16.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7a8…2d58backed Walton55c25.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.899154.9%50 W · 41 L-2.2wins-0.02per pick57cpaid+5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfeba…7a91backed Shimabukuro61c22.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.942927.6%8 W · 21 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-39.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3873…dec8backed Walton54c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.816468.9%113 W · 51 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick64cpaid+6.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.