Tennis · resolved market
Dubai Duty Free Tennis Championships, Qualification: Priscilla Hon vs Varvara Gracheva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8b4321d6e1f40ea6372f1f0e8e5553f0994930b975b634ed60f2834928c20441
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Grachevaof Hon, Gracheva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,970
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $47,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,970 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 63 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Hon | 23c | 5,222$1,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,207.09 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Hon | 34c | 2,185$735 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$735.33 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff80…8cb5backed Hon | 23c | 2,160$506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$506.4 | 115 | 30.4%35 W · 80 L | -10.5wins | -0.09per pick | 40cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3cfb…0628backed Gracheva | 66c | 1,922$1,268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$653.42 | 302 | 41.7%126 W · 176 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Hon | 7c | 1,517$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.16 | 1,106 | 41%454 W · 652 L | +2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9ed9…9949backed Gracheva | 66c | 1,100$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.16 | 465 | 53.8%250 W · 215 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Gracheva | 66c | 1,000$660 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$340 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Gracheva | 73c | 683.4$499 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.82 | 491 | 43%211 W · 280 L | -15.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Hon | 21c | 629.27$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Hon | 34c | 622$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.39 | 1,028 | 33.6%345 W · 683 L | -3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cde…6040backed Gracheva | 71c | 563.38$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.38 | 166 | 65.7%109 W · 57 L | +7.4wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4042…0bdabacked Hon | 27c | 555.56$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 982 | 40.1%394 W · 588 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Hon | 44c | 411.82$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4c9…9ee4backed Hon | 24c | 400$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96 | 357 | 30.5%109 W · 248 L | -11.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Gracheva | 72c | 390.15$281 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.59 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Hon | 25c | 384.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.86 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Gracheva | 62c | 322.87$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.87 | 752 | 62%466 W · 286 L | +25.0wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9086…4d46backed Gracheva | 63c | 317.46$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.46 | 1,841 | 48.5%892 W · 949 L | -32.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Gracheva | 78c | 303.78$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.83 | 1,107 | 43.5%481 W · 626 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Hon | 38c | 271.71$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.33 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb9…3783backed Hon | 26c | 271$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.75 | 228 | 40.4%92 W · 136 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Hon | 20c | 251.75$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.99 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5ba6…0f07backed Gracheva | 65c | 250$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.5 | 669 | 49.6%332 W · 337 L | -11.1wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Hon | 34c | 230.99$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.54 | 381 | 33.9%129 W · 252 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Gracheva | 74c | 207.36$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.08 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7f…e826backed Gracheva | 77c | 207.22$159 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.27 | 693 | 50.5%350 W · 343 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Hon | 28c | 197.61$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.92 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…f163backed Gracheva | 72c | 194.44$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.44 | 398 | 72.4%288 W · 110 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Hon | 33c | 153.53$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.93 | 4,076 | 39.7%1,620 W · 2,456 L | +93.7wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6236…6881backed Hon | 34c | 150$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 161 | 46.6%75 W · 86 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…f101backed Hon | 39c | 128.46$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 218 | 43.1%94 W · 124 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Hon | 20c | 118.2$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.99 | 2,044 | 53.8%1,100 W · 944 L | +61.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Hon | 33c | 111$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.63 | 121 | 47.1%57 W · 64 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03c7…22f2backed Hon | 40c | 109.03$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.61 | 542 | 49.3%267 W · 275 L | -17.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1f…6500backed Hon | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 692 | 49.6%343 W · 349 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Hon | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Gracheva | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Gracheva | 66c | 97.77$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.67 | 153 | 43.8%67 W · 86 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Hon | 34c | 95.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.04 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Gracheva | 66c | 92$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +6.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc9aa…67e1backed Gracheva | 67c | 91.28$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.12 | 99 | 50.5%50 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Hon | 32c | 86.2$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.36 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.2wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -37%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d8b…575ebacked Hon | 30c | 85.96$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.21 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Gracheva | 76c | 78.04$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf77…d66dbacked Gracheva | 68c | 73.53$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe42d…62febacked Gracheva | 66c | 68.18$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.18 | 98 | 70.4%69 W · 29 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Gracheva | 71c | 68$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.57 | 1,008 | 46%464 W · 544 L | -19.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99d5…2149backed Hon | 23c | 63.98$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.71 | 185 | 40%74 W · 111 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfed7…e405backed Hon | 30c | 51.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.43 | 149 | 40.9%61 W · 88 L | -7.6wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed Gracheva | 63c | 48.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.18 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Hon | 29c | 48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 656 | 47.6%312 W · 344 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Gracheva | 72c | 36.38$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.35 | 537 | 52.3%281 W · 256 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Hon | 37c | 31.45$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.79 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xfd08…0635backed Gracheva | 65c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 704 | 65.2%459 W · 245 L | +29.1wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae81…f04bbacked Gracheva | 68c | 30.91$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 219 | 59.4%130 W · 89 L | -10.8wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b48…c530backed Gracheva | 66c | 30.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.46 | 50 | 66%33 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51eb…6bfabacked Gracheva | 66c | 30.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.3 | 2,561 | 63%1,613 W · 948 L | -10.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1039…2914backed Gracheva | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 287 | 64.1%184 W · 103 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x99f4…335fbacked Gracheva | 67c | 21.52$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.1 | 242 | 74%179 W · 63 L | +6.9wins | +0.03per pick | 71cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x69fa…e259backed Gracheva | 80c | 20.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.04 | 133 | 54.9%73 W · 60 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3873…dec8backed Gracheva | 70c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 164 | 68.9%113 W · 51 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 64cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5151…4e57backed Gracheva | 78c | 20$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.4 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedc6…05dfbacked Gracheva | 75c | 18.92$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.64 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.