Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb3d922df0b9659d95623d25a2ffebbc611c8fedee5ec27c257104cbd7a3474d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,884
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $72,432
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,884 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 46 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xca66…be0ebacked No | 0c | 13,800$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 30c | 6,310$1,911 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910.73 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 24c | 3,489$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.08 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 2,157$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,704.64 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,874$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,734.13 | 48 | 18.8%9 W · 39 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe77f…8793backed Yes | 7c | 1,468$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,365.24 | 35 | 22.9%8 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.16per pick | 39cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 54c | 1,355$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.24 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 9c | 1,112$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,012.22 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6e…e9e3backed Yes | 16c | 600$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$503 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 75c | 417.31$311 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$311.36 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 77c | 415.05$321 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.48 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5b…0584backed Yes | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$284.62 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ae…f407backed Yes | 23c | 381.53$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$294.75 | 32 | 12.5%4 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa4c5…50cdbacked Yes | 27c | 379.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.39 | 113 | 43.4%49 W · 64 L | +7.8wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 11c | 338.31$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.63 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa106…5abbbacked No | 27c | 245.95$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.56 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.15per pick | 47cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 55c | 182.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.68 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Yes | 24c | 176.39$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.06 | 27 | 25.9%7 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12b9…3ec2backed Yes | 19c | 115.63$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 189 | 40.2%76 W · 113 L | +6.2wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes | 21c | 114.7$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.7 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 55c | 103.5$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.35 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 124 | 40.3%50 W · 74 L | +11.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 73c | 94.77$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.63 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d25…a301backed No | 79c | 91.84$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bbd…6575backed No | 75c | 86.94$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b13…3d47backed Yes | 80c | 82.5$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.5 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 206 | 47.6%98 W · 108 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 25c | 80$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked Yes | 26c | 76.92$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.92 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +90%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed No | 27c | 74.17$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 37cpaid | -35%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked Yes | 21c | 69$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.46 | 54 | 63%34 W · 20 L | +10.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1a…d5a3backed No | 31c | 67.68$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.04 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…8a33backed Yes | 20c | 65$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +3.2wins | +0.35per pick | 53cpaid | +99.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0a30…b094backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 70 | 51.4%36 W · 34 L | +5.4wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +15.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a92…6941backed Yes | 72c | 50.75$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.21 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.4wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | +239.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x49ed…a2fbbacked Yes | 28c | 48.25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.74 | 70 | 54.3%38 W · 32 L | +8.8wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 76c | 45.35$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Yes | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.79 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.19per pick | 26cpaid | -84.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 72c | 34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed No | 50c | 33.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 59 | 32.2%19 W · 40 L | +5.1wins | +0.09per pick | 24cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x313c…61d9backed Yes | 49c | 30.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.67 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.36per pick | 41cpaid | +105.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed No | 73c | 28.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 278 | 56.1%156 W · 122 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4712…5bd6backed No | 75c | 26.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 75cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?No won
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.