Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf04787756572a212fc6eb6d10db8cf69856bfb1697f25247ed5f5014c8b43b54
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,424
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,185
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,424 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 40 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 72c | 1,194$861 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$332.65 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 22c | 876.15$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.54 | 582 | 29.2%170 W · 412 L | -19.5wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 61c | 844.83$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.93 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 70c | 715.66$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 41cpaid | -75.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 69c | 626.06$432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 78c | 561.5$438 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.82 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 31c | 500$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155 | 141 | 32.6%46 W · 95 L | +6.6wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 79c | 421.76$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.73 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 27c | 385$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.4 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 72c | 297$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.16 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 42c | 291$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 36 | 33.3%12 W · 24 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 18c | 166.67$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 20c | 142.5$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 105 | 39%41 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | +33.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 80c | 114.98$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.2 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 38c | 109.89$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 940 | 43.7%411 W · 529 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…1bd0backed Yes | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 27cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 30c | 100$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 938 | 45.4%426 W · 512 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c16…c36fbacked Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfccd…02d6backed No | 70c | 100$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30 | 81 | 59.3%48 W · 33 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 41c | 81.4$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.01 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a5d…e3f4backed Yes | 21c | 76.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 34cpaid | -78%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 31c | 67.74$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…fcd4backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 65cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 19c | 65.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe398…ee2ebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 31 | 80.6%25 W · 6 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 24c | 62.74$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.22 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8e6…9e68backed Yes | 33c | 54.55$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 55c | 54.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed No | 55c | 54$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.33 | 511 | 40.9%209 W · 302 L | -12.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 22c | 50$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 70c | 45.36$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.61 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 77c | 40.97$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.33 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 69c | 40.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.42 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 66c | 39.88$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.48 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -5.5wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 31c | 32.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 87 | 49.4%43 W · 44 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…15efbacked Yes | 44c | 27.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.19 | 61 | 49.2%30 W · 31 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed No | 68c | 20.31$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b82…7f3cbacked Yes | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 62 | 38.7%24 W · 38 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f14…c845backed No | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-02-14?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.