Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will SC Braga win on 2026-02-14?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x54b463b0ba7c0b4dc5dbd6e7a67e727bdd17d2309fc3ced4225eb3685f5b98bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,317
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,703
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,317 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 57 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 52c | 2,402$1,247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.68 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97e0…8194backed No | 57c | 2,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$860 | 84 | 57.1%48 W · 36 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,884$811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$810.52 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 52c | 1,703$882 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820.89 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 9c | 1,569$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.45 | 648 | 42%272 W · 376 L | -12.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 47c | 1,535$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$719.55 | 146 | 41.1%60 W · 86 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ca1…aea0backed Yes | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$576 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x197b…818ebacked No | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 55cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8d…31eabacked Yes | 45c | 536.19$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241 | 366 | 47.3%173 W · 193 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0164…9ed6backed No | 56c | 399.99$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 43c | 350$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.5 | 47 | 57.4%27 W · 20 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +11%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 47c | 320$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.2 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 72c | 309.47$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.12 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 72c | 277.77$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.83 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 68c | 236.85$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.87 | 1,143 | 53.2%608 W · 535 L | +44.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf39…0e83backed Yes | 45c | 223.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 65%13 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 48c | 205.15$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.47 | 83 | 56.6%47 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed No | 27c | 187$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.51 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e52…9078backed Yes | 47c | 159.57$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 72 | 44.4%32 W · 40 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 77c | 157$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5773…ac11backed No | 55c | 145.1$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.3 | 145 | 42.8%62 W · 83 L | -4.8wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed Yes | 47c | 120$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.4 | 1,467 | 48%704 W · 763 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9183…59f0backed Yes | 48c | 110$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 43c | 105.89$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.8 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcea2…8ea7backed Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 45c | 100$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 77 | 63.6%49 W · 28 L | +8.6wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb315…d6c9backed No | 28c | 100$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.1wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 53c | 100$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.8 | 1,107 | 47.7%528 W · 579 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e52…2320backed No | 29c | 76$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 69 | 71%49 W · 20 L | +10.6wins | +0.15per pick | 56cpaid | +40.2%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8d…e22dbacked Yes | 45c | 71.7$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.27 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x625c…af76backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.73per pick | 73cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 45c | 64.44$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 292 | 44.9%131 W · 161 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee81…328cbacked No | 30c | 63.38$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.68 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked Yes | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.69 | 136 | 53.7%73 W · 63 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f3…999fbacked No | 56c | 59.99$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.4 | 182 | 41.8%76 W · 106 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 25c | 56$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 328 | 35.4%116 W · 212 L | -12.7wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 46 | 76.1%35 W · 11 L | +7.7wins | +0.17per pick | 59cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3a46…ba91backed Yes | 49c | 53.53$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x56e6…45e9backed No | 56c | 51.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.67 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1ec…1363backed Yes | 48c | 51.13$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 54c | 50.98$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.66 | 2,543 | 52.4%1,333 W · 1,210 L | +18.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe85f…7f69backed Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 52c | 45.35$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.76 | 169 | 52.1%88 W · 81 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7509…e8b4backed Yes | 72c | 41.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f81…2a7bbacked Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 56c | 35.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.71 | 43 | 69.8%30 W · 13 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 58cpaid | +16%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x473d…caabbacked No | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +90%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf5b4…570cbacked Yes | 45c | 32.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69ee…6e35backed No | 51c | 27.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.66 | 132 | 58.3%77 W · 55 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2164…fcd4backed Yes | 72c | 27.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.24per pick | 65cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 37c | 27.53$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.37 | 1,401 | 29.2%409 W · 992 L | -32.2wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c0…c187backed Yes | 44c | 26.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd703…de7ebacked Yes | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed Yes | 48c | 22.46$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.78 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Yes | 69c | 22.45$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.49 | 598 | 55.5%332 W · 266 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xac3f…1966backed No | 56c | 21.25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.35 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 56cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 54c | 19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.74 | 124 | 56.5%70 W · 54 L | +4.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will SC Braga win on 2026-02-14?this page
- Will Gil Vicente FC vs. SC Braga end in a draw?No won
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-02-14?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.