South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf01e2389a9fb50dd9b61d0890b1f3c646c68b2ea927f13ad09905a31a0ca5ca1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,553
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,553 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 53c | 1,553$816 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$736.51 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1353…c7fdbacked No | 51c | 980.39$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed Yes | 56c | 780$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.2 | 200 | 65%130 W · 70 L | +18.0wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed No | 44c | 780$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.2 | 992 | 59.1%586 W · 406 L | +108.7wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 64c | 672.9$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$242.49 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 57c | 514.68$292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.8 | 357 | 58%207 W · 150 L | +17.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a2…9874backed Yes | 37c | 500.21$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$315.58 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -11%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…f74abacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 60c | 281.3$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.46 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 68c | 250.93$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.85 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked No | 43c | 232.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x993a…1e2fbacked No | 43c | 232.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.98 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +5.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked No | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 218 | 39.4%86 W · 132 L | -9.5wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6b…075fbacked No | 50c | 200$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 150.86$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.91 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 46c | 143.48$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.48 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 63c | 126.93$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.97 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 836 | 42.9%359 W · 477 L | -3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed No | 40c | 100$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 69 | 26.1%18 W · 51 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed No | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.21 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 64c | 76.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.37 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 35c | 67.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.21 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed No | 48c | 65.04$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4bba…cf14backed No | 67c | 61.19$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 55 | 60%33 W · 22 L | -4.5wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 65c | 55.4$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.15 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Yes | 61c | 52.7$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.55 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa209…d90ebacked No | 46c | 49.68$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.85 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -11%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 65c | 45.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.59 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 30c | 41.92$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.58 | 373 | 55.2%206 W · 167 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ad…8dddbacked No | 32c | 41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.94 | 80 | 35%28 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed No | 64c | 36.03$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.91 | 2,611 | 54.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L | +25.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf7b4…96a4backed Yes | 54c | 32.66$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.96 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 39c | 30.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7ab…af05backed Yes | 34c | 30$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Yes | 36c | 27.78$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.78 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 79c | 25.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.32 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?this page
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-02-15?No won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.