South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-02-15?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1dda12d56cb8026a3ae00114ded081c617bf1eb58aaa9f5baac8923cd500bcec
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,566
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,101
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,566 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xea32…8870backed No | 66c | 14,627$9,654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,973.06 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 34c | 4,792$1,634 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,633.61 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 34c | 3,677$1,251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,251.37 | 3,407 | 51.3%1,749 W · 1,658 L | +21.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 34c | 2,360$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$802.4 | 233 | 54.9%128 W · 105 L | +7.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 73c | 1,249$912 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.54 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Yes | 28c | 456$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.9 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 33c | 419.35$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.32 | 8,112 | 48.7%3,951 W · 4,161 L | +27.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4021…956abacked Yes | 36c | 412.95$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 96 | 38.5%37 W · 59 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b4…f6d1backed Yes | 33c | 388.16$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0613…5204backed Yes | 41c | 364.63$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.5 | 52 | 28.8%15 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x466f…bb3bbacked Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 103 | 26.2%27 W · 76 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4d54…4d13backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -9.0wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa6da…7e3ebacked Yes | 35c | 287.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8314…0f1ebacked Yes | 37c | 250$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.5 | 85 | 54.1%46 W · 39 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 73c | 249.39$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.01 | 1,091 | 55.6%607 W · 484 L | -19.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 21c | 246.83$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.31 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 22c | 227.27$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 771 | 51.4%396 W · 375 L | -3.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201b…9146backed Yes | 12c | 200.08$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.01 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +28.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 34c | 200$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 465 | 30.3%141 W · 324 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Yes | 18c | 138.89$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 494 | 40.9%202 W · 292 L | -0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb948…ebffbacked Yes | 36c | 138$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 34c | 129$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.86 | 1,428 | 51.8%740 W · 688 L | +22.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 29c | 120.19$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 137 | 39.4%54 W · 83 L | +3.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71c1…e358backed Yes | 22c | 113.64$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 184 | 33.2%61 W · 123 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x858d…9d9fbacked Yes | 36c | 111.32$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 65c | 90.5$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 1,487 | 48.7%724 W · 763 L | -17.4wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdea…c050backed Yes | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 63 | 46%29 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37c4…359ebacked Yes | 25c | 81.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.33 | 37 | 59.5%22 W · 15 L | +5.8wins | +0.16per pick | 44cpaid | +121%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…4d6ebacked Yes | 32c | 78.13$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 133 | 35.3%47 W · 86 L | -14.9wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x73c1…1eaebacked Yes | 24c | 75.76$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -51%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40ed…df35backed Yes | 21c | 71.29$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4476…e0bfbacked No | 71c | 70.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.42 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 40c | 66.25$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.5 | 116 | 37.1%43 W · 73 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -11%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 28c | 65.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Yes | 26c | 62.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.06 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x23d3…eb28backed Yes | 24c | 62.5$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9e…a8a9backed No | 70c | 60.69$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf263…e9c1backed Yes | 34c | 57.47$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 25c | 55.38$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.57 | 716 | 19.7%141 W · 575 L | -49.1wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcdaa…eb5cbacked Yes | 37c | 54.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +84.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3526…8b74backed Yes | 41c | 50$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2df8…9d80backed Yes | 40c | 49.93$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22cc…8aeabacked No | 60c | 45.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.32 | 149 | 54.4%81 W · 68 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7e…4674backed Yes | 34c | 32.86$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.22 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75cd…61a6backed No | 78c | 31.24$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.72 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed No | 73c | 30.78$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 817 | 40.8%333 W · 484 L | +20.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa731…d6a6backed Yes | 43c | 26.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.19 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa383…a2f0backed Yes | 79c | 24.94$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 53 | 35.8%19 W · 34 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estudiantes de La Plata win on 2026-02-15?this page
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata vs. Estudiantes de La Plata end in a draw?Yes won
- Will Gimnasia y Esgrima de La Plata win on 2026-02-15?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.