CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Monte vs fnatic - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x07a1491e81864f30453a282d13b4433f87fd4bdbeb8d40fc0cf45258fac6ae62
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- fnaticof Monte, fnatic
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,210
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,735
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,210 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Monte | 55c | 2,046$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125.3 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked fnatic | 45c | 805.15$365 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a71…e454backed fnatic | 45c | 663.55$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.95 | 249 | 44.6%111 W · 138 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked Monte | 44c | 445.53$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.58 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a73…a9c8backed Monte | 55c | 396.95$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217 | 696 | 35.3%246 W · 450 L | -49.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x649d…ec03backed fnatic | 45c | 333.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.33 | 20 | 60%12 W · 8 L | +3.5wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb126…9848backed fnatic | 45c | 271.11$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.11 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.2wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9777…6b53backed fnatic | 32c | 226.33$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.76 | 197 | 32.5%64 W · 133 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…a189backed fnatic | 58c | 200.81$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.34 | 921 | 52.6%484 W · 437 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked Monte | 48c | 160.73$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.76 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Monte | 19c | 151.56$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.54 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Monte | 56c | 142.84$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.19 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadf8…1e82backed fnatic | 45c | 127$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.85 | 68 | 54.4%37 W · 31 L | +6.0wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x912e…0eaebacked Monte | 42c | 114.81$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.22 | 364 | 34.1%124 W · 240 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Monte | 41c | 107.55$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.63 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed fnatic | 39c | 100$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61 | 280 | 46.8%131 W · 149 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31a4…dd86backed Monte | 44c | 100$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +2.1wins | +0.14per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x368d…d853backed Monte | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 783 | 48.4%379 W · 404 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Monte | 45c | 97.1$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca29…a1d0backed fnatic | 71c | 70.27$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.27 | 228 | 44.3%101 W · 127 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Monte | 52c | 67$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.65 | 1,378 | 45.2%623 W · 755 L | +17.9wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a5…5303backed Monte | 77c | 63.06$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.3 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5425…8b3abacked fnatic | 56c | 62.67$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 200 | 52.5%105 W · 95 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2099…3024backed fnatic | 16c | 62.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.35 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e0…0d8abacked fnatic | 72c | 55.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.56 | 330 | 57.3%189 W · 141 L | -11.2wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Monte | 28c | 54.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 23cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcd5f…8a9bbacked fnatic | 34c | 50$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 135 | 40.7%55 W · 80 L | -5.8wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e5…18e9backed fnatic | 46c | 30.43$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.43 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs fnatic - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs fnatic (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffsfnatic won
- Counter-Strike: Monte vs fnatic - Map 1 Winnerfnatic won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.