TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Monte vs fnatic (BO3) - Roman Imperium Cup Playoffs

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
fnaticof Monte, fnatic
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$42,758
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$50,618

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,758 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 107 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdbdd…a5debacked Monte36c2,136$767 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$767.047,99050.4%4,029 W · 3,961 L+180.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-2.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1f26backed fnatic66c2,028$1,334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$693.841346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick39cpaid-3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc8f…a7bbbacked fnatic76c2,000$1,520 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4803265.6%21 W · 11 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick55cpaid+31%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x76f5…3382backed Monte39c1,717$672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$672.132142.9%9 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.13per pick56cpaid-21.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5f9b…71f8backed fnatic37c1,702$636 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.417345.2%33 W · 40 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed fnatic35c1,500$525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$974.9928344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd5f…8a9bbacked fnatic50c1,390$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69513540.7%55 W · 80 L-5.8wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x85a4…9aabbacked fnatic74c1,194$880 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$314.337054.3%38 W · 32 L-5.4wins-0.08per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29b5…cc6cbacked fnatic40c1,129$448 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$680.975,09555.1%2,805 W · 2,290 L+119.3wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Monte54c1,104$601 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600.984,03848.1%1,943 W · 2,095 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Monte24c1,089$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.1256732.5%184 W · 383 L-30.0wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-36.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3fc5…197fbacked Monte45c928.59$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4222352.2%12 W · 11 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick63cpaid-15.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b59…3aa6backed Monte60c886.49$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$531.8985358.3%497 W · 356 L+60.2wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+14.8%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x35ea…99bcbacked Monte55c799.99$438 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43813657.4%78 W · 58 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfdc0…4b85backed fnatic33c799.98$264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$535.992,09241.6%871 W · 1,221 L-50.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc49b…a5b8backed fnatic74c776$572 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.713347.4%63 W · 70 L-8.8wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4925…a69abacked fnatic68c708.99$479 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$229.6910331.1%32 W · 71 L-0.3wins0.00per pick31cpaid+3.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed fnatic36c689$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$438.825,87637.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L+71.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Monte61c675.08$412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$411.891,72346.8%807 W · 916 L+1.1wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc38…bfd8backed Monte65c613.85$399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3992429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-30.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x16fd…b4d3backed Monte28c598.75$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.6629840.3%120 W · 178 L-9.3wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa097…8795backed Monte62c519.98$322 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$322.3917347.4%82 W · 91 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14a0…22bbbacked Monte60c500$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,39365.9%918 W · 475 L+26.8wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5aa9…febebacked fnatic50c470.04$236 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$234.061,04044%458 W · 582 L-22.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-22.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa07d…9a01backed Monte42c430.53$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.0843933.7%148 W · 291 L-0.9wins0.00per pick34cpaid+1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9942…5c84backed Monte70c430.23$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032653.1%173 W · 153 L-1.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd5a1…0544backed Monte63c355.76$224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$224.1316750.9%85 W · 82 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2418…66c8backed Monte29c320.27$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.2860853.3%324 W · 284 L+20.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+9.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x68c9…aec3backed Monte66c303.1$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20028046.8%131 W · 149 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x13e4…8eadbacked Monte67c298.9$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.2640%0 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Monte62c286.55$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2938037.4%142 W · 238 L-14.8wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0705…41ebbacked Monte37c285$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.456139.3%24 W · 37 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94a1…2075backed fnatic37c260$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.845544.4%202 W · 253 L-0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe239…1761backed Monte66c259.63$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1718748.3%42 W · 45 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x51bb…a919backed Monte37c256.7$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.27749.4%38 W · 39 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4627…7c23backed Monte52c248.15$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13037448.4%181 W · 193 L-16.6wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-10%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8912…1712backed Monte29c247.3$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$72.8927735.7%99 W · 178 L-5.0wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a73…a9c8backed Monte60c246$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.0369635.3%246 W · 450 L-49.3wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf08…dea4backed fnatic64c238.56$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$86.613348.5%16 W · 17 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe463…f7b2backed fnatic36c200$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12832844.5%146 W · 182 L-0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a7c…8964backed fnatic31c200$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$137.661654.9%338 W · 278 L+12.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31a4…dd86backed fnatic76c199$151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.741560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadaf…aefdbacked Monte73c185.88$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.6984937.8%321 W · 528 L-20.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf3be…f543backed Monte40c184.08$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.4722952%119 W · 110 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e19…d2b0backed Monte67c176.31$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.2652750.7%267 W · 260 L+17.8wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb126…9848backed fnatic60c167$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6710251%52 W · 50 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+14.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4aaa…040abacked Monte65c160$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1041020%2 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-52.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked Monte65c154.18$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001,62944.8%730 W · 899 L+4.7wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xace6…5556backed Monte65c153.86$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10067651.8%350 W · 326 L+2.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc0d4…0289backed Monte65c153.85$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10017746.3%82 W · 95 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6dea…e294backed Monte65c153.65$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10035948.5%174 W · 185 L+9.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x41a3…017dbacked Monte66c151.68$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10045162.3%281 W · 170 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked fnatic66c150$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.553,23651.2%1,657 W · 1,579 L+88.9wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x64e8…7819backed fnatic36c149.99$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9654032.4%175 W · 365 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked fnatic66c137.62$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.732,22347.5%1,056 W · 1,167 L-5.7wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed fnatic59c133$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.8946344.5%206 W · 257 L-14.8wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-20.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x96cb…75cbbacked Monte38c130$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020433.8%69 W · 135 L0.0wins0.00per pick34cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Monte43c123$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.4832930.4%100 W · 229 L-21.9wins-0.07per pick37cpaid-50.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Monte22c121.83$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.362,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed fnatic43c121.56$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.561,59429.7%473 W · 1,121 L-88.1wins-0.06per pick35cpaid-39.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xebff…70e5backed fnatic62c119$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.882,77424.5%681 W · 2,093 L-295.8wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-50.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked fnatic59c118$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.9648948.7%238 W · 251 L-0.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebf5…b1d0backed Monte67c117.91$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7952850.6%267 W · 261 L+7.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x67b1…63ecbacked Monte25c116.53$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2921623.6%51 W · 165 L-27.4wins-0.13per pick36cpaid-39.1%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed fnatic70c111$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.969863%440 W · 258 L+65.3wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfcf0…b95dbacked Monte65c107.41$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7018751.3%96 W · 91 L-3.0wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-0.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1733…1e15backed fnatic35c107.28$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.7317758.2%103 W · 74 L+13.7wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+17.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Monte24c105.54$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.335,58047.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L+47.0wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb13…6c14backed Monte50c105$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.51450%7 W · 7 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+6.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x0a32…9875backed fnatic61c100$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.53441.2%14 W · 20 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-29.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xced8…221ebacked fnatic35c100$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6570038.9%272 W · 428 L-29.5wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-18.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd761…56e3backed Monte38c95$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.3524746.2%114 W · 133 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5f83…360bbacked Monte64c93.75$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Monte65c91.68$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6059049.7%293 W · 297 L-31.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked fnatic65c89.96$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.4545956.9%261 W · 198 L+20.9wins+0.05per pick52cpaid-1.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Monte28c78.87$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.972,10216.8%353 W · 1,749 L-286.5wins-0.14per pick30cpaid-47.2%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0x51b7…2fc7backed Monte65c77$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.0543442.2%183 W · 251 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ebe…3835backed Monte34c73$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.862222.7%5 W · 17 L-5.4wins-0.24per pick47cpaid-58%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed fnatic63c67$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.081,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcbc2…4bc8backed Monte57c60.53$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.55658.9%33 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa8f5…1caabacked fnatic35c59$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.327935.4%28 W · 51 L-5.9wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.9%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4a0d…6d2ebacked Monte35c57.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202524%6 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Monte64c55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.21,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe811…6816backed Monte67c52.24$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-66.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x911f…5ed0backed fnatic39c50.75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.7519939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-4%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x5425…8b3abacked fnatic45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.520052.5%105 W · 95 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x45b0…ceebbacked fnatic30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3511830.5%36 W · 82 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick33cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed fnatic34c48.8$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.131735.6%113 W · 204 L+10.0wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+8.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0e53…5c9dbacked fnatic70c48.11$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.437967.1%53 W · 26 L+0.4wins0.00per pick67cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56e6…45e9backed Monte65c47$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.551861.1%11 W · 7 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick64cpaid-5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0e…9f75backed fnatic36c46.91$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.145752.6%30 W · 27 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+6.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbc98…b902backed Monte74c37.91$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.25per pick58cpaid-40.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0c5a…9b3bbacked Monte67c37.31$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick60cpaid-18.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Monte28c37.17$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.296,50142.9%2,791 W · 3,710 L-79.3wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-21.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x820b…d27abacked fnatic37c37.08$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3626046.2%120 W · 140 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3685…6d99backed Monte64c37$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.6812948.1%62 W · 67 L+8.8wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+21.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd004…d54abacked fnatic68c35.31$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.32100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+112.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8359…5944backed Monte52c35$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.3570032%224 W · 476 L-45.8wins-0.07per pick39cpaid-32.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked Monte40c35$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1466753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc371…1e28backed fnatic64c34.77$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6246843.4%203 W · 265 L-11.7wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-21.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.