Other European Leagues · resolved market
Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-22?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xae023facb86c87e0be4513725977d0635d03b44e8c359094a26c57f34f915d5a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Other European Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,300
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,082
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,300 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Other European Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 67c | 1,986$1,332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,331.89 | 2,130 | 45.8%975 W · 1,155 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 69c | 1,910$1,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,312.87 | 7,889 | 45.4%3,579 W · 4,310 L | +11.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 30c | 1,250$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880.78 | 109 | 20.2%22 W · 87 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -38%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +270.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd3ba…e793backed Yes | 58c | 878.37$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.17 | 142 | 62.7%89 W · 53 L | +15.1wins | +0.11per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 35c | 703.14$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.34 | 5,604 | 42%2,356 W · 3,248 L | +75.1wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Yes | 28c | 597.89$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.48 | 660 | 47.6%314 W · 346 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf641…7b6fbacked Yes | 26c | 526.27$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390.12 | 153 | 71.9%110 W · 43 L | +15.5wins | +0.10per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xafce…c2f6backed No | 72c | 500$360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$360 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f9e…4c57backed No | 3c | 478.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 77 | 23.4%18 W · 59 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…92dfbacked Yes | 27c | 438.37$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.01 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +3.2wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 73c | 409.85$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.49 | 2,179 | 48%1,046 W · 1,133 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -12%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed No | 20c | 404.71$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.35 | 114 | 52.6%60 W · 54 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 32c | 374.88$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.93 | 1,441 | 51.1%736 W · 705 L | -16.4wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 75c | 332.99$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.2 | 641 | 43.4%278 W · 363 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4db3…c1eabacked No | 18c | 323.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.2 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f97…a9b3backed No | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8b2…c24ebacked No | 71c | 160.56$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 44 | 68.2%30 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 144 | 68.8%99 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked No | 68c | 115$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.2 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.16per pick | 55cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 51c | 97.45$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.69 | 986 | 53.2%525 W · 461 L | +22.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe343…5c31backed Yes | 24c | 95.83$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.83 | 66 | 16.7%11 W · 55 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 21cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…e115backed Yes | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 67c | 70.64$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 2,068 | 48.1%995 W · 1,073 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked Yes | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9154…8f2dbacked Yes | 21c | 55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.45 | 85 | 30.6%26 W · 59 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed No | 24c | 49.22$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 341 | 58.9%201 W · 140 L | +25.9wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 61c | 49.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.11 | 1,098 | 50.5%554 W · 544 L | -36.1wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 49.05$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.34 | 2,334 | 46.8%1,093 W · 1,241 L | +14.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee0…1006backed Yes | 28c | 43.14$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.06 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +21%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 25c | 40.58$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.43 | 64 | 56.3%36 W · 28 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 39.39$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.69 | 1,222 | 51%623 W · 599 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa66f…f5a3backed Yes | 28c | 36$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 381 | 47.5%181 W · 200 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3b…6583backed No | 70c | 33.43$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.4 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 70c | 25$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 852 | 50.4%429 W · 423 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7253…9190backed No | 78c | 24.09$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.79 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Yes | 67c | 23.8$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.78 | 869 | 60.4%525 W · 344 L | +91.3wins | +0.11per pick | 50cpaid | +35.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xc3df…16d6backed No | 70c | 18.94$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.26 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Other European Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Estoril Praia win on 2026-02-22?this page
- Will Estoril Praia vs. Gil Vicente FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Gil Vicente FC win on 2026-02-22?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.