Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x64c431368146133c5427400d30d09fe5f2d4f93cb71e36d2476d1cf4e43b28e3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $13,959
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,647
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $13,959 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked No | 39c | 1,355$526 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$828.5 | 100 | 61%61 W · 39 L | +8.3wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 31c | 1,141$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$786.02 | 769 | 41.9%322 W · 447 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 31c | 1,074$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 37cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$543.51 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 70c | 898.83$633 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.63 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64ae…ead9backed Yes | 30c | 487.45$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.77 | 115 | 36.5%42 W · 73 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1c4…bbfbbacked No | 70c | 484.99$339 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$145.5 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -2.5wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 48c | 436.03$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.67 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 64c | 364.27$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.09 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 71c | 272.1$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.81 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 69c | 252.25$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.08 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecad…875cbacked Yes | 29c | 239.99$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | +4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 26c | 221.93$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.7 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 57c | 204.76$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -6.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 67c | 189.39$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.79 | 2,990 | 42.5%1,270 W · 1,720 L | +9.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fe…ba40backed Yes | 29c | 172.42$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 94 | 46.8%44 W · 50 L | -3.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Yes | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed No | 72c | 149.99$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 21 | 61.9%13 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 71cpaid | -14%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9da6…f159backed No | 70c | 147.49$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x802f…e008backed No | 73c | 137.88$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.88 | 83 | 69.9%58 W · 25 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d4b…eedfbacked Yes | 69c | 130.43$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 60cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked Yes | 64c | 122.34$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.87 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb32e…a46abacked Yes | 30c | 115$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.5 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Yes | 27c | 93.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.27 | 318 | 42.1%134 W · 184 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa2…1973backed Yes | 28c | 89.29$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 81 | 30.9%25 W · 56 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc5ca…4870backed No | 72c | 83.14$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.14 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…2e72backed Yes | 17c | 70$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 28c | 69.44$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3036…15c2backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 80 | 37.5%30 W · 50 L | -5.1wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2062…6be2backed Yes | 30c | 66.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 45c | 64.55$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.74 | 377 | 50.9%192 W · 185 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 41c | 57.77$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 522 | 43.9%229 W · 293 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x473b…6804backed Yes | 30c | 57.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d8…d3f4backed No | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 29c | 50.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.98 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7878…26d9backed Yes | 60c | 50$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.89 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.36per pick | 47cpaid | +123.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 21c | 48.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.02 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71ea…1ff9backed No | 70c | 43.16$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.41per pick | 60cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 69c | 43$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.33 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed No | 32c | 32.03$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.78 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed No | 70c | 24.99$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.5 | 53 | 66%35 W · 18 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75e3…4bd5backed No | 72c | 14.99$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | -2.0wins | -0.14per pick | 72cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-02-26?this page
- Will HNK Rijeka vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw?No won
- Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-02-26?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.