Europa Conference League · resolved market
Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-02-26?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7db195532273937d6e629e69497cf8f7ff3f6a02d588badc5a830b444046acb3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Europa Conference Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,221
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $19,203
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,221 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 54 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Europa Conference League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No | 57c | 1,638$935 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$934.98 | 382 | 47.1%180 W · 202 L | +8.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 46c | 1,243$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.28 | 276 | 44.9%124 W · 152 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 8c | 1,135$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.82 | 785 | 44.8%352 W · 433 L | +13.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed No | 5c | 814.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 72 | 37.5%27 W · 45 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 77c | 790.22$607 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$607.36 | 3,726 | 47%1,750 W · 1,976 L | +20.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa43…22f3backed Yes | 44c | 787.48$344 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.48 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf21…be19backed Yes | 43c | 600$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba3…8cb2backed Yes | 14c | 585$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.45 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Yes | 43c | 581.4$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.4 | 107 | 57%61 W · 46 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 23c | 471.58$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$361.58 | 61 | 54.1%33 W · 28 L | +4.4wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x169e…de26backed No | 63c | 265.8$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.51 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 58c | 251.5$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.27 | 251 | 57%143 W · 108 L | +7.0wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 55c | 249.99$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.49 | 1,026 | 47.4%486 W · 540 L | -3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8709…7d3dbacked Yes | 43c | 234.3$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.55 | 47 | 42.6%20 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc629…5e51backed Yes | 43c | 232.75$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.75 | 48 | 58.3%28 W · 20 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed No | 33c | 224.39$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.71 | 86 | 39.5%34 W · 52 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 57c | 223.53$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.19 | 848 | 50.8%431 W · 417 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed No | 57c | 210.53$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 46 | 47.8%22 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.10per pick | 57cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe8…1fd3backed Yes | 9c | 200$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182 | 57 | 24.6%14 W · 43 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +26%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x997b…801ebacked No | 33c | 196.47$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.35 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 74c | 195$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.3 | 639 | 57.1%365 W · 274 L | +35.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 72c | 190.39$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.08 | 449 | 52.6%236 W · 213 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 55c | 186.61$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.64 | 880 | 48.2%424 W · 456 L | +17.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc736…e547backed Yes | 72c | 138.89$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.89 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 40c | 132.08$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.1 | 318 | 49.4%157 W · 161 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42e…9a1cbacked No | 57c | 123.53$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.41 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18fe…af43backed Yes | 42c | 120$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.6 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.8wins | -0.26per pick | 54cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed Yes | 42c | 118.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.13 | 130 | 46.9%61 W · 69 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…6c2ebacked Yes | 43c | 116.28$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.28 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd257…d215backed Yes | 17c | 100$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf230…bc77backed No | 59c | 84.35$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed No | 42c | 82$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.27 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94a5…4eb8backed Yes | 43c | 80$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.6 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x459f…c1f5backed No | 59c | 78.81$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.5 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Yes | 60c | 69.46$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.83 | 23 | 56.5%13 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 46c | 66.3$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Yes | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 35 | 62.9%22 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 55c | 61.36$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.53 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +5.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16fe…9496backed Yes | 42c | 59.52$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | -5.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 20c | 54.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.88 | 160 | 13.1%21 W · 139 L | -18.8wins | -0.12per pick | 25cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xddbf…c9d0backed Yes | 42c | 47.21$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.21 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 58cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf24f…15b2backed Yes | 45c | 44.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -7.7wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7c47…8d6dbacked Yes | 71c | 30.59$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.87 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x51ef…6431backed Yes | 69c | 30$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -10%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed No | 57c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.1 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xed61…9aa3backed Yes | 80c | 27$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.41 | 153 | 76.5%117 W · 36 L | +37.4wins | +0.24per pick | 52cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 73+0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 57c | 25.83$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.64 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -2.3wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x77b5…9170backed No | 57c | 23.52$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.41 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -5.4wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 63c | 22.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.32 | 123 | 45.5%56 W · 67 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 71c | 22.74$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.24 | 77 | 51.9%40 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc554…00adbacked No | 75c | 22.59$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 77 | 53.2%41 W · 36 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe1d…219ebacked No | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 80 | 62.5%50 W · 30 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d08…2142backed No | 69c | 15$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.35 | 69 | 50.7%35 W · 34 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Europa Conference League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will HNK Rijeka win on 2026-02-26?this page
- Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-02-26?No won
- Will HNK Rijeka vs. AS Omónoia Leukosías end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.