Mls · resolved market
Will Austin FC win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x648307c48625289f3655ba5493648e3dffe35850c18f5438dd68046d561210a5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,376,211
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,457,145
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,376,211 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a prediction-market account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 158 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4ef9…f171backed No | 52c | 1,110,746$582,602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582,602.45 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb904…c255backed Yes | 47c | 440,000$206,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233,200 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 48c | 233,140$111,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121,204.49 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 52c | 203,602$105,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97,706.2 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked No | 51c | 82,783$42,169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,168.8 | 157 | 48.4%76 W · 81 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3a1…3529backed Yes | 48c | 79,205$38,019 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41,186.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +24.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 47c | 48,332$22,716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,616.1 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 48c | 38,317$18,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,916.75 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…b408backed Yes | 48c | 28,111$13,551 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,560.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae8…c2a8backed Yes | 49c | 18,575$9,073 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,502.36 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 49c | 9,405$4,611 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,794.5 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 48c | 7,845$3,757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,087.81 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Yes | 48c | 7,480$3,590 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,889.61 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Yes | 44c | 7,330$3,248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,081.38 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +100.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 49c | 7,265$3,527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,738.25 | 3,018 | 43.6%1,316 W · 1,702 L | -28.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49f…9e05backed Yes | 50c | 6,320$3,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,160 | 27 | 51.9%14 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 48c | 5,768$2,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,999.41 | 264 | 45.5%120 W · 144 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Yes | 27c | 5,000$1,341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,659.06 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x329e…ed5cbacked Yes | 49c | 4,159$2,038 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,121.09 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +104.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 48c | 4,130$1,999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,130.64 | 134 | 47.8%64 W · 70 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Yes | 49c | 4,082$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,081.63 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +4.2wins | +0.30per pick | 56cpaid | +50.6%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 48c | 3,594$1,740 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,853.63 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 62c | 3,379$2,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,081.87 | 873 | 54.6%477 W · 396 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 49c | 3,000$1,480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,520 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30a3…1943backed Yes | 50c | 3,000$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,500 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 51c | 1,643$837 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$805.77 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae82…faf0backed Yes | 49c | 1,500$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +37.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3032…9b05backed Yes | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.67 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a35…5e52backed Yes | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c16…4b37backed No | 73c | 939.5$686 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$685.84 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +2.7wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x69dd…1964backed Yes | 48c | 826.94$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.94 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 48c | 799$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.41 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75b3…be68backed Yes | 49c | 740.81$363 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$377.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 49c | 661.6$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.71 | 377 | 49.9%188 W · 189 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 49c | 654.37$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.14 | 1,278 | 47.9%612 W · 666 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 49c | 603.34$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.7 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 60c | 560$336 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.81 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Yes | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86f8…1655backed Yes | 44c | 499.99$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$278.99 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +164.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 51c | 490.2$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5a…b691backed Yes | 40c | 473$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 50c | 471.58$236 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.79 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffc…5956backed Yes | 50c | 464.9$232 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.45 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +100%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588b…8593backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.67 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 50c | 416.3$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.21 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed No | 79c | 378.74$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 67cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa178…11a2backed Yes | 37c | 335.53$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210.53 | 92 | 50%46 W · 46 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Yes | 44c | 320$141 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.76 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 50c | 306.58$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.04 | 805 | 58%467 W · 338 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed Yes | 50c | 300$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Yes | 38c | 263.16$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.16 | 52 | 32.7%17 W · 35 L | -5.1wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed Yes | 49c | 247.46$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.23 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 49c | 246.95$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.9 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e5b…a569backed Yes | 50c | 240$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +3.7wins | +0.28per pick | 56cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8f13…daaebacked No | 50c | 239.35$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.68 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -5.4wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Yes | 49c | 233.13$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.17 | 42 | 59.5%25 W · 17 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 49c | 219$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 11c | 218.27$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.36 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf27…67ebbacked Yes | 46c | 217.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.39 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +71.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 50c | 211.06$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd77d…b01cbacked Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcce5…7eb2backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a64…6769backed Yes | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.08 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 48cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…cd03backed Yes | 52c | 192.97$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.97 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb53e…1aa3backed Yes | 49c | 192.46$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.84 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa03…c9ffbacked No | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Yes | 49c | 190.28$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.52 | 58 | 50%29 W · 29 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd243…56e5backed Yes | 52c | 190$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 30c | 186$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.2 | 926 | 46.7%432 W · 494 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes | 48c | 184.3$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.88 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa073…652dbacked Yes | 49c | 181.63$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.63 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa330…fa37backed Yes | 50c | 164.38$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24de…da7fbacked Yes | 39c | 152.58$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.58 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.18per pick | 57cpaid | +49.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd205…e7fbbacked Yes | 44c | 150$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +4.6wins | +0.23per pick | 47cpaid | +67.6%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 73c | 143$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.81 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff6b…c91abacked Yes | 50c | 137.66$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4440…f8fdbacked Yes | 47c | 129.99$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 64c | 124$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 1,888 | 36.5%690 W · 1,198 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 75c | 124$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.68 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc049…7cf6backed Yes | 46c | 119.57$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.57 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +98.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 38c | 118.89$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.89 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x939d…3b3cbacked Yes | 47c | 114.42$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.24 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 47c | 106.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed Yes | 50c | 105$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.6 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x681d…4cbfbacked Yes | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8d6…bdc2backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61d8…b596backed Yes | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d57…2b4ebacked Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.96 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48b7…63f1backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x682f…3265backed No | 51c | 98.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0dcc…031ebacked Yes | 50c | 98.04$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.02 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd983…d92dbacked Yes | 51c | 98.04$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.04 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 50c | 90$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 49c | 88.85$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.31 | 533 | 46.7%249 W · 284 L | -14.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8726…0f36backed Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +3.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +26.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x581f…9d8ebacked No | 55c | 78.18$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +36.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 59c | 77.63$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.62 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1fbc…43e5backed Yes | 51c | 71.18$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.18 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Yes | 49c | 70.82$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.82 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Austin FC win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will Austin FC vs. D.C. United SC end in a draw?No won
- Will D.C. United SC win on 2026-03-01?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.