Mls · resolved market
Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0ff7cc6e6971d0bc567acf0cab6db66e984f176e2a12662eb5bb7d94da9e7c88
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $913,495
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $912,660
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $913,495 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0222…8ff7backed No | 60c | 754,740$449,407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$305,332.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +67.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37e4…c991backed Yes | 41c | 266,920$109,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109,098.75 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -55.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Yes | 40c | 118,491$47,396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47,396.4 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 101,468$41,168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41,168.48 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Yes | 41c | 72,862$29,561 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,560.58 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe90b…5da2backed Yes | 40c | 61,085$24,434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,433.9 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdc87…7ab6backed Yes | 40c | 31,385$12,554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,553.84 | 52 | 50%26 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb22…6478backed No | 55c | 30,000$16,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,500.15 | 156 | 47.4%74 W · 82 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Yes | 41c | 25,155$10,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,346.89 | 251 | 49%123 W · 128 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Yes | 42c | 15,100$6,275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,275 | 153 | 41.2%63 W · 90 L | -14.0wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -24%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked Yes | 41c | 14,509$5,928 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,928.42 | 88 | 45.5%40 W · 48 L | -4.9wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf059…6dd9backed Yes | 45c | 14,244$6,410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,410 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 41c | 12,303$4,983 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,982.65 | 263 | 45.2%119 W · 144 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x201c…58bfbacked Yes | 40c | 10,000$4,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.28per pick | 39cpaid | +91%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c84…a8edbacked Yes | 45c | 9,556$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 89 | 46.1%41 W · 48 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Yes | 37c | 7,833$2,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,873.44 | 777 | 51.7%402 W · 375 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…ae85backed Yes | 40c | 7,250$2,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,900 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5d1…cdc9backed Yes | 16c | 6,244$999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$999.11 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | -2.4wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6337…62c5backed Yes | 41c | 5,277$2,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,148.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x75bd…0288backed Yes | 17c | 3,271$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$556.26 | 85 | 60%51 W · 34 L | +9.1wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcbf4…e3a6backed Yes | 41c | 2,500$1,013 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,012.5 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 40c | 2,058$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$828.44 | 73 | 34.2%25 W · 48 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabf5…cfebbacked Yes | 40c | 2,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Yes | 41c | 1,951$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$799.91 | 133 | 47.4%63 W · 70 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 45c | 1,216$542 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$541.55 | 1,270 | 48%610 W · 660 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Yes | 45c | 1,197$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$538.36 | 236 | 43.6%103 W · 133 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Yes | 9c | 1,079$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.48 | 413 | 39%161 W · 252 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 44c | 1,018$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.96 | 206 | 48.5%100 W · 106 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Yes | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb700…b06bbacked Yes | 44c | 909.09$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 56c | 844.49$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$371.57 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Yes | 41c | 821.71$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.3 | 580 | 43.6%253 W · 327 L | -12.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 48c | 750.65$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.23 | 151 | 44.4%67 W · 84 L | -11.3wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Yes | 43c | 733$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.19 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x587b…2622backed No | 60c | 700$422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.61 | 293 | 70.3%206 W · 87 L | +41.2wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Yes | 43c | 656.1$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285 | 44 | 59.1%26 W · 18 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Yes | 42c | 617$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$259.82 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 67c | 576.59$388 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$188.78 | 871 | 54.6%476 W · 395 L | +34.2wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked No | 75c | 563.14$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.22 | 235 | 48.9%115 W · 120 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 44c | 474$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.47 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.9wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe3d4…2bacbacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 54 | 51.9%28 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 77c | 453.91$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.45 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Yes | 44c | 408$180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.9 | 376 | 49.7%187 W · 189 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed No | 59c | 400.16$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.9 | 263 | 46.8%123 W · 140 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeab6…d4c6backed No | 56c | 364.44$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.35 | 41 | 26.8%11 W · 30 L | -3.9wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3b…397dbacked No | 57c | 300$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x53cd…f23ebacked Yes | 41c | 266.91$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.43 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf60b…c18ebacked No | 57c | 255.97$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.07 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 45c | 244.15$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.87 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3001…4ac2backed Yes | 42c | 238.1$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…cd03backed Yes | 43c | 232.56$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Yes | 5c | 231.34$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.93 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb75…6dd0backed Yes | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Yes | 7c | 200$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -31%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4300…5c69backed No | 55c | 200$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 35 | 51.4%18 W · 17 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed Yes | 45c | 199.98$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.39 | 86 | 61.6%53 W · 33 L | +9.4wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Yes | 40c | 198$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.84 | 371 | 38.8%144 W · 227 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa580…a6febacked Yes | 11c | 181.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.15per pick | 18cpaid | +122.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3db2…be55backed No | 56c | 178.57$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.57 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3abf…b143backed Yes | 41c | 167.74$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.1 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed Yes | 40c | 152$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.8 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.1wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Yes | 41c | 149.07$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.5 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 56cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 43c | 140$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.2 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 40c | 131.83$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.36 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -3.1wins | -0.12per pick | 40cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2bd7…88e6backed Yes | 44c | 127.27$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 41c | 121.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1878…85e2backed Yes | 41c | 121.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.84 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78dc…d861backed Yes | 17c | 120$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.35 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52fe…effdbacked No | 57c | 119.47$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.37 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d55…7bc7backed No | 57c | 112.82$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.54 | 27 | 59.3%16 W · 11 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 77c | 110.13$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 1,009 | 46.2%466 W · 543 L | +11.2wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 56c | 107.5$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.41 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb9…ed8dbacked Yes | 43c | 107$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.01 | 91 | 51.6%47 W · 44 L | -4.4wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89c9…9534backed Yes | 47c | 106$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.82 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd8…5cdbbacked Yes | 44c | 105.97$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.63 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc981…a53dbacked Yes | 41c | 103.8$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a87…fb21backed Yes | 42c | 100.34$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5404…5e58backed Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Yes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 110 | 46.4%51 W · 59 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5e…94e9backed No | 57c | 100$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +117%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…814dbacked No | 57c | 97$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.71 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f49…b482backed Yes | 44c | 96.36$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeca1…57e4backed Yes | 40c | 95$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726b…c72bbacked Yes | 41c | 79.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed Yes | 44c | 75$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.7wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 23c | 68.25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.9 | 249 | 20.9%52 W · 197 L | -19.4wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x452f…b277backed Yes | 44c | 68.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 36 | 41.7%15 W · 21 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a63…b752backed Yes | 43c | 68$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed Yes | 33c | 64.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.47 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x314a…41dcbacked Yes | 44c | 62.79$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52ca…54f0backed Yes | 42c | 60.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +44.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 78c | 58.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.92 | 287 | 21.6%62 W · 225 L | -29.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 84.6%11 W · 2 L | +2.2wins | +0.17per pick | 68cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 57c | 52.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 429 | 47.1%202 W · 227 L | -6.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked No | 70c | 48.29$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.64 | 215 | 45.1%97 W · 118 L | -20.4wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0112…4fe9backed Yes | 31c | 47.81$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked No | 79c | 47.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.06 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…ff3bbacked Yes | 43c | 46.51$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbf9…7560backed No | 54c | 46.3$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.3 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf48e…1e01backed No | 58c | 46$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.32 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Philadelphia Union win on 2026-03-01?this page
- Will New York City FC win on 2026-03-01?Yes won
- Will Philadelphia Union vs. New York City FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.