TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Mls · resolved market

Will New York City FC win on 2026-03-01?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,857
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$60,367

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,857 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 87 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x44c5…8d45backed No26c7,702$2,030 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,029.949239.1%36 W · 56 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Yes64c3,835$2,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,369.4141339%161 W · 252 L-8.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-4.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed No11c2,876$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.041553.3%8 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.21per pick33cpaid+23%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes54c2,792$1,508 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,284.061,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x033f…618ebacked Yes74c2,465$1,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$640.821872.2%13 W · 5 L+4.6wins+0.25per pick47cpaid+156.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe196…0ab5backed Yes29c2,058$592 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,466.537334.2%25 W · 48 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick33cpaid+8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6b23…04a3backed No27c1,864$505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504.6825652.3%134 W · 122 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked No71c1,653$1,175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,175.4525149%123 W · 128 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6cb0…9a6cbacked No64c1,237$797 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$797.3520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8790…010bbacked No60c1,108$669 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.173043.3%13 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid+22.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed No80c1,106$883 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$882.6428851.4%148 W · 140 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Yes61c1,091$661 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$430.6477751.7%402 W · 375 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeab6…d4c6backed No23c1,060$245 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$245.314126.8%11 W · 30 L-3.9wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-42.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Yes60c978.7$586 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$392.8848344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked No55c906.55$503 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$502.8523548.9%115 W · 120 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c844.46$607 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$607.4180358%466 W · 337 L+5.9wins+0.01per pick57cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13a1…d9bcbacked No38c823$309 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.0718967.2%127 W · 62 L+21.1wins+0.11per pick56cpaid+22.5%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No42c709.28$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.9126346.8%123 W · 140 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xae82…faf0backed No72c551.88$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.351172.7%8 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.17per pick56cpaid+37.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Yes28c469$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$336.0123643.6%103 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No31c439.8$136 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$136.347044.3%31 W · 39 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-15.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1a6d…72eabacked Yes26c438.35$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.381100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+284.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked No63c401.62$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251.81855.6%10 W · 8 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfed7…e405backed No71c382.99$272 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271.921637.5%6 W · 10 L-3.4wins-0.21per pick59cpaid-33.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked No75c368$277 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277.121952.6%10 W · 9 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3454…333bbacked No26c343.41$91 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.941926.3%5 W · 14 L-2.8wins-0.15per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x84f7…ade1backed Yes74c326.45$242 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.8820648.5%100 W · 106 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3abf…b143backed No13c286.1$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.1713950.4%70 W · 69 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x587b…2622backed Yes26c282.5$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.729370.3%206 W · 87 L+41.2wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+30.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x326c…73acbacked No74c255.89$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes20c252.48$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.486124.6%15 W · 46 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-18.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0d91…df18backed No28c251.77$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$69.353234.4%11 W · 21 L-3.2wins-0.10per pick44cpaid-30.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked No72c249$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.3115144.4%67 W · 84 L-11.3wins-0.07per pick52cpaid-15.5%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x75bd…0288backed No45c245.3$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.948560%51 W · 34 L+9.1wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4522…ef10backed Yes59c242.15$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.05450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf24b…d4cebacked Yes70c228.54$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.91785.7%6 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.25per pick61cpaid+35.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No56c224.91$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.9819847.5%94 W · 104 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked Yes53c200$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.2420641.3%85 W · 121 L-3.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-9.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed No70c194$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.112646.2%12 W · 14 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x5730…e57dbacked No74c182.46$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.0210%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6835…1976backed No72c180$130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.624351.4%125 W · 118 L-16.4wins-0.07per pick58cpaid-12.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x15d7…a861backed Yes59c169.49$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.492100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+103.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa580…a6febacked Yes15c133.67$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.67333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.5wins+0.15per pick18cpaid+122.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2822…ae31backed Yes55c126.05$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+82.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9d94…017dbacked Yes15c124.23$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.0613228.8%38 W · 94 L+6.1wins+0.05per pick24cpaid+38.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x16b2…aa5abacked No74c100$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7412667.5%85 W · 41 L+11.2wins+0.09per pick59cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x258f…4493backed Yes22c98$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.441233.3%4 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.08per pick25cpaid+22.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x43e8…af56backed Yes44c96.66$43 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.022528%7 W · 18 L-3.1wins-0.12per pick40cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xaea0…0decbacked No73c87$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.243145.2%14 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa509…ae46backed No69c85.13$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.9154949%269 W · 280 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No74c80.12$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.031,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No26c75.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.828721.6%62 W · 225 L-29.9wins-0.10per pick32cpaid-44.8%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Yes72c75$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.121,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Yes29c74.63$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.745250%26 W · 26 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba5a…344cbacked Yes50c73.08$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.543652.8%19 W · 17 L-1.9wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-7.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xff6b…c91abacked Yes66c60.61$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.61633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-41.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e86…db9dbacked No50c60$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid+33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb053…335bbacked Yes26c56.15$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.553100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+154.7%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes74c54.36$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.1337138.8%144 W · 227 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes25c50.87$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.0453046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No67c47.14$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.583,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c46…dac9backed Yes38c45.32$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.196756.8%549 W · 418 L+73.1wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Yes26c42.16$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.053145.2%14 W · 17 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked Yes52c40.45$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.425349.1%26 W · 27 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-16.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7b67…e889backed Yes35c39.1$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.383447.1%16 W · 18 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-1.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdbb8…f7debacked No44c37.69$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d54…81a1backed No27c37.41$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1922.2%2 W · 7 L-2.0wins-0.22per pick44cpaid-54.5%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xae9a…7ceabacked Yes67c36.39$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.01475%3 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.28per pick47cpaid+125.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes71c35.21$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.212161.9%13 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick65cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x24de…da7fbacked Yes58c34.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.48475%3 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.18per pick57cpaid+49.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3d3f…c7f3backed Yes59c34.12$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe516…14ffbacked Yes60c32.53$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.01580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.22per pick58cpaid+41.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc5b5…7e80backed No57c31.69$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.042334.8%8 W · 15 L-3.0wins-0.13per pick48cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed No39c31$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.027951.9%41 W · 38 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+11.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2f31…e2b6backed No73c30$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.93847.4%18 W · 20 L-5.2wins-0.14per pick61cpaid-23.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x02ee…9ac3backed No43c30$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9540%2 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick37cpaid+46.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d6a…8be9backed Yes37c29.92$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.92560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+29.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No55c29$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.937249.2%183 W · 189 L-12.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-15.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8935…7daabacked No73c27.3$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.930735.2%108 W · 199 L-32.1wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-34.7%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x3a9f…3544backed No62c24.19$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15520%1 W · 4 L-1.6wins-0.33per pick53cpaid-71.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xee47…bd6fbacked Yes60c23.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.571100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadc0…6d64backed Yes59c20.34$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8.341100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.41per pick59cpaid+69.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Yes52c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.61942.1%8 W · 11 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xa8e3…40a0backed Yes62c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick62cpaid+62.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2849…3d49backed Yes61c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.81100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfd66…e41dbacked Yes60c17.2$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.881100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x75e3…4bd5backed No74c15$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.12075%15 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.