TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

South American Leagues · resolved market

Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-11?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$52,543
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$58,878

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $52,543 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 101 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked Yes43c6,480$2,771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,709.466944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No40c4,346$1,728 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,728.475,75745.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L+94.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-7.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbe87…6fc0backed No54c3,890$2,101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,100.756355.6%35 W · 28 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+16.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No57c3,215$1,818 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,818.192,38851.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L-9.3wins0.00per pick52cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x74bb…1759backed Yes41c1,807$741 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,066.138831.8%28 W · 60 L+3.6wins+0.04per pick28cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes78c1,705$1,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.188,10748.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L+26.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-8.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed No36c1,491$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.741,36244.9%611 W · 751 L-22.0wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-19.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Yes40c1,481$597 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$883.961,98544.8%890 W · 1,095 L-44.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed No1c1,419$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.1927133.9%92 W · 179 L-10.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-24.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Yes45c1,285$576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$709.071,29042.8%552 W · 738 L-2.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe11a…53ebbacked No56c866.93$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.8810155.4%56 W · 45 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xa76d…6a8ebacked Yes40c843.5$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506.11100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No57c765.72$433 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$433.043,40551.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L+21.3wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed No58c655.85$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.041,07047.4%507 W · 563 L-46.3wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-17.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d1d…afd2backed No61c634.94$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$386.4265058%377 W · 273 L+21.6wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8bc2…4c80backed Yes42c618.19$260 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$358.559562.1%59 W · 36 L-0.3wins0.00per pick62cpaid+0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes49c566.95$277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$289.5619963.8%127 W · 72 L+19.3wins+0.10per pick54cpaid+23.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed No57c499.97$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.9821349.8%106 W · 107 L+0.7wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x53fa…83f9backed No49c488.09$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.115062%31 W · 19 L+6.3wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+15.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf2d2…a1cdbacked No38c389.7$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.723254.7%127 W · 105 L+12.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb475…978cbacked Yes42c386.08$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.932245.5%10 W · 12 L+2.2wins+0.10per pick36cpaid+15.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbff4…b609backed Yes43c361.4$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$206.517745.5%35 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+9.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1966…da9ebacked No58c336.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.969831.6%31 W · 67 L-11.2wins-0.11per pick43cpaid-24.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xe524…d34fbacked Yes43c300.47$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171.2719846%91 W · 107 L+13.5wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+20%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xab0c…2f12backed Yes55c279.66$153 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.725100%5 W · 0 L+1.8wins+0.35per pick65cpaid+56%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x07fe…4d66backed Yes45c279.59$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$153.891258.3%7 W · 5 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick46cpaid+34.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5462…fe43backed No56c246.88$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.253151.6%16 W · 15 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e7f…a844backed No40c220.21$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$87.813248.5%64 W · 68 L-3.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-23.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked No60c218.47$131 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$131.0547758.1%277 W · 200 L+8.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xade2…8757backed No60c215.46$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$129.2515956.6%90 W · 69 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-8.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32cc…68b3backed No60c213.71$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.2357157.8%330 W · 241 L+9.0wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd809…6542backed No61c211.24$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.8136757.5%211 W · 156 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8090…42c1backed Yes43c197.65$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.664456.8%25 W · 19 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfb51…082dbacked No60c194.67$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7841256.6%233 W · 179 L+7.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd27d…a84fbacked No60c192.93$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$115.7611856.8%67 W · 51 L+3.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2302…d6d2backed No61c190.44$116 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.1347756%267 W · 210 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x82de…1337backed No61c154.63$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.3328158.7%165 W · 116 L+12.4wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed No61c131.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0163657.5%366 W · 270 L-5.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6a3…04bebacked No61c131.24$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80.0118154.7%99 W · 82 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x26dd…0249backed No61c131.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8018859%111 W · 77 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick53cpaid+3.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No33c126.45$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.293,74938.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L-33.3wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef9c…7b3fbacked No20c125$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251520%3 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-19.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7abf…8dd3backed Yes40c117.22$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.933953.8%21 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7e2f…febcbacked Yes42c114.9$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$66.648149.4%40 W · 41 L+4.2wins+0.05per pick44cpaid+18.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8b4…06fcbacked Yes44c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.51050%5 W · 5 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x04a7…164bbacked No56c107.1$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.974257.1%24 W · 18 L+3.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+13%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x670b…2c75backed No14c103.19$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.232138.1%8 W · 13 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick35cpaid-15%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb94e…fe57backed No22c93.8$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.64425%1 W · 3 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-43%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40a4…c6a9backed Yes43c86.59$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.352045%9 W · 11 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed No34c86.55$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.5827442%115 W · 159 L-8.3wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-24.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xefa8…924ebacked No31c82.95$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.822128.6%6 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-36.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7e2…8fb6backed Yes41c77.17$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.53650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+62.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbde5…97ebbacked Yes44c76.87$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.05366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.16per pick51cpaid+19%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd5bb…0fe1backed Yes65c75.87$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.838861.3%238 W · 150 L+14.5wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+4.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9787…37dfbacked No22c73.66$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.218145.3%82 W · 99 L+8.4wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+14.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Yes43c72.19$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.1576951.5%396 W · 373 L-2.2wins0.00per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xafeb…5cd2backed Yes76c69.45$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.728560%51 W · 34 L-6.6wins-0.08per pick68cpaid-11.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbaff…eaf6backed Yes43c67.21$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.312454.2%13 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f6…f0d9backed Yes44c62.46$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.981361.5%8 W · 5 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick44cpaid+36.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a49…d9f5backed No52c61.54$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.051,36652.4%716 W · 650 L+51.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No28c60.71$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.7994848.1%456 W · 492 L-18.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8098…5646backed Yes69c56.09$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.2616759.9%100 W · 67 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1fa8…0b19backed Yes69c54.69$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.144465.9%29 W · 15 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick60cpaid+11.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6569…7600backed Yes68c53.47$37 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9416160.9%98 W · 63 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed No57c53$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.212,61154.2%1,415 W · 1,196 L+25.5wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes69c52.94$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.5934155.1%188 W · 153 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed No32c49.95$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.2285220.7%176 W · 676 L-85.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-52.5%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x2baf…8023backed No37c49.73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.651952.6%10 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2c07…5feabacked Yes41c47.05$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.764753.2%25 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+14.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa373…2f8cbacked Yes44c43.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.6850%4 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-13.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8d19…bf25backed Yes44c43.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.611849.2%58 W · 60 L-3.1wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8405…2163backed Yes44c43.93$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.620142.3%85 W · 116 L-0.8wins0.00per pick43cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5b1…30b2backed Yes42c43.81$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.4116453.7%88 W · 76 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a72…c2a0backed Yes45c42.98$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6430231.1%94 W · 208 L+10.5wins+0.03per pick28cpaid+0.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcfe2…883ebacked Yes43c42.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.32250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9943…a363backed Yes43c42.67$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.321866.7%12 W · 6 L+1.4wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+5.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5924…e5a0backed Yes46c42.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.723243.8%14 W · 18 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-15.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6804…29e2backed No59c40.88$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.9819356%108 W · 85 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick58cpaid-11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed No40c36.15$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.467061.4%43 W · 27 L+8.0wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+56.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes80c34.83$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.977857.7%45 W · 33 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8943…6c65backed No46c30.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.153360.6%20 W · 13 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x28b8…16fcbacked Yes44c30.75$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick53cpaid-33.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x43d7…1c75backed Yes42c30.67$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.796046.7%28 W · 32 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x82ca…3135backed No34c30.39$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.36149.2%30 W · 31 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-17.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked No58c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.417950.8%91 W · 88 L+4.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4c3e…f079backed Yes38c29.5$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.32366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+30.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes68c29$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.281,03849.4%513 W · 525 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes44c28.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.2420055%110 W · 90 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf68…ed10backed No56c28.01$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.684156.1%23 W · 18 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick59cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x66fc…2720backed No59c25.14$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.863669.4%25 W · 11 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2373…a1f3backed Yes53c21.93$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2619056.3%107 W · 83 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes53c21.9$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.2326160.9%159 W · 102 L+20.4wins+0.08per pick53cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xb82b…bb76backed No55c21.86$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.023324.2%8 W · 25 L-4.1wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-39.2%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xfa93…a0c9backed No61c21.82$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.273452.9%18 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf512…5198backed No55c21.72$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.8411863.6%75 W · 43 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-2.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x90d1…e55ebacked No56c21.25$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.0wins-0.33per pick49cpaid-74%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf46b…c51dbacked No61c20.88$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.7344959%265 W · 184 L+22.4wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+4.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4a83…635bbacked No60c20.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.59742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-20.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes60c20$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$830847.7%147 W · 161 L+13.6wins+0.04per pick43cpaid-6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x43f5…40d0backed No59c18.34$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.824045%18 W · 22 L-5.9wins-0.15per pick60cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.