South American Leagues · resolved market
Will Santos FC vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd4703e0cdee137122e82e93adf72de8b190112e9d4e604f3c05124647a9a5ae
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $21,437
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,767
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,437 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 49 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 70c | 6,121$4,296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.22 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 21c | 5,868$1,210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,210.44 | 5,757 | 45.4%2,611 W · 3,146 L | +94.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2707…0afabacked Yes | 34c | 2,882$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$990.14 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -19%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 37c | 2,527$930 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.83 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6580…6fa8backed Yes | 30c | 882.21$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.66 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -3.8wins | -0.09per pick | 30cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 66c | 644.98$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.85 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 69c | 420.07$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.22 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 59c | 400.4$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.41 | 1,366 | 52.4%716 W · 650 L | +51.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 233.78$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.14 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1acc…8fe0backed No | 70c | 199.99$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 26 | 46.2%12 W · 14 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7f…a844backed No | 77c | 122.94$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.15 | 132 | 48.5%64 W · 68 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0720…89a7backed Yes | 31c | 114.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff30…88bdbacked Yes | 31c | 114.41$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.47 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 29cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 14c | 91.86$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.15 | 824 | 34.5%284 W · 540 L | -17.8wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -32%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked No | 71c | 89.85$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.19 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe0d0…8db8backed No | 72c | 83.96$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.51 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c2…080bbacked Yes | 20c | 74.86$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.83 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Yes | 19c | 72.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Yes | 19c | 72.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 78 | 57.7%45 W · 33 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Yes | 19c | 72.76$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.82 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 20c | 69.52$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.77 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbde5…97ebbacked Yes | 31c | 61.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.17 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +19%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed No | 66c | 61$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.69 | 852 | 20.7%176 W · 676 L | -85.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed Yes | 19c | 60.28$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 67c | 60$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.04 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 70c | 58.92$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e6c…e09cbacked Yes | 20c | 58.65$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.62 | 261 | 60.9%159 W · 102 L | +20.4wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef9c…7b3fbacked Yes | 17c | 57.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 66c | 57.08$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.69 | 1,444 | 56.4%815 W · 629 L | +51.8wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed Yes | 28c | 53.62$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 75c | 53.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.12 | 1,253 | 56.2%704 W · 549 L | +73.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed No | 62c | 51.41$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.54 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 71c | 48.93$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd851…4616backed Yes | 36c | 47.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +46.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8405…2163backed Yes | 31c | 43.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.42 | 201 | 42.3%85 W · 116 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc856…f642backed Yes | 31c | 41.72$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.93 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93f4…1dafbacked Yes | 31c | 38.34$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.89 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb17…32b2backed No | 64c | 35.21$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.83 | 49 | 57.1%28 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd2e5…c638backed Yes | 32c | 34.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.95 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f0…c57abacked No | 70c | 29.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 73c | 29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.83 | 1,038 | 49.4%513 W · 525 L | +14.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 37c | 28.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.68 | 1,290 | 42.8%552 W · 738 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed No | 74c | 25$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.5 | 274 | 42%115 W · 159 L | -8.3wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aa9…febebacked No | 77c | 24$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.48 | 74 | 37.8%28 W · 46 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked No | 71c | 19.65$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.7 | 28 | 75%21 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked No | 70c | 17.97$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.39 | 166 | 53.6%89 W · 77 L | -4.2wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2488…ff0ebacked No | 79c | 16.88$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 44 | 61.4%27 W · 17 L | +3.5wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9dfd…aadebacked No | 72c | 16.21$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.61 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked No | 70c | 14.73$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.42 | 156 | 54.5%85 W · 71 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Santos FC vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?this page
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-11?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.