South American Leagues · resolved market
Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-11?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xaa13dc7bcf259f71b68914d37343809c3fc28ee3149b91325e66a2d0037b84b8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- South American Leaguesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,616
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,046
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,616 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in South American Leagues is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Yes | 21c | 3,612$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.22 | 1,985 | 44.8%890 W · 1,095 L | -44.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9a11…eb9dbacked No | 80c | 1,183$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.8 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.5wins | -0.11per pick | 39cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Yes | 17c | 1,043$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.22 | 1,070 | 47.4%507 W · 563 L | -46.3wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…478fbacked Yes | 28c | 854.29$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.2 | 70 | 47.1%33 W · 37 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9e9a…a9a8backed No | 73c | 533.32$389 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144 | 119 | 63.9%76 W · 43 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 62cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbaa5…a51abacked No | 72c | 489.74$354 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 75c | 440.34$331 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.15 | 1,362 | 44.9%611 W · 751 L | -22.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8817…cda8backed Yes | 22c | 433.7$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.32 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -5.7wins | -0.12per pick | 43cpaid | -51.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf142…57e7backed No | 72c | 406.37$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.85 | 208 | 46.6%97 W · 111 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 77c | 367.79$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.08 | 2,388 | 51.8%1,237 W · 1,151 L | -9.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9943…a363backed No | 73c | 311.11$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +1.4wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07fe…4d66backed Yes | 26c | 294.03$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.45 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 74c | 260.09$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 8,107 | 48.7%3,948 W · 4,159 L | +26.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2015…0eaabacked Yes | 28c | 256.25$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.75 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 35cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5140…9951backed No | 77c | 256.16$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.92 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab2e…c7cfbacked No | 78c | 253.03$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.67 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -3.2wins | -0.21per pick | 75cpaid | -31%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes | 27c | 248.06$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.77 | 3,405 | 51.3%1,748 W · 1,657 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbef8…7445backed No | 73c | 217.03$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed No | 74c | 193.54$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.87 | 650 | 58%377 W · 273 L | +21.6wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Yes | 26c | 184.66$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.53 | 3,749 | 38.2%1,431 W · 2,318 L | -33.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10f6…82e4backed Yes | 24c | 143.16$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Yes | 27c | 135$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.45 | 213 | 49.8%106 W · 107 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a68…22dfbacked Yes | 27c | 128.24$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.62 | 64 | 15.6%10 W · 54 L | -4.9wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x569b…c66ebacked Yes | 27c | 123.95$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.47 | 187 | 43.9%82 W · 105 L | +6.1wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5d…ef01backed Yes | 22c | 116.98$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.74 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xefa8…924ebacked Yes | 10c | 111.82$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.27 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked No | 73c | 98.38$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.56 | 516 | 54.8%283 W · 233 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x866a…de80backed Yes | 22c | 86.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.06 | 138 | 14.5%20 W · 118 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Yes | 24c | 80$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 948 | 48.1%456 W · 492 L | -18.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ef…6d0dbacked Yes | 27c | 70.83$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.12 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb82b…bb76backed Yes | 22c | 67.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.74 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -4.1wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x931d…73a8backed Yes | 26c | 65.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6804…29e2backed Yes | 28c | 64.8$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.14 | 193 | 56%108 W · 85 L | -3.3wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed No | 74c | 64.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 571 | 57.8%330 W · 241 L | +9.0wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd809…6542backed No | 74c | 64.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 367 | 57.5%211 W · 156 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3982…2befbacked No | 74c | 64.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 477 | 58.1%277 W · 200 L | +8.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xade2…8757backed No | 74c | 64.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 159 | 56.6%90 W · 69 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed No | 74c | 64.5$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.62 | 161 | 60.9%98 W · 63 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.4wins | -0.09per pick | 32cpaid | -45.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9f…b23bbacked No | 72c | 60$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 82 | 61%50 W · 32 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e7c…8ab4backed Yes | 28c | 58.06$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.26 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -2.2wins | -0.20per pick | 38cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Yes | 26c | 55.4$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.25 | 190 | 56.3%107 W · 83 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 28c | 55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 849 | 43.8%372 W · 477 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…e43abacked Yes | 27c | 46.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.43 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -3.0wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc75b…3ea7backed Yes | 28c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 341 | 55.1%188 W · 153 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked No | 74c | 38.59$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.03 | 181 | 54.7%99 W · 82 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea8d…89b1backed No | 74c | 33.26$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.65 | 154 | 57.1%88 W · 66 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed No | 74c | 25.9$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.62 | 636 | 57.5%366 W · 270 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf46b…c51dbacked No | 74c | 24.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 449 | 59%265 W · 184 L | +22.4wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed No | 74c | 24.57$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.39 | 388 | 61.3%238 W · 150 L | +14.5wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd27d…a84fbacked No | 74c | 23.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 118 | 56.8%67 W · 51 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82de…1337backed No | 74c | 23.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 281 | 58.7%165 W · 116 L | +12.4wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed No | 74c | 23.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 477 | 56%267 W · 210 L | +9.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked No | 74c | 23.11$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.96 | 412 | 56.6%233 W · 179 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x66fc…2720backed No | 80c | 17.82$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.64 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | +2.8wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked No | 78c | 14.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.26 | 1,537 | 45.2%695 W · 842 L | +21.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in South American Leagues and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-04-11?this page
- Will Santos FC vs. CA Mineiro end in a draw?No won
- Will Santos FC win on 2026-04-11?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.