MLB · resolved market
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe22b57dea15621802ae2950a1852055fe0da99c5aa4dacc014b29b23e5cfdbd0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,335
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $37,336
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,335 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 61 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa710…23c4backed Under | 54c | 12,335$6,660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,659.76 | 550 | 53.1%292 W · 258 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 46c | 10,301$4,750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,550.36 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Over | 50c | 3,880$1,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,945 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Under | 53c | 3,000$1,590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,589.99 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 55c | 2,291$1,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,260.2 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x773c…cf18backed Over | 47c | 2,060$968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,091.8 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +18.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Over | 47c | 1,888$887 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.71 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 46c | 1,861$856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,004.84 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 52c | 1,213$631 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Over | 48c | 1,080$518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$561.93 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Over | 51c | 690$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.1 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd91a…211cbacked Over | 46c | 652.71$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.08 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +5.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 53c | 579$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$306.87 | 750 | 49.7%373 W · 377 L | +7.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 49c | 505.29$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.33 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Over | 46c | 461.77$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.36 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Under | 53c | 410.05$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$217.33 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Under | 55c | 400.85$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.97 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Over | 46c | 330.39$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.41 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Over | 46c | 222.68$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.25 | 678 | 49.3%334 W · 344 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Under | 54c | 217.64$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.66 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbeb7…ca4abacked Over | 45c | 216.03$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.68 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +8.3wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x98d0…f14abacked Under | 54c | 212.96$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 199 | 51.8%103 W · 96 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Over | 46c | 192.3$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.99 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Under | 49c | 189.02$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.33 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Under | 54c | 180.07$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.24 | 73 | 54.8%40 W · 33 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 48c | 109.35$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.37 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked Over | 47c | 103$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.59 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Over | 48c | 100.92$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.48 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Over | 47c | 96.82$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.31 | 541 | 46.8%253 W · 288 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8180…208bbacked Over | 48c | 90.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 181 | 51.4%93 W · 88 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Under | 54c | 90.02$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.61 | 377 | 47.2%178 W · 199 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Under | 52c | 84.6$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.28 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Over | 48c | 80.73$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.98 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Under | 53c | 80.68$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.76 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Over | 48c | 79.26$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.43 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Under | 52c | 76$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.52 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0204…0e31backed Over | 48c | 70.64$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.73 | 180 | 48.3%87 W · 93 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71a5…b594backed Over | 47c | 61.8$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.75 | 82 | 47.6%39 W · 43 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe414…c341backed Over | 47c | 59.91$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.96 | 218 | 47.7%104 W · 114 L | -3.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cb4…4576backed Over | 46c | 58.43$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.55 | 186 | 49.5%92 W · 94 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Over | 46c | 44.76$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.17 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a27…2fdcbacked Under | 54c | 43.11$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.28 | 116 | 49.1%57 W · 59 L | -5.7wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bbd…98f2backed Over | 47c | 37.76$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 187 | 51.3%96 W · 91 L | +9.9wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x442e…a738backed Under | 54c | 37.64$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.32 | 81 | 53.1%43 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8217…4936backed Over | 47c | 37.31$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.78 | 211 | 53.6%113 W · 98 L | +4.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Over | 47c | 31.53$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67e6…86edbacked Over | 46c | 30.38$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.4 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -5.7wins | -0.09per pick | 50cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Over | 48c | 30.28$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.74 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Under | 55c | 29.19$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.05 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aab…38ccbacked Under | 54c | 27.57$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.89 | 653 | 59.6%389 W · 264 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd6f…bad3backed Under | 54c | 27.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.59 | 35 | 37.1%13 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…6a8ebacked Over | 48c | 26.69$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.96 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc978…706bbacked Over | 47c | 26.67$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 310 | 46.5%144 W · 166 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07c9…9f5bbacked Under | 53c | 25.67$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 316 | 50.6%160 W · 156 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Under | 54c | 25.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.61 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Under | 57c | 24.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.23 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4693…bf61backed Over | 47c | 24.27$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.8 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc49d…91a8backed Under | 51c | 23.9$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -22%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5a0…485dbacked Over | 46c | 21.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.78 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +117.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ee9…5b88backed Over | 47c | 21.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.29 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70fc…ab12backed Under | 58c | 19.89$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 1,367 | 54.3%742 W · 625 L | +16.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red SoxMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.