MLB · resolved market
Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5313407c1c3baed6e3eaf4f243dc2de1ad13bc149f5aa8fa363b313fd262783b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Milwaukee Brewersof Milwaukee Brewers, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $18,387
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $18,313
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $18,387 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 56 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 3,783$2,176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,176.05 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 44c | 2,933$1,295 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,638.09 | 1,355 | 49.8%675 W · 680 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,989$1,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,173.78 | 672 | 50.1%337 W · 335 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Milwaukee Brewers | 37c | 1,501$558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$942.96 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf898…e720backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 1,088$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$742.78 | 6,303 | 48.2%3,041 W · 3,262 L | +181.4wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 789.85$324 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$466.01 | 1,345 | 47.7%642 W · 703 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c59…ad51backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 769.92$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$408.06 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 687.62$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.63 | 650 | 50.3%327 W · 323 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Milwaukee Brewers | 47c | 668.62$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$354.37 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Boston Red Sox | 66c | 603.07$399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398.58 | 5,234 | 56.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L | +130.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Boston Red Sox | 17c | 479.94$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.04 | 4,381 | 44.9%1,966 W · 2,415 L | +77.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x373a…f4c1backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 399.86$236 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$235.92 | 125 | 52%65 W · 60 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 352.9$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.21 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Milwaukee Brewers | 32c | 324.7$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 305.82$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.9 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 299.3$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.44 | 120 | 37.5%45 W · 75 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…ebf6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 282.32$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.57 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0e91…4740backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 203.25$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.03 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90c5…534cbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 55c | 196.16$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.03 | 341 | 45.2%154 W · 187 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xead1…c76abacked Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 185.09$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 1,029 | 51.2%527 W · 502 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Milwaukee Brewers | 25c | 181.21$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.55 | 841 | 22.7%191 W · 650 L | -81.4wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 143.01$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.91 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Boston Red Sox | 58c | 123.76$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.78 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 103.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 183 | 53.6%98 W · 85 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 103.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.9 | 1,043 | 49%511 W · 532 L | +3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2373…a1f3backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 100.84$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.49 | 286 | 46.2%132 W · 154 L | -8.0wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Milwaukee Brewers | 42c | 89.46$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.89 | 238 | 51.3%122 W · 116 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d49…e00abacked Boston Red Sox | 67c | 81.84$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.97 | 667 | 49.3%329 W · 338 L | -22.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Boston Red Sox | 65c | 74.87$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.49 | 1,927 | 17.2%331 W · 1,596 L | -320.3wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 32-0.16 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Boston Red Sox | 70c | 68.33$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.89 | 254 | 52%132 W · 122 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 63.4$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.77 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc97b…27e5backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 62.11$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.65 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Milwaukee Brewers | 70c | 60.99$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.38 | 374 | 44.4%166 W · 208 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 54.23$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.21 | 1,912 | 53%1,014 W · 898 L | +42.5wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae1c…3678backed Milwaukee Brewers | 41c | 47.59$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.08 | 261 | 51%133 W · 128 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5821…7c51backed Boston Red Sox | 69c | 43.2$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.92 | 2,995 | 50.8%1,521 W · 1,474 L | -36.0wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 33 | 63.6%21 W · 12 L | +3.0wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8632…4696backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 39.19$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.73 | 144 | 44.4%64 W · 80 L | -7.0wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 43c | 39$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.29 | 477 | 45.7%218 W · 259 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…c53abacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 38.39$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.25 | 1,041 | 50.1%522 W · 519 L | +17.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x75ac…be97backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 37.13$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2528…b77dbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 50c | 36.96$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.6 | 1,630 | 55.2%899 W · 731 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0056…a7f7backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 32.08$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.61 | 144 | 42.4%61 W · 83 L | -9.9wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe722…57c5backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 31.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 945 | 49%463 W · 482 L | -38.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcd05…61d6backed Boston Red Sox | 76c | 30.93$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.51 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 55cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe9cd…1e2bbacked Milwaukee Brewers | 35c | 30.62$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.79 | 1,057 | 50.2%531 W · 526 L | +23.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Milwaukee Brewers | 61c | 28.23$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 873 | 52.7%460 W · 413 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbaed…5749backed Boston Red Sox | 73c | 24.57$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.9 | 35 | 48.6%17 W · 18 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Boston Red Sox | 50c | 24.25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.13 | 1,522 | 34.7%528 W · 994 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec46…714cbacked Boston Red Sox | 63c | 24.13$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 24.01$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.65 | 105 | 42.9%45 W · 60 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7baa…03b7backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 23.09$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.85 | 198 | 55.1%109 W · 89 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Boston Red Sox | 63c | 22.58$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 194 | 52.6%102 W · 92 L | -1.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 22.57$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 477 | 43%205 W · 272 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23e7…fca5backed Boston Red Sox | 76c | 20.07$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.21 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa427…f87fbacked Boston Red Sox | 59c | 19.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Milwaukee Brewers (-1.5)this page
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red SoxMilwaukee Brewers won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 7.5Over won
- Milwaukee Brewers vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-2.5)Milwaukee Brewers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.