Tennis · resolved market
Madrid: Darja Semenistaja vs Lisa Pigato
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x488ade9e584846c6c0a7f69ff88195cae93e39111fa9bf74ba8f7fb7ea841398
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lisa Pigatoof Darja Semenistaja, Lisa Pigato
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $78,101
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $77,195
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $78,101 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Darja Semenistaja | 4c | 12,304$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.91 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef08…2cd0backed Darja Semenistaja | 3c | 6,179$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.92 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.0wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Darja Semenistaja | 1c | 4,418$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 621 | 40.7%253 W · 368 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Darja Semenistaja | 11c | 3,070$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.69 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9902…34b3backed Darja Semenistaja | 3c | 2,400$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.98 | 113 | 27.4%31 W · 82 L | -6.4wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Darja Semenistaja | 73c | 2,125$1,547 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,547.08 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lisa Pigato | 50c | 1,188$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.83 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa44a…88ecbacked Darja Semenistaja | 71c | 1,119$799 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$798.76 | 525 | 57%299 W · 226 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Lisa Pigato | 37c | 1,010$374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.28 | 281 | 41.6%117 W · 164 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x95bd…b9bebacked Darja Semenistaja | 57c | 975.17$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.75 | 127 | 50.4%64 W · 63 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32cc…68b3backed Darja Semenistaja | 72c | 844.77$610 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.08 | 1,678 | 50.8%852 W · 826 L | +30.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28f0…ceabbacked Darja Semenistaja | 59c | 663.76$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.62 | 46 | 39.1%18 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2484…6e38backed Darja Semenistaja | 3c | 607.96$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Lisa Pigato | 41c | 588.17$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.02 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4232…d505backed Lisa Pigato | 58c | 555.1$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.43 | 372 | 35.2%131 W · 241 L | -12.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Lisa Pigato | 40c | 539$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.35 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Darja Semenistaja | 23c | 520.82$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.65 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…03f1backed Darja Semenistaja | 14c | 499.93$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 99 | 16.2%16 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe713…c9a0backed Darja Semenistaja | 36c | 442.59$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.57 | 115 | 67%77 W · 38 L | +9.3wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2273…7e01backed Darja Semenistaja | 3c | 395.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.45 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Darja Semenistaja | 12c | 338.88$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.7 | 4,703 | 49.4%2,323 W · 2,380 L | +166.5wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfeab…9cd0backed Darja Semenistaja | 34c | 328.85$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.42 | 504 | 42.7%215 W · 289 L | +12.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Darja Semenistaja | 61c | 320.52$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.31 | 294 | 44.2%130 W · 164 L | -18.7wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Darja Semenistaja | 59c | 317.67$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.46 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ed…8bb4backed Darja Semenistaja | 63c | 310.41$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$195.56 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc0cc…275cbacked Lisa Pigato | 34c | 282.47$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.43 | 77 | 32.5%25 W · 52 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 32cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Darja Semenistaja | 66c | 269$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177.57 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Darja Semenistaja | 59c | 257.57$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.09 | 3,901 | 50.1%1,953 W · 1,948 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c19…859cbacked Darja Semenistaja | 58c | 239.92$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.15 | 45 | 55.6%25 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07e3…37b1backed Darja Semenistaja | 62c | 166.43$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.87 | 112 | 63.4%71 W · 41 L | +5.1wins | +0.05per pick | 59cpaid | +15.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99c4…0cccbacked Darja Semenistaja | 34c | 143.23$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.7 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Darja Semenistaja | 25c | 140.38$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.24 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Darja Semenistaja | 80c | 138.32$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.66 | 640 | 65.9%422 W · 218 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 65cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe02…5fb3backed Darja Semenistaja | 65c | 136.06$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.96 | 320 | 50%160 W · 160 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Lisa Pigato | 64c | 129.04$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.62 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Darja Semenistaja | 10c | 122.97$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.17 | 1,435 | 24.3%348 W · 1,087 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Darja Semenistaja | 67c | 122.6$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.14 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Darja Semenistaja | 31c | 110.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.32 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Darja Semenistaja | 66c | 99.79$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.49 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Darja Semenistaja | 69c | 97.99$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.75 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x80d8…b703backed Darja Semenistaja | 66c | 75$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.44 | 4,765 | 47%2,238 W · 2,527 L | -82.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58f2…692ebacked Lisa Pigato | 41c | 70.42$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 534 | 57.7%308 W · 226 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Lisa Pigato | 57c | 69.46$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.72 | 450 | 51.8%233 W · 217 L | +11.9wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x792a…7364backed Lisa Pigato | 21c | 68.04$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.75 | 100 | 44%44 W · 56 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc274…86debacked Darja Semenistaja | 33c | 66.23$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 493 | 42.8%211 W · 282 L | +16.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x30db…44e1backed Darja Semenistaja | 63c | 65.25$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.95 | 237 | 58.6%139 W · 98 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Darja Semenistaja | 58c | 58.87$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.15 | 502 | 59%296 W · 206 L | +14.1wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ed…72efbacked Darja Semenistaja | 60c | 57.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.79 | 387 | 54.3%210 W · 177 L | +11.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf9…626dbacked Lisa Pigato | 34c | 56.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.09 | 279 | 36.2%101 W · 178 L | -7.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Lisa Pigato | 33c | 54.69$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.44 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Lisa Pigato | 37c | 53$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.39 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1584…aadebacked Lisa Pigato | 24c | 51.8$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +75.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ace…b219backed Lisa Pigato | 50c | 48.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.25 | 124 | 63.7%79 W · 45 L | +9.4wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0fce…63d5backed Darja Semenistaja | 62c | 44.52$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.62 | 62 | 56.5%35 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 59cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x948b…a188backed Darja Semenistaja | 61c | 42.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1,174 | 51.9%609 W · 565 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2302…d6d2backed Darja Semenistaja | 61c | 42.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 1,132 | 50.3%569 W · 563 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa4e8…ff03backed Darja Semenistaja | 61c | 42.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 298 | 51%152 W · 146 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06e7…3acabacked Darja Semenistaja | 61c | 42.3$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.97 | 335 | 57%191 W · 144 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…cbcdbacked Darja Semenistaja | 68c | 41.73$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.22 | 119 | 58.8%70 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Darja Semenistaja | 60c | 40.4$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.21 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Darja Semenistaja | 61c | 40.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 853 | 48.7%415 W · 438 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a3…04bebacked Darja Semenistaja | 61c | 40.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 305 | 55.4%169 W · 136 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…b22ebacked Darja Semenistaja | 61c | 40.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 131 | 51.1%67 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -16%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x231f…254bbacked Darja Semenistaja | 61c | 40.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 101 | 60.4%61 W · 40 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8098…5646backed Darja Semenistaja | 61c | 40.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 768 | 53%407 W · 361 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb51…082dbacked Darja Semenistaja | 61c | 40.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 484 | 53.7%260 W · 224 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5bd…b891backed Darja Semenistaja | 61c | 40.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.64 | 191 | 53.4%102 W · 89 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -13%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d5…53d0backed Darja Semenistaja | 59c | 40$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.6 | 176 | 56.3%99 W · 77 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc187…7ac1backed Darja Semenistaja | 58c | 38.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.62 | 152 | 61.2%93 W · 59 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 59cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd208…29e6backed Darja Semenistaja | 59c | 36.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 234 | 44.9%105 W · 129 L | -9.9wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1f…acafbacked Darja Semenistaja | 59c | 36.64$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 73 | 45.2%33 W · 40 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…1ab0backed Darja Semenistaja | 63c | 35.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 945 | 49.6%469 W · 476 L | -23.7wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0436…f431backed Lisa Pigato | 47c | 35.05$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.69 | 56 | 50%28 W · 28 L | -4.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -14%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…560bbacked Darja Semenistaja | 57c | 34.34$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.48 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33fc…dc88backed Darja Semenistaja | 49c | 33.45$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 60 | 45%27 W · 33 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb883…3994backed Darja Semenistaja | 70c | 33.04$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.13 | 215 | 49.8%107 W · 108 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70f9…f25bbacked Lisa Pigato | 40c | 32.78$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.67 | 990 | 56%554 W · 436 L | +32.1wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Lisa Pigato | 75c | 28.16$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.97 | 3,677 | 54.8%2,015 W · 1,662 L | +107.4wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc866…8c6dbacked Darja Semenistaja | 48c | 27.41$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.04 | 272 | 47.4%129 W · 143 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x099f…c1e1backed Lisa Pigato | 43c | 24.68$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 958 | 46.6%446 W · 512 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85a7…57f1backed Lisa Pigato | 79c | 24.6$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.17 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 68cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe777…c734backed Darja Semenistaja | 63c | 24.09$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 59 | 59.3%35 W · 24 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbac4…86dbbacked Darja Semenistaja | 64c | 22.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 139 | 49.6%69 W · 70 L | -4.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85ad…d3fbbacked Darja Semenistaja | 64c | 22.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 104 | 54.8%57 W · 47 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa975…42eebacked Darja Semenistaja | 64c | 22.19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.11 | 570 | 52.6%300 W · 270 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x42e4…0b1fbacked Darja Semenistaja | 55c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.34per pick | 54cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Darja Semenistaja | 58c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 1,001 | 45.4%454 W · 547 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…7600backed Darja Semenistaja | 61c | 18.65$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.45 | 296 | 52.4%155 W · 141 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x07d0…1310backed Darja Semenistaja | 62c | 16.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.38 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa76d…6a8ebacked Lisa Pigato | 68c | 16.57$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -21%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea9b…2be5backed Lisa Pigato | 65c | 16.05$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 117 | 58.1%68 W · 49 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59a1…8263backed Darja Semenistaja | 64c | 15.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.11 | 185 | 59.5%110 W · 75 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e0f…8b08backed Darja Semenistaja | 75c | 13.79$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 252 | 65.1%164 W · 88 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 68cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Madrid: Darja Semenistaja vs Lisa Pigatothis page
- Set 1 Winner: Semenistaja vs PigatoSemenistaja won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.