Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Solana reach $100 May 11-17?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1067f1f413bd462eb3bb7202494b4f76f40ea40ab20462e17a5cd437930bf81b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,021
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,693
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,021 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x55be…dca3backed Yes | 21c | 10,738$2,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,281.17 | 291 | 26.5%77 W · 214 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06dc…4524backed No | 79c | 10,501$8,278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,223.14 | 162 | 53.7%87 W · 75 L | +13.0wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x478c…1c81backed Yes | 2c | 2,836$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.88 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 34cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb37b…5186backed Yes | 34c | 728.66$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.17 | 40 | 32.5%13 W · 27 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 43cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 7c | 639.23$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.67 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7410…04a3backed Yes | 16c | 625.09$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 25 | 8%2 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 9cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 5c | 446.8$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.17 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x37dc…85ccbacked Yes | 45c | 413$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.15 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.3wins | -0.14per pick | 55cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd1dd…a272backed Yes | 66c | 376.49$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247 | 117 | 26.5%31 W · 86 L | -10.1wins | -0.09per pick | 35cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc89b…14ebbacked Yes | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 207$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.87 | 1,844 | 4.4%81 W · 1,763 L | -13.1wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -42.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76b3…3ffebacked Yes | 42c | 199.99$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.99 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd984…18dfbacked Yes | 7c | 150$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -84.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1764…82c6backed Yes | 19c | 127.49$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6364…8316backed No | 45c | 127.24$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.63 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -34.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0258…13bfbacked Yes | 48c | 59.98$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.79 | 181 | 62.4%113 W · 68 L | +5.5wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 72c | 57.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16de…7d45backed Yes | 51c | 41.59$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.21 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa6e2…a3c5backed Yes | 31c | 41.28$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a8f…f793backed No | 58c | 28.84$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.97 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 41cpaid | +60.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…7976backed Yes | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3b1…d103backed No | 75c | 19.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9103…225bbacked No | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +63.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 74c | 14.62$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.82 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Solana reach $100 May 11-17?this page
- Will Solana dip to $80 May 11-17?No won
- Will Solana reach $110 May 11-17?No won
- Will Solana reach $120 May 11-17?No won
- Will Solana reach $130 May 11-17?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.